Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 5/2
High Cost & Value Picks for all your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
May 2nd, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 5/2/15
Please remember to check the line-ups prior to the game and the weather reports to ensure you have a full roster of active players.
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- High Cost – Jake Arrieta – Chