Oregon Ducks vs. Valparaiso Crusaders - 11/17/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Valparaiso Crusaders (3-0) at Oregon Ducks (1-1)
College Basketball: Thursday, November 17, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Matthew Knight Arena)
The Line: Oregon Ducks -11 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Valparaiso Crusaders have upset on their minds when they take on the 4th-ranked Oregon Ducks on Thursday night.
The Valparaiso Crusaders improved to 3-0 on the year with a 78-58 win over Coppin State. Shane Hammink led Valpo with 23 points on 8 of 11 shooting, including a 3-pointer and 6 of 7 makes from the free throw line. Hammink also pulled down 7 boards and was one of 4 Crusaders in double figures on the scoresheet, as Alec Peters followed behind with 7 makes on 20 attempts, including just 1 of 6 from downtown for 20 points as he also collected 8 rebounds. Max Joseph had himself a very efficient night, making 6 of his 7 shots including a 3 and a pair of free throws for 15 points in the win while Micah Bradford rounded out the foursome with 12 points on 3 of 9 from the floor including 2 of 7 from downtown while making all 4 of his free throw attempts to go along with 5 rebounds. As a team, Valparaiso is shooting 41.9% from the floor, and 80% from the free throw line. Where the crusaders must improve is their shooting from beyond the arc, as Valpo is 4th-last in the nation, shooting just 20% from downtown through their first 3 games.
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The 4th-ranked Oregon Ducks hit a bit of a stumble as they fell to the Baylor Bears by a final score of 66-49. Dylan Ennis led the Ducks with 16 points on 5 of 13 from the floor, however he was just 1 of 6 from downtown but made up for it by putting in 5 of his 6 free throw attempts. Chris Boucher was the only other Duck to find himself in double figures in the points column, as Boucher put in 5 of 9 from the floor, including a 3-pointer of his own for 12 points in the loss. Jordan Bell came close to his 1st double-double of the season, falling just 2 points shy with 11 rebounds and 8 points on 4 of 8 shooting. As a team, Oregon is shooting just 39% from the floor, 26.1% from beyond the arc but are trying to make up for it by shooting 80% from the foul line.
Valparaiso is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Pac-12 and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Oregon is 20-9 in their last 29 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 non-conference games.
I originally was leaning towards Valpo, but I just can’t pull the trigger on it. Oregon is going to be angry after being humiliated by Baylor, and will use their size and experience all over a Valpo team that can struggle when it comes to putting the ball in the hoop.
I’ll lay the points with Oregon, although it is a lean at best.