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New Mexico vs. CS-Northridge - 11/25/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cal State-Northridge Matadors (2-3) at New Mexico Lobos (3-1)

College Basketball: Friday, November 25, 2016 at 3:00 pm (Titan Gym)

The Line: New Mexico Lobos -6 -- Over/Under: 167 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The CS Northridge Matadors and the New Mexico Lobos will face off at Titan Gym in the Wooden Legacy this Friday afternoon.

 The CS Northridge Matadors dropped to 2-3 on the season after being defeated by the Texas A&M Aggies, 95-73, last night. CS Northridge struggled from out of the gates on this one and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 53-28 margin at halftime. CS Northridge shot just 37.5% from the field while allowing the Aggies to shoot 53.1% from the field. Leading the way for the Matadors was Micheal Warren who had 19 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 blocks. On the season, CS Northridge is averaging 81.8 ppg on 46.3% shooting from the field. The Matadors average 5.8 three-pointers per game on 38.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, CS Northridge has been led by Kendall Smith (15.4 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 5.0 apg), Tavrion Dawson (15.4 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.4 spg), Aaron Parks (13.6 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 2.0 apg), and Darin Johnson (9.6 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.8 apg). Defensively, CS Northridge is allowing their opponents to average 89.4 ppg on 43.1% shooting from the field. The Matadors have struggled with turnovers on the season as they currently have a turnover margin of -3.8.

New Mexico vs. CS-Northridge - 11/25/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New Mexico Lobos dropped to 3-1 on the season after being defeated by the Virginia Tech Hokies, 92-72, yesterday afternoon. New Mexico allowed Virginia Tech to use a 9-0 run late in the 1st half to take a 44-36 halftime lead and couldn’t fight back as the Lobos were down by double-digits for the majority of the 2nd half. New Mexico struggled on the defensive end as they allowed Virginia Tech to shoot 50.0% from the field and 45.8% (11-24) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for New Mexico was Tim Williams who had a double-double with 19 points, 11 rebounds, and 2 blocks. On the season, New Mexico is averaging 80.0 ppg on 49.1% shooting from the field. The Lobos are averaging just 3.0 three-pointers per game on 23.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, New Mexico has been led by Tim Williams (22.0 ppg, 9.3 rpg), Elijah Brown (13.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 2.8 apg), Sam Logwood (11.3 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.0 apg), and Jordan Hunter (6.8 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.0 apg). Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 75.0 ppg on 44.3% shooting from the field.

The Matadors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. MW opponents. The Lobos are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.

CS Northridge has some talent and experience that should help them improve from their 10-20 record last season, however, the Matadors have had trouble on the defensive end as they currently rank 340th in the College Basketball in terms of scoring defense.  New Mexico has one of the best big men in the Mountain West in Tim Williams and as the Lobos should have a solid rebounding advantage and be able to score plenty on the CS Northridge defense, I’m taking New Mexico to cover this mid-range spread. 

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New Mexico Lobos -6

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