Toledo vs. Evansville - 11/25/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Evansville Purple Aces (2-1) at Toledo Rockets (2-2)
College Basketball: Friday, November 25, 2016 at 6:00 pm (Nashville Municipal Auditorium)
The Line: Toledo Rockets -2.5 -- Over/Under: 148 See the Latest Odds
The Toledo Rockets and Evansville Purple Aces will face off at Nashville Municipal Auditorium in the Challenge in Music City this Friday night.
The Toledo Rockets dropped to 2-2 on the season after being defeated by the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 80-70, this past Tuesday. Toledo struggled offensively in the 1st half and couldn’t fight back after being down by a 39-26 margin at halftime. Toledo allowed Middle Tennessee to shoot 51.5% from the field and lost the turnover battle by a 14-8 margin. Leading the way for the Rockets was Steve Taylor Jr. who had a double-double with 17 points, 10 rebounds, and 5 assists. On the season, Toledo is averaging 82.8 ppg on 46.6% shooting from the field. The Rockets are averaging 7.5 three-pointers per game on 33.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Toledo has been led by Jonathan Williams (19.3 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.0 apg), Steve Taylor Jr. (16.8 ppg, 12.5 rpg, 4.3 apg), Jaelan Sanford (12.0 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 2.0 apg), and Daniel Dzierzawski (10.0 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.8 apg). Defensively, Toledo is allowing their opponents to average 83.3 ppg on 48.6% shooting from the field. Toledo has had trouble generating turnovers on the season as they average just 3.3 spg and have a turnover margin of -2.8.
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The Evansville Purple Aces won their 2nd straight game and improved to 2-1 on the season after defeating the Morehead State Eagles, 69-56, this past Saturday. Evansville was outhandling on the offensive end throughout the game and secured the victory after finishing the game on a 22-9 run over the last 10 minutes of the game. Evansville shot 61.9% from the field and outrebounded the Eagles by a 31-24 margin. Leading the way for Evansville was Jaylon Brown who had 25 points, 5 rebounds, and 2 assists. On the season, Evansville is averaging 66.0 ppg on 46.9% shooting from the field. The Purple Aces average 4.3 three-pointers per game on 36.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Evansville has been led by Jaylon Brown (21.0 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 2.3 apg), Ryan Taylor (13.0 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 1.3 bpg), Christian Benzon (5.7 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Dru Smith (4.3 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 1.7 apg). Defensively, Evansville is holding their opponents to an average of 64.3 ppg on 42.7% shooting. Evansville hasn’t been great on the boards early in the season as they currently have a rebound margin of -5.7.
The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. MVC opponents however, just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Purple Aces are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. MAC opponents, however, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Toledo has played a competitive schedule to start the season and although they’ve struggled on the defensive end, the Rockets have been great offensively, led by the one-two combination of Jonathan Williams and Steve Taylor Jr. Evansville has been one of the better teams in the MVC over the past few seasons however, it will be difficult for the Purple Aces to continue their run of success as they no longer have D.J. Balentine (20.5 ppg) and Egidijus Mockevicius (15.7 ppg, 14.0 rpg). Outside of Jaylon Brown and Ryan Taylor, the Purple Aces have really struggled on the offensive end and as I think the Rockets will be able to put a decent amount of points on the tough Evansville defense, I’m taking Toledo to cover this small spread. Take Toledo to cover.