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Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Cal Poly Mustangs - 11/23/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cal Poly Mustangs (2-2) at Northern Illinois Huskies (3-1)

College Basketball: Wednesday, November 23, 2016 at 8:00 pm (NIU Convocation Center)

The Line: Northern Illinois Huskies -10 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN3

Over at the Convocation Center in DeKalb on Wednesday, we’ve got college basketball action coming our way as the Cal Poly Mustangs take on the Northern Illinois Huskies. 

Cal Poly comes into this game with a 2-2 record on the year. The Mustangs dropped their opener 77-68 to Pepperdine, then fell again to Arizona State 96-74. Cal Poly was able to bounce back, however, winning their next two games: 75-64 against Cal State Dominguez and 69-52 versus Bethesda. In that one, Kyle Toth was the star of the show for the Mustangs with five 3-pointers and seven rebounds. 

Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Cal Poly Mustangs - 11/23/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

So far this year, Toth is the top scorer for Cal Poly on 14.8 PPG and 3.5 RPG, while Josh Martin sits with a double-double average on 13.5 PPG and 10.0 RPG. Luke Meikle and Jaylen Shead are also averaging in double-digit points, with Meikle holding 11.0 PPG with 5.3 RPG and Shead sitting on 10.3 PPG and 6.3 APG. 

Over on the Northern Illinois side, they’re entering play here with a 3-1 record on the year. The Huskies started things off with an OT win 80-78 over Indiana State, then took out Roosevelt 99-55. Northern Illinois split their most recent pair of games, beating Idaho 63-49 and falling to Cal State Northridge 84-82. 

On the season thus far, the Huskies have three players averaging in double figures for points. Marin Maric leads Northern Illinois with 15.0 PPG and 4.8 RPG, Jaylen Key has 12.5 PPG and 7.5 RPG, and Laytwan Porter is sitting on 12.5 PPG with 4.0 RPG and 3.0 APG. Levi Bradley isn’t far off the pace for the Huskies on 9.8 PPG and 3.5 RPG. 

Cal Poly is 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games versus a team with a winning straight-up record, and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Wednesday games. Cal Poly is also 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games overall, and 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conference games. 

As for Northern Illinois, they’re 5-0-1 ATS in their last six Wednesday games, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games versus a team with a losing road record. Northern Illinois is also 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win, and 23-8-3 ATS in their last 34 home games. 

Despite a slow start, Cal Poly has looked pretty good in their last couple of games—though both were against sub-par competition. As for Northern Illinois, they very well could—and probably should—be undefeated at this point, if not for that two-point heartbreaker against Cal State Northridge. All things considered, I don’t think there’s much chance Northern Illinois loses this game, but Cal Poly has plenty of scoring contributors and has a great shot at covering here.

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Cal Poly Mustangs +10

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