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Fantasy Football Draft 2014: Tight End Busts

Taking a Look at Some of the Overvalued Players at Tight End

August 21, 2014

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It’s fantasy football draft season, and we prospective owners have been mired in speculation and research in preparation for the upcoming fantasy campaign. In that spirit, we’ve been checking out some of the potentially overvalued players in the NFL landscape this week.
Today it’s time to survey all those tight ends out there, and though some of these players may not be considered “busts” in the classic sense of the word, they probably won’t end up delivering on their lofty draft expectations. Here’s a closer look at the situations and numbers for some of the notable TE prospects.

Jordan Cameron, TE, Cleveland Browns: Now, let’s get one thing straight right off the bat here: We like Cameron, and believe he has tremendous talent. He’s coming off a great 2013 with 80 grabs for 917 yards and seven scores. That said, a lot of his week-to-week action was very hit-and-miss, with the scores coming in bunches then dropping off the planet the very next game.
The Browns’ QB issues had a lot to do with that, however, and if Brian Hoyer can play well (and fend off Johnny Football), things should stabilize. Still, with no Josh Gordon in the picture, Cameron will be next in line for the lion’s share of opposing defenses’ attention. With the tough schedule the Browns have right out of the gate, that’s not good news. We’d still draft Cameron, just not in that top echelon of TE guys.

Fantasy Football Draft 2014: Tight End Busts

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Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins: Here’s an interesting thought, as Reed is being pegged for a breakout season by most pundits out there. We agree to an extent, we just don’t think it’ll be quite the monster season many are expecting.
We’d be a little more confident in Reed if he wasn’t sharing the stage with ex-Eagle DeSean Jackson this season, as D-Jax will be hogging the spotlights, headlines and targets. Reed also has had concussion issues in the past, which is an injury that makes us especially nervous.
We still think Reed will have a respectable season, especially if the Redskins offense can get itself in sync early, but he’s probably not worth a No. 6 or 7 TE pick.

Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots: Even with the injury issues he’s had over the past couple of seasons, nothing seems to deter Gronkowski when it comes to fantasy drafting. He’s ranked No. 2 (behind only Jimmy Graham) at the TE position on most boards, and whether or not you think that’s worth it depends on how you view the situation.
The good news is that Gronkowski will likely be suiting up in Week 1. That’s a very positive sign coming off that ACL injury, but what will he look like when he’s back on the field? Is that a gamble you’re willing to take with the No. 2 TE pick when there are plenty of solid options behind him?
Making matters worse is the Patriots’ transition from a high-flying passing offense to a power running scheme. Gronk and company may have to step aside a bit while the RBs do their thing.

Vernon Davis, TE, San Francisco 49ers: Admittedly, part of this designation stems from how anemic the Niners offense has looked in the preseason so far, but it also extends further than that. Davis is good when it comes to sniffing out the end zone (13 TDs last season), but there is such a thing as becoming too reliant on snagging six every week in fantasy. It’s also unwise to depend on double-digit TD production from year to year, as it might not even happen again in 2014.
Davis will end up as an upper-level TE when the year’s over with, but he may not produce quite like a top-four or top-five TE should.

For the latest article updates, follow Andrew on Twitter @SCPAndrew.

 

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