Fantasy Baseball Draft 2014: Top 10 Draft Day Values
Jason's Fantasy Baseball Analysis: Top 10 Draft Day Values
February 17, 2014
Top Ten Draft Day Values
1. Billy Hamilton - Hamilton enters the 2014 season as the most intriguing player in fantasy baseball. Hamilton's greatest value will be in rotisserie leagues where he has the potential to single handedly win a team the steals category. A player of Hamilton's speed has not been around since the 80's when Vince Coleman was stealing over 100 bags a year. Hamilton has game changing speed, and while a solid spring training will move him up draft boards, he should outperform his ADP this year.
2. Brian McCann - When left handed power hitters move to the Yankees, their fantasy stock usually rises drastically. For some reason this has not been the case for Brian McCann. McCann should have a good time hitting in Yankee Stadium, and fantasy owners should enjoy the fact he is not being considered a top 5 fantasy catcher to start the season.
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3. Pablo Sandoval - Sandoval has many question marks surrounding him this year, but the fact that he lost 40 pounds this offseason shows he is ready to take his game to the next level. Sandoval is currently being ranked outside the top 10 and by some experts outside the top 15 third basemen this season. Sandoval's very low ADP makes him the best valued third baseman at this point, but a strong spring training could lead to him rising up draft boards.
4. Yovani Gallardo - Gallardo has plummeted down draft boards this season, and there is really no reason for him to have fallen so far. Gallardo had a rough beginning to the 2013 season, but he showed no reason that he could not have a bounce back year in 2014. In fact, he had excellent numbers in the second half of 2013 as he posted a 3.09 ERA after the all-star break. Gallardo is currently being ranked outside the top 50 pitchers, and that is crazy value for a 27 year old who has thrown over 200 strikeouts in three of the last four seasons.
5. Billy Butler - Butler has fallen down drafts boards because he suffered from a power outage last season. After hitting 29 homers in 2012, Butler hit only 15 last season. Now that George Brett is the Royals hitting coach, Butler's power numbers should rise and he should once again outperform his draft day value.
6. Albert Pujols - Pujols is not higher on this list because it is very unlikely he falls past the third round in fantasy drafts this spring. Pujols is coming off his worst year, but he played all last season on one foot, so many fantasy owners will forgive him. Even as a third round pick, Pujols should still outproduce his draft value as he is fully capable of producing like a first round fantasy stud.
7. Matt Cain - Cain is looking like a pitcher that will present excellent value on draft day. Like Gallardo, Cain's fantasy value has dropped because of a poor start to last season. Cain was also able to turn things around in the second half of last year as he posted a stellar 2.36 ERA after the all-star break. Cain's current value has him outside the top 20 fantasy pitchers, but with a good start to the 2014 season, Cain could finish as a top 10 fantasy pitcher.
8. Manny Machado - Machado busted onto the fantasy scene last year, but a late season knee injury has caused many fantasy owners to forget about Machado's stellar 2013 campaign. Machado is currently being ranked outside the top 100 players and outside the top 10 third basemen, but when he gets back to 100% health, he is definitely capable of being a top 50 fantasy producer.
9. Brandon Beachy - Beachy has fallen of the fantasy radar because he is still recovering from Tommy John surgery. The good thing for Beachy, and fantasy owners, is that Beachy is now a full year and a half past his surgery, and that is just the amount of time needed for him to get back to 100%. When you can draft a 27 year old pitcher with a career 3.23 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in the 20+ rounds, you have to know you are getting great value.
10. Nick Swisher - There is nothing extremely noteworthy about a guy who can hit 20+ homers, drive in over 80 runs, and manage a .270 batting average, but that is exactly what Swisher has done in three of the last four seasons. Since Swisher did not do it last year, when he was suffering from a shoulder injury for most of the season, he has dropped down fantasy draft boards and should present great value on fantasy draft day.
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