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Fantasy Football News and Updates: 2013 NFL Week 15: Risky Playoff Starts

Jason's Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 15 Risky Playoff Starts

December 14, 2013

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Week 15 Risky Playoff Starts

Reggie Bush - If fantasy owners were not paying attention to the pregame shows last week, then they surely felt burned by Reggie Bush's big pregame fall down.  Bush aggravated his calf injury in the snow last weekend before the game even started, and he provided a large number of goose eggs for his fantasy owners.  Now the Lions are playing on Monday night, and so Bush owners are still being forced to wonder if they should gamble on him again this week.  Bush owners who have Joique Bell are in a pretty good spot, and they should probably plan on playing Bell as it is.  But Bush owners without Bell must decide if they will wait for Monday night, or bench Bush and start someone else on Sunday.  There are several interesting options on the waiver wire that have better matchups than Bush this week (Ogbonnaya vs Chicago, Gerhart vs Eagles, Todman vs Bills), but it is still a risky move to bench a top 10 fantasy running back when he is supposed to be on the field.   The safe play here is to bench Bush because his greatest threat to a successful day is not the Ravens defense, but his injury and his teammate, Joique Bell.

Chris Johnson - Johnson, ever the fantasy enigma, barely came through for fantasy owners last week with an early touchdown, and now he faces another extremely tough matchup.  With a spot in the championship on the line, can you really trust CJ as a starter in your fantasy lineup when he is facing the team that has allowed the fewest fantasy points to running backs?  There is a chance the Titans will change things up after their GM has publicly stated the Titans have not taken advantage of Johnson's skill set.  The numbers say don't play Johnson, but fantasy owners across the globe know that CJ only needs one play to have a great fantasy day.   When debating over whether to start Johnson this week, fantasy owner should seek advice from Clint Eastwood and ask themselves if they feel lucky.

Fantasy Football News and Updates: 2013 NFL Week 15: Risky Playoff Starts

Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports

Victor Cruz - Cruz started out the season on fire, but he has been a disappointment since week 4.  This week the Giants face off against the Seahawks who lost a tough game to the 49ers last week.  Now the Seahawks have to get back to their "must win mode" and that does not bode well for Victor Cruz and his underperforming Giants.  There is a chance Manning has a decent day against the Seahawks due to the suspensions that have weaken their secondary.  But at the same time, one has to believe that Cruz will be shadowed by Richard Sherman, and if that is the case, it should be another long day at the office for Cruz.  Cruz is a top 20 fantasy WR despite his poor outings over the last half of the season, but this tough matchup makes him a very risky start.

T.Y .Hilton - Hilton was gone straight downhill ever since his back-to-back breakout games in weeks 9 and 10.  Once Hilton showed he could produce big numbers, defenses decided he was the man to stop, and they have.  Last week Hilton had his worst game of the season catching only 2 passes for 7 yards.  On the bright side, Hilton and Luck finally got some help last week as Brazill and Rodgers each caught two touchdowns.  The Texans should still focus on Hilton this week, but now they will have to pay attention to the other Colt's receivers as well.  Hilton burned the Texans last time they played this year for 121 yards and 3 touchdowns.  The Colts have stated that they need to get Hilton more involved in the offense, and last week's breakout games from Brazil and Rodgers should help Hilton this week.  Hilton is still a risky play, but there are reasons to be optimistic about his chances for a nice rebound game this week.

Rams DST - The Rams have Drew Brees and the Saints coming to town, and that is a very tough matchup for the Rams DST.  Some fantasy owners may get distracted by the fact Drew Brees has a 122.2 QB rating at home and just a 87.7 QB rating on the road.  And those numbers would suggest that the Rams could be a decent play this week.  However, the number fantasy owners need to see is that Brees has a QB rating of 121.8 when playing indoors and a QB rating of 83.3 when playing outside.  The Rams play in a dome, and that means Brees should play like the QB with a 120+ rating and not the guy with a QB rating in the 80's.  The Rams have been hot lately, but fantasy owners should leave them on the Bench this week.

 

For Fantasy Football Updates and Insights follow Jason on Twitter @TheSuperCommish

 

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