Fantasy Football News and Notes: 2013 NFL Week 11 Stock Watch Decreasing Values
Jason's Fantasy Football Analysis: Stock Watch Bear Market
November 13, 2013
Week 11 Bear Market
Ray Rice - It seems every week fantasy owners think that Rice's value cannot get any lower, and then it does. Ray Rice is having a flat out terrible season, and yet, the Ravens are still in the thick of things. Rice's value took a few extra hits this week because reports have come out stating his injury was worse than he let on. This news could be the final straw that pushes Rice's owners over the edge. And to add to this news Jim Harbaugh's comments stating that he will know go with the "hot hand," Rice is facing a fantasy obstacle of mass proportions. A pessimistic fantasy owner will be ready to sell Rice for whatever is offered, but an optimistic fantasy footballer (and one who does not own Rice) will see this as an opportunity to buy one of the most productive running backs of the past few years for an extra cheap price. Rice is a prideful and powerful running back who is developing a massive chip on his shoulder. The question to ask before making a deal for Rice has to be: is he healthy enough to carry this enormous chip? If Rice is finally 100%, then it is only a matter of time before he breakouts, and if he is not, it does not matter if he was acquired for an extremely low price. The most appealing thing about Rice is his fantasy playoff schedule. The Ravens play the Vikings, Lions, and Patriots over the fantasy playoffs, and that schedule makes Ray Rice the top buy low candidate at the fantasy trade deadline.
Chris Johnson - Johnson continued his roller coaster season last week against the Jaguars. Johnson went from rushing for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Rams on the road to rushing for just 30 yards and no touchdowns against the Jaguars at home. Johnson's fantasy value is very much in flux at the moment, and many fantasy owners will be wondering what to make of Johnson as the trade deadline approaches. Johnson is an interesting trade target because of the Titans schedule, but his unpredictable performances and the loss of jake Locker make him a risky add. Just like Ray Rice is a risk but could be huge if he gets his act together, Johnson has the potential to be huge down the stretch but he should only be acquired if the price is right.
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Victor Cruz - Cruz has fallen from fantasy grace over the past fews weeks, and now he makes for a very enticing target as the fantasy trade deadline approaches. Cruz has not had a touchdown or a 100 yard receiving game since week 4, and the addition of Andre Brown to the Giants offense could give fantasy owners the extra scare needed to acquire Cruz at a bargain price. The Giants have a great schedule coming up with the only tough matchup being the Seahawks in New York for week 15. If you sense the Cruz owner in your league is getting nervous, make a seemingly generous offer and you could get a trade bargain just before the deadline.
Roddy White - In similar fashion to Ray Rice, fantasy owners are wondering when will the real Roddy White showup? Just when it seemed White was going to be 100% for the playoff push, reports are now saying that he is dealing with a shoulder injury. Mr. Durable has turned into Mr. Unreliable in 2013, and White owners have to be getting overly frustrated with the biggest WR bust of the season. With all the injury news surrounding White, it is hard to consider him as a viable trade target, but then again, he could be a mega monster over the fantasy playoffs if he is able to back to 100%. White should be able to be acquired for a very cheap price now, especially with the news of a new injury, and that makes him worth a gamble.
Andrew Luck - Luck has taken a big hit to his value, although it does not seem the Fantasy Football World has noticed yet, and that makes Luck a great sell candidate at the trade deadline. The Colts have not been able to run the ball all year, and despite how awesome Luck has played, the Colts will not be able to overcome the loss of Reggie Wayne. Wayne was the catalyst that kept the Colts offense moving, and now they are struggling mightily to move the ball. T.Y. Hilton has stepped up and is playing like a true #1 WR, but no one else on the Colts offense is doing anything productive. When you see the Colts have to play in Cincinnati during week 14 and they go to Kansas City for week 16, fantasy championship week, it is hard to believe that Luck will be able to deliver fantasy owners a fantasy title. Many fantasy owners will believe the Rams game was an anomaly, and that is why Luck should be sold now before its too late.
Garrett Hartley - Hartley is now in danger of losing his job, and that is why fantasy owners should be wary of the Saints kicker moving forward. Hartley hit 14 of his first 16 field goals, but he is only 2 for 6 over the Saints last three games. And now he may get fired.
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