Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 5/1
High Cost & Value Picks for all your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
May 1st, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 5/1/15
Please remember to check the line-ups prior to the game and the weather reports to ensure you have a full roster of active players.
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- High Cost – Matt Harvey – New York Mets
There were some questions concerning Matt Harvey’s ankle going into his last start, however, Harvey show the sorry ankle isn’t to worry after going 8.2 innings, giving up just 2 runs on 5 hits while striking out 7 last Saturday against the Yankees. Harvey is 4-0 on the season with a 3.04 ERA and 0.94 WHIP and has struck out 31 batters in 26.2 IP. Harvey is dependable as he has gone at least 6.0 IP and recorded 7 strikeouts in each of his four starts in 2015. Harvey will face a Washington National team that ranks 5th in MLB in total strikeouts on Friday and as he is holding the current Nationals roster to a .213 batting average while striking out 30 batters in 80 total AB’s, he is a safe high cost option on Friday if you want to spend money at the pitching spot.
- Value Pick – Anthony DeSclafani – Cincinnati Reds
Anthony DeSclafani has been everything that Reds could home for after acquiring him in the offseason in the trade that send Mat Latos to Miami as so far in 2015, DeSclafani has posted a 2-1 record with a 1.04 ERA and 0.77 WHIP while striking out 21 batters in 26.0 IP. DeSclafani relies heavily on his fastball and also offers a change-up and slider in his arsenal and so far has really improved throwing strikes that are swung on and missed is in 2014 his SwStr% was just 8.6% and in 2015 it’s 12.0%. DeSclafani has a 7.3 K/9 so far in 2015 and although he doesn’t have much experience against the current Atlanta line up the Reds have a favorable matchup going against Trevor Cahill as Cahill comes into the match up with a 9.42 ERA and has only been able to get past the 5 inning once in four starts this year.
- High Cost – Buster Posey – San Francisco Giants
Buster Posey is starting to pick it up as of late as he is hitting .375 in his last four games with a homerun and 3 RBI’s. Posey is only hitting .235 (4-17) against left-handed pitching in 2015 and although he is a lifetime 0-3 against the Angels C.J. Wilson, Posey is hitting .353 with 25 homeruns against left-handed pitching over the past three seasons. C.J. Wilson has struggled a bit against the current Giants roster allowing a .295 average. Posey is bound to get his average back up towards his career mark of .307 (currently .263) and I want to ensure that is on my roster when he does.
- Value Pick – Brian McCann – New York Yankees
I’m going with Brian McCann as my value catcher today as although McCann is only hitting .266 on the season as of Thursday, he is hitting .316 over the past week with a homerun and 5 RBI’s. The Yankees have a solid matchup against the Red Sox’s Justin Masterson who although is 2-0 on the season, he is posting 5.16 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. McCann has a lifetime .667 (4 for 6) with a double off Masterson. Both of McCann homeruns and 8 of his 12 RBI’s have come off of right-handed pitching in 2015.
- High Cost – Anthony Rizzo – Chicago Cubs
Anthony Rizzo has absolutely owned Wily Peralta of the Milwaukee Brewers throughout his young career as Rizzo has posted an incredible .458 (11-24) average with 5 homeruns and 11 RBI’s off the righty. Rizzo is really living up to the potential all expected from him in his 4th year in the big leagues as he is currently posting a .324 average in 2015 and a .333 average over the past week. Rizzo has great power and his homerun numbers are expected to go up throughout the year and is also an underrated runner on the base paths as he already has 6 SB’s in 2015. If you’re playing in a league that includes the early game on Friday, spend some of your salary on Rizzo.
- Value Pick – Joe Mauer – Minnesota Twins
Joe Mauer is starting to look like the hitter that consistently wan the AL batting title in the late 2000’s as he has raised his batting average in 2015 to an even .300 while hitting .320 with 3 doubles, a triple, and 6 RBI’s in the past week. Mauer will be facing off against Jose Quintana of the Chicago White Sox on Friday and has posted a career .429 average with 2 homeruns and 5 RBI’s against the lefty. Mauer has been seeing the ball well off left-handers in 2015 as he is currently hitting .342 (13-38) of lefties.
- High Cost – Howie Kendrick – Los Angeles Dodgers
Howie Kendrick has slowed down from the hot start he had in 2015, however, is still batting a respectable .295 on the season with 3 homeruns and 14 RBI’s. Kendrick is one of only two members of the Dodgers that have any experience against Rubby De La Rosa of the Arizona Diamondbacks as he has posted a career .556 (5-9) average with a homerun of the lefty. Kendrick is hitting .318 off right-handed pitching in 2015 and as De La Rosa begin his career with the Dodgers, they should be well prepared to take on the right-hander
- Value Pick – Jason Kipnis – Cleveland Indians
Jason Kipnis has gotten off to a slow start in 2015, but as his salary has lowered throughout the year, I believe he is at a point where he is a great value pick. Kipnis is a great all-round offensive player as he does have enough pop in his bat to drive a ball out but also can cause trouble on the base paths with his legs. Kipnis has recorded at least a hit in 6 of his last 8 games and although has really struggled against left-handed pitching in 2015, he is facing Mark Buehrle who is allowing left-handed batters to hit .409 (9-22) on the season against him. Kipnis has a .286 average with two doubles against Buehrle in his career and I think he is good pick-up this Friday.
