Florida Gators vs. Miami Hurricanes - 11/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Hurricanes (4-1) at Florida Gators (5-1)
College Basketball: Sunday, November 27, 2016 at 4:30 pm (HP Field House)
The Line: Florida Gators -3 -- Over/Under: 136.5 See the Latest Odds
An in-state rivalry takes place on home soil as the Miami Hurricanes battle the Florida Gators in Orlando in the 3rd-place game of the Advocare Invitational.
The Miami Hurricanes look to get the ship back in the right direction after getting bounced in the semifinals by Iowa State, losing by a final score of 73-56. Miami’s leading scorer, Ja’Quan Newton, put up a tie for the game-high with 21 points on 9 of 13 from the floor. Davon Reed followed behind Newton with 13 points on just 2 of 9 from the floor, including 1 of 7 from behind the arc, but made up for it by going 8 of 9 from the charity stripe. After Reed, no other Hurricane scored more than 6 points in the loss. Kamari Murphy however, did his best to contribute by notching a game-high 12 boards for Miami. Ja’Quan Newton leads the Hurricanes with 17.6 points and 3.4 assists per game this season, while Murphy’s 12 rebound performance is sure to help bump up his team-high average in rebounds, which currently stands at 8.8 per game. As a team, Miami is racking up 76.6 points per game on 46.9% from the floor, 31.7% from downtown and 74.8% from the foul line. Where Miami shines is on the defensive end, as the Hurricanes boast the 9th-lowest points per game against, holding their opponents to just 57.4 points per game on 35.8% from the field, the 13th-lowest percentage in the country.
USA TODAY Sports
The Florida Gators look to get back to their winning ways following a narrow 77-72 semifinal loss to Gonzaga. Devin Robinson had a team-high and tied for the game-high with 18 points on 6 of 13 from the field and a perfect 6 of 6 from the foul line. Leading scorer for the season, KeVaughn Allen notched 15 points on 7 of 17 from the floor while going just 1 for 7 from downtown. John Egbunu and Canyon Berry each scored 12 points to round out the group of 4 Gators who scored in double figures on the night. While Egbunu pulled down a game-high 7 boards, Kasey Hill was busy notching a game-high of his own with 7 assists to go along with his 8 points. KeVaughn Allexn leads Florida with 14.2 points per game, John Egbunu is tops with 8.5 rebounds per game and Kasey Hill is the team’s top passer, racking up 4 assists per game. As a team, Florida is scoring 76.7 points on 41.6% from the field, 28.9% from 3-point range and 77.2% from the foul line.
Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the SEC and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 non-conference games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. Florida is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against the ACC while the over is 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
3rd place in a tournament with a field this stacked would be nothing to sneeze at, so I’m thinking both teams will want this one, considering it’s still an in-state rivalry. With that said, Miami has had the SEC’s number recently, while the ACC has gotten the better of Florida lately. I think those trends continue here and we get a low-scoring, tight game in the high 50s-low 60s, with Miami coming out on top, so I’ll take Miami and the points.