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Dayton vs. Saint Mary's - 11/19/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Saint Mary's-California Gaels (2-0) at Dayton Flyers (2-0)

College Basketball: Saturday, November 19, 2016 at 2:00 pm (Dayton Arena)

The Line: Dayton Flyers -3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Fox Sports - Ohio; Fox College Sports - Pacific

The 17th ranked Saint Mary’s Gaels will travel to the University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers this Saturday afternoon.

The 17th ranked Saint Mary’s Gaels improved to 2-0 on the season after defeating the Prairie View A&M Panthers, 110-72, this past Wednesday. Saint Mary’s was outstanding on the offensive end and used a 25-6 run in the 2nd half to pull away and secure the victory. Saint Mary’s shot 57.4% from the field and outrebounded the Panthers by a 47-21 margin. Leading the way for the Gaels was Emmett Naar who had a double-double with 16 points and 11 assists. Offensively, Saint Mary’s is averaging 95.5 ppg on 58.5% shooting from the field and 42.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Saint Mart’s has been outstanding on the offensive end early in the season as they are averaging 23.5 assists per game and have the top-ranked assist/turnover ratio at 3.92. On the season, the Gaels have been led by Jock Landale (23.0 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 2.0 apg), Jordan Ford (12.0 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 3.0 apg), Emmett Naar (11.0 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 9.5 apg), and Joe Rahon (6.5 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 5.5 apg). Defensively, Saint Mary’s is holding their opponents to an average of 67.5 ppg on 45.6% shooting from the field.

Dayton vs. Saint Mary's - 11/19/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dayton Flyers improved to 2-0 on the season after defeating the Alabama Crimson Tide, 77-72, this past Tuesday. Dayton was down by a 36-31 at halftime however, held Alabama scoreless for a 5-minute span mist way through the 2nd half and was able to secure the comeback victory. Dayton shot 54.5% from the field and 50.0% (9-18) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Flyers was Charles Cooke who had a double-double with 19 points and 10 rebounds. On the season, Dayton is averaging 86.5 ppg on 54.5% shooting from the field. The Flyers are currently averaging 11.0 three-pointers per game and 44.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Dayton has been led by Charles Cooke (25.0 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 2.0 apg), Scoochie Smith (15.5 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 5.0 apg, 3.0 spg), Josh Cunningham (12.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg), and Darrell Davis (10.5 ppg, 2.5 rpg). Defensively, Dayton is allowing their opponents to average 70.0 ppg on 39.1% shooting from the field.  

The Gaels are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. The Flyers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.

This should be one of the better games on Saturday as the both the Dayton Flyers and Saint Mary’s Gaels are the favorites in the A-10 and WCC conferences. Saint Mary’s was robbed of an NCAA tournament appearance last year after posting a 29-6 record, however, this could be a big year for the Gaels as they returned their entire starting five and on paper, don’t seem to have a weakness in any aspect of the game. Dayton has one of the better players in the A-10 in Scoochie Smith, however, won’t have two of their better players in Kendall Pollard and Josh Cunningham due to injury. Playing in Dayton is an awful tough task, however, Saint Mary’s is one of the best teams in the country and as the Flyers are going to be missing a few key players, I think the Gaels and the points are the play here. Take Saint Mary’s and the points. 

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Saint Mary's Gaels +3

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