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Murray State vs. Green Bay - 11/19/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix (1-1) at Murray State Racers (1-1)

College Basketball: Saturday, November 19, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Stroh Center)

The Line: Murray State Racers -1.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Murray State Racers will travel to the Stroh Center to take on the Green Bay Phoenix this Saturday night in the Bill Frack Challenge.

The Murray State Racers dropped to 1-1 on the season after being defeated by the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 87-81, this past Tuesday. Murray State held an early lead in the 2nd half however, allowed the Blue Raiders to go on a 16-8 run midway through the 2nd half and the Racers couldn’t fight back for the victory. Murray State shot 42.9% from the field and was outrebounded by the Blue Raiders by a 40-34 margin. Leading the way for the Racers was Jonathan Stark who had 23 points, 8 assists, and 6 rebounds. Offensively, Murray State is averaging 77.0 ppg on 42.1% shooting from the field. The Racers are averaging 11.5 three-pointers per game on 34.8% shooting from beyond the arc. On the season, Murray State has been led by Jonathan Stark (21.0 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 6.0 apg, 1.5 spg), Damarcus Croaker (17.5 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 1.5 spg), Bryce Jones (15.5 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 4.5 apg), and Brion Sanchious (2.0 ppg, 5.0 rpg). Defensively, Murray State is allowing their opponents to average 78.5 ppg on 47.1% shooting from the field. Murray State has had trouble on the boards early in the season as they currently have a -6.0 rebound margin.

Murray State vs. Green Bay - 11/19/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Green Bay Phoenix dropped to 1-1 on the season after being defeated by the Pacific Tigers, 76-58, this past Tuesday. Green Bay went into halftime with a 27-26 halftime lead however, allowed Pacific to go a 11-0 run the 2nd half in which the Phoenix couldn’t recover from. Green Bay struggled offensively as they shot just 30.4% from the field and was outrebounded by the Tigers by a 61-38 margin. Leading the way for the Phoenix was Khalil Small who had 13 points, 7 rebounds, and 2 assists. Offensively, Green Bay is averaging 71.0 ppg on 40.9% shooting from the field and 30.2% shooting from beyond the arc. On the season, Green Bay has been led by Trevor Anderson (12.5 ppg, 4.5 apg, 1.0 spg), Khalil Small (11.5 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 2.0 apg), Warren Jones (10.5 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 2.5 spg), and Charles Cooper (7.0 ppg, 4.5 rpg). Defensively, Green Bay is holding their opponents to an average of 62.5 ppg on 31.8% shooting. The Phoenix are averaging 8.0 steals per game and have a turnover margin of +5.5.

The Racers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall however, just 3-7-1 ATS in their 11 neutral site games. The Phoenix are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. OVC opponents.

Murray State struggled a bit by their standards last season posting a 17-14 record, however, the Racers look like they’ll once again be contending in the OVC with returning starters Bryce Jones and Damarcus Croaker and Tulane transfer Jonathan Stark leading the way. Green Bay returned a big part of their 2015-16 team that made it to the NCAA Tournament however, need to find some scoring after losing Carrington Love (17.3 ppg) and Jordan Fouse (12.7 ppg, 8.3 rpg). Murray State isn’t a deep team as only 6 players have received significant minutes on the season, however, until Green Bay can find some consistent scoring, I just don’t trust the Phoenix. I’m taking Murray State to cover this small spread.  

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Murray State Racers -1.5

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