Fantasy Baseball Draft 2015: Top 10 Overvalued Players
Taking a Look at the Top 10 Overvalued Players in the 2015 Draft
March 24, 2015
These past couple of weeks, we’ve been checking out the 2015 fantasy baseball draft from a lot of different perspectives. Today it’s time to check out some of the overvalued players out there. These guys may not be flat-out busts, but they’re probably not going to put up the stats that will make them worth your while in the position they’ll likely be taken at your draft. Let’s take a closer look.
1. Didi Gregorius, SS, New York Yankees: With the gaping hole in the Yankees’ infield left by Derek Jeter, Gregorius gets the honor of following in the footsteps of greatness. Don’t start thinking he’ll go replacing the Captain statistically; we’d be surprised if he hits for over .240 with 40 RBI this season.
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2. Justin Verlander, SP, Detroit Tigers: Verlander is one of those guys who’s getting by on name recognition these days. Even though he got to 15 wins in 2014, he also had a dozen losses an inflated ERA of 4.54. He might improve on those stats this year, but it won’t be by much.
3. Yasiel Puig, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers: Puig came into the league with a splash, and now he’s one of the hottest fantasy commodities out there. That’s why you should definitely be wary of overpaying for him. He may hit around .300, but unless he also knocks 25 homers and finishes with RBI/run totals in the 90s, you’ll likely be sacrificing some value at your draft.
4. Hisashi Iwakuma, SP, Seattle Mariners: Iwakuma is another 15-game winner from last year who we’re not completely sold on heading into this season. We doubt he’ll hit that number in 2015; he’ll probably be more in the 12-13 range with an ERA around 3.50 and 160 strikeouts. If you can get him at a value, go ahead, just don’t overpay here.
5. Bryce Harper, OF, Washington Nationals: With the glut of fantasy talent in the outfield this year, there’s no reason to go crazy over Harper. He’s an injury liability first and foremost, and he’s being drafted on potential rather than reality over the past two seasons. Wait until you see him filling those lofty expectations before pulling the trigger too high.
6. Rusney Castillo, OF, Boston Red Sox: Hopes are high on the young Castillo, who has quite the ceiling to shoot for this season. It’s trickier than some people realize to get acclimated to the big league level, which is what he needs to do if he wants to start chasing down those lofty numbers. Let someone else gamble here.
7. Matt Wieters, C, Baltimore Orioles: Even considering the fact that he’s coming off Tommy John surgery and will start the season on the disabled list, people are still lining up to draft Wieters. Sure, he’s got 20-homer potential, but it’s still a stretch to think he’ll jump back in at the torrid pace he was on last summer.
8. Devin Mesoraco, C, Cincinnati Reds: Let’s continue our catcher examination with Mesoraco. He’s another guy who has some high expectations this year, such as hitting that magical 30-homer mark. Before you draft him, consider whether or not a BA around .250 will drag down the rest of your team.
9. Buster Posey, C/1B, San Francisco Giants: Let’s finish up catchers with Posey, who is another very hot commodity in fantasy. Though his BA may hover around .300 and his homers around 20 if things go well, the return on investment at your draft probably won’t be there. He’ll go very high among catchers in a place where you could probably get better value at another spot.
10. Aroldis Chapman, RP, Cincinnati Reds: Don’t get us wrong; we like Chapman. It’s just that he hasn’t looked like the imposing, unhittable monster he used to be recently. Expect save marks in the high-30s with a K number around 105 or so and keep that in mind when you’re on the clock.
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