- High Cost – Starlin Castro – Chicago Cubs
Similar to his teammate Anthony Rizzo, Starlin Castro has owned Wily Peralta of the Brewers as he his posted an identical .458 (11-24) average with 2 homeruns and 4 RBI’s off the righty. Castro is hitting .325 on the season as of Thursday and although his average is only .279 against righties, both of his homeruns and 9 of his 12 RBI’s in 2015 have come against right-handed pitching. The Cubs roster is hitting .304 against Peralta as a team which means that there should be some ample opportunities for the Cubs to put some runs on the board on Friday.
- Value Pick – Alexei Ramirez – Chicago White Sox
After such a hot start in 2014 for Alexei Ramirez, the veteran shortstop is having a 2015 to forget as he is hitting just .194. Ramirez price tag should be dirt cheap on Friday and is good look for a value pick has he does have a career .500 (3-6) average with a double and a homerun against Minnesota’s Kyle Gibson. Ramirez has a career .275 average and although he certainly not an offensive player that you want to count on every night, he does has a little pop in his bat (15 homeruns in 2014) and has some decent value with a pitcher on the mound on Friday that he has had some success off of.
- High Cost – Evan Longoria – Tampa Bay Rays
I’m going to go with Evan Longoria as my high cost pick on Friday as not only is hitting .429 over the past week, but he has crushed the ball against Chris Tillman of the Baltimore Orioles. In his career, Longoria is hitting .389 (14-36) with 6 homeruns and 8 RBI’s off the Baltimore righty. Longoria has really picked up his offense as of late recording a hit in 7 of his last 8 games and hit a solid .289 with a homerun at Camden Yards in 2014.
- Value Pick – Trevor Plouffe – Minnesota Twins
Trevor Plouffe will be one of the cheaper options at third base this Friday and although he hasn’t had great success against Jose Quintana of the White Sox, I’m still rolling with him as my value pick this Friday. Plouffe is hitting a solid .303 at Target Field in 2015 and his shown he has a little pop in his bat as all three of his homeruns have come at home this season. Plouffe has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 games and was 2-5 with a homerun and 3 RBI’s in his last game on Wednesday against the Tigers.
- High Cost – Jason Heyward – St. Louis Cardinals.
Jason Heyward is hitting just .228 on the season as of Thursday, but has picked it up as of late as he has posted a .318 average with a homerun over the past week. Heyward has had some good success against A.J. Burnett of the Pittsburgh Pirates as he has posted a career .438 (7-16) average with 2 homeruns and 4 RBI’s. Heyward has a career .289 average and hit .304 with a home run and 5 RBI’s against the Pirates in 2014.
- High Cost – Starling Marte – Pittsburgh Pirates
I’m going to be staying in St. Louis for my other “high cost” pick for Friday as I’m going to go with Starling Marte of the Pirates. Marte is only hitting .247 on the season but does have 6 homeruns and 17 RBI’s in 2015 and has hit .292 over the past week. Marte has had success against Lance Lynn of the St. Louis Cardinals has he has posted a career .444 (8-18) average with a double and triple. Over the past three seasons, Marte has hit a solid .288 against the Cardinals and with his power, I think he’s a solid play on Friday.
- Value Pick – Ben Revere – Philadelphia Phillies
I’m going to go with Ben Revere as my first value pick as the Philadelphia leadoff hitter and the Phillies have fared well off of Miami’s Tom Koehler. Revere has a lifetime .500 (8-16) average off Koehler and although I usually like taking value picks that have some power to be able to hit a homerun, I like Revere as if he gets on base he could get us a couple of SB’s in this one. Philadelphia’s roster has hit .330 off Koehler so I’m hoping for a few singles, SB’s and runs scored from Revere in this one.
- Value Pick – David Murphy – Cleveland Indians
I’m going with David Murphy as my second value pick today as he is hitting .294 with a homerun over the past week and has a favorable matchup against Mark Buehrle of the Toronto Blue Jays. As I mentioned above with Jason Kipnis, Buehrle is allowing left handed batters to hit .409 on the season against him and as David Murphy has posted a career .600 (3-5) average against Buehrle and has homerun power, I think he is a solid value pick this Friday.