Villanova Wildcats vs. Miami Hurricanes - 3/24/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Hurricanes (27-7) at Villanova Wildcats (31-5)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 24, 2016 at 7:10 pm (KFC Yum! Center)
The Line: Villanova Wildcats -4.5 -- Over/Under: 140.5 See the Latest Odds
The Miami Hurricanes will play the Villanova Wildcats in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday.
The Villanova Wildcats are 31-5 (16-2) and are the #2 seed in the South Region. Villanova defeated UNC Asheville by a score of 86-56 and Iowa by a score of 87-68 in their first 2 games of the tournament. Josh Hart led Villanova with 19 points and 4 rebounds against Iowa. Villanova out rebounded Iowa by a total of 32-29 and was able to add 23 assists in their victory. Villanova finished the regular season by winning 5 of their last 6 games, with their loss coming against Seton Hall in the Big East Conference Championship. Villanova is averaging 77 points per game while giving up 63.7 points per game. Villanova is also averaging 35.6 rebounds per game and 16.1 assists per game. Josh Hart is averaging 15.4 points per game and 6.9 rebounds per game for Villanova. Kris Jenkins is averaging 13.3 points per game and 3.7 rebounds per game for the Wildcats. Villanova is shooting 77.5% on free throws, 35.1% on thee-pointers, and 47.4% on all field goal attempts.
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The Miami Hurricanes are 27-7 (13-5) and are the #3 seed in the South Region. Miami defeated Buffalo by a score of 79-72 and Wichita State by a score of 65-57 in their first 2 games of the tournament. Angel Rodriguez led Miami with 28 points and 5 assists against Wichita State. Miami was out rebounded by Wichita State by a total of 33-26 but was able to add 7 assists in their victory. Miami finished the regular season by winning 4 of their last 6 games, with their last loss coming against Virginia in the ACC Tournament. Miami is averaging 75.6 points per game while giving up 66.8 points per game. Miami is also averaging 34.8 rebounds per game and 12.8 assists per game. Sheldon McClellan is averaging 16 points per game and 3.2 rebounds per game for Miami. Angel Rodriguez is averaging 12.6 points per game and 4.4 assists per game for the Hurricanes. Miami is shooting 75% on free throws, 36.9% on three-pointers, and 47.7% on all field goal attempts.
Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. The over is 9-2 in Miami’s last 11 NCAA Tournament games. Villanova is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against the ACC and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The over is 9-2 in Villanova’s last 11 games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in these two teams last 5 meetings.
Villanova is the slightly higher scoring team and also allows fewer points per game than Miami. Villanova has the rebounding advantage, while both teams are similar in shooting percentage. Villanova was very impressive in their win against Iowa, while Miami almost blew a big lead in the game. I like Villanova to win this game and reach the Elite 8.