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Villanova vs. North Carolina - 4/4/16 NCAA Championship Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Villanova Wildcats (34-5) at North Carolina Tar Heels (33-6)

College Basketball: Monday, April 4, 2016 at 9:19 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: North Carolina Tar Heels -2.5 -- Over/Under: 149.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: TBS

The Villanova Wildcats and North Carolina Tar Heels clash Monday night in the NCAA Championship at NRG Stadium.

The Villanova Wildcats look for their second basketball title and first since 1985. The Villanova Wildcats are averaging 77.9 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 63.8 points on 40.4 percent shooting. Josh Hart is averaging 15.4 points and 6.8 rebounds while Kris Jenkins is averaging 13.5 points and 2.2 assists. Ryan Arcidiacono is dishing 4.4 assists and Daniel Ochefu is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Villanova Wildcats are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free throw line. The Wildcats are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35 rebounds per game. The Villanova Wildcats are 9-2 this season on neutral courts.

Villanova vs. North Carolina - 4/4/16 NCAA Championship Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The North Carolina Tar Heels look for their sixth title and third since 2005. The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 82.4 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 69.4 points on 41 percent shooting. Brice Johnson is averaging 16.8 points and 10.5 rebounds while Joel Berry II is averaging 12.8 points and 3.4 assists. Justin Jackson is grabbing 3.9 rebounds and Marcus Paige is dishing 3.7 assists. The North Carolina Tar Heels are shooting 31.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.2 percent from the free throw line. The Tar Heels are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game. The North Carolina Tar Heels are 11-0 on neutral courts this season.

The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 Monday games. The Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games and 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. 

I've been picking against Villanova all tournament, so I might as well do it one more time. North Carolina is the more talented team and has the bigs to control the paint and the glass. The Wildcats won't be able to take advantage of one-on-one situations in the paint like they have against other teams. The Tar Heels should win this game, especially with Paige and others making jump shots for a change. 

 

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North Carolina Tar Heels -2.5

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