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Dayton vs. New Mexico - 11/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Mexico Lobos (4-1) at Dayton Flyers (3-2)

College Basketball: Sunday, November 27, 2016 at 2:00 pm (Honda Center)

The Line: Dayton Flyers -6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN U

The New Mexico Lobos and the Dayton Flyers will square off at the Honda Center in the Wooden Legacy this Sunday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The New Mexico Lobos improved to 4-1 on the season after defeating the CS Northridge Matadors, 105-89, this past Friday. New Mexico used an 8-0 run late in the 2nd half to create some separation and secure the victory. New Mexico was outstanding on the offensive end as they shot 64.9% from the field and 57.1% (4-7) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Lobos was Tim Williams who had 21 points, 6 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 blocks. On the season, New Mexico is averaging 85.0 ppg on 52.4% shooting from the field. The Lobos average 3.2 three-pointers per game on 27.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, New Mexico has been led by Tim Williams (21.8 ppg, 8.6 rpg), Elijah Brown (15.2 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 3.6 apg), Sam Logwood (11.6 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.6 apg), and Jordan Hunter (7.2 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.0 apg). Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 77.8 ppg on 45.7% shooting from the field. New Mexico has done a nice job forcing turnovers as the rank T-54th in College Basketball with a turnover margin of 3.2.

Dayton vs. New Mexico - 11/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dayton Flyers improved to 3-2 on the season after defeating the Portland Pilots, 84-74, this past Friday. Dayton held a 38-31 halftime lead and led by at least 5 points for the majority of the 2nd half. Dayton was outstanding on the offensive end as they shot 55.4% from the field and 45.5% (10-22) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Flyers was Charles Cooke who had 20 points and 4 rebounds. On the season, Dayton is averaging 78.4 ppg on 47.5% shooting from the field. The Flyers average 9.6 three-pointers per game on 40.7% shooting from beyond the arc. On the season, Dayton has been led by Charles Cooke (21.2 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 1.4 apg), Scoochie Smith (15.4 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 4.6 apg), Josh Cunningham (12.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg), and Ryan Mikesell (7.2 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.2 apg). Defensively, Dayton is allowing their opponents to average 71.0 ppg on 42.3% shooting. Dayton has struggled a bit on the boards as they have a rebound margin of -4.0.

The Lobos are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The Flyers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.

New Mexico is an experienced team that knows how to put the ball in the basketball as they rank 40th in the country in scoring offense and 13th in FG%. Dayton is still waiting the return of Kendall Pollard however, the Flyers have been very competitive this season led by Scoochie Smith and Charles Cooke. Dayton has been solid on both sides of the court however, I think the Lobos have the offensive firepower to be able to put up some points on the Flyers and I’m going to take New Mexico and the points in this one. 

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New Mexico Lobos +6

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