Auburn Tigers Vs. Arkansas Razorbacks 10/6/12 Mitch’s Free College Football Pick Against the Spread
The Auburn Tigers and the Arkansas Razorbacks meet on Saturday for a SEC battle which is a must win game for both sides.
The Auburn Tigers have opened with a rough schedule but regardless they are 1-3 and still have a difficult road the rest of the way. QB Kiehl Frazier has completed 52.8 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and seven interceptions and he has been chased around in the backfield plenty. Tre Mason leads Auburn in rushing averaging 5.2 yards per carry and Onterrio McCalebb is averaging 5.7 yards and he has two touchdowns. Emory Blake has 12 catches and a touchdown, Phillip Lutzenkirchen has 12 catches, and Quan Bray has 11 catches. Defensively Auburn has struggled allowing 23.5 points per game, 208.2 rushing yards per game, and 211 passing yards per game with just one interception and nine sacks. Daren Bates has 47 tackles, a sack, and an interception, Demetruce McNeal has 40 tackles, and Jake Holland has 37 tackles as the Auburn defense has spent a lot of time on the field thus far. Auburn looks to be improving but with three losses the Tigers can’t afford a fourth this early in the year.
This season has been an outright disaster for the Arkansas Razorbacks as national Title hopes have been replaced by a string of embarrassing defeats. QB Tyler Wilson has gone from Heisman candidate to completing 54.5 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Knile Davis is averaging just 3.3 yards per carry with two touchdowns and Dennis Johnson is averaging 6.3 yards per carry with one touchdown. Cobi Hamilton has 31 catches and four touchdowns and Chris Gragg has 19 catches and two touchdowns as it has been a serious downturn in production for the Razorbacks receiving corps. Arkansas is allowing 40.6 points per game, 160.8 rushing yards per game, and 349.4 passing yards per game with just one interception and seven sacks. Alonzo Highsmith has 51 tackles and Rohan Gaines and Ross Rasner each have 37 tackles. It would be surprising if Hogs’ Head Coach John L. Smith made it through the entire season.
Auburn is 14-6 against the spread in their last 20 SEC games, 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games overall, and 3-10 against the spread against a team with a losing record. Arkansas is 0-7 against the spread in their last seven road games, 2-5 against the spread after allowing over 450 yards the previous week, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four games overall.
Arkansas isn’t good but Auburn has given it up in bunches as well and while I think the Tigers get the win I don’t have them covering this overly aggressive number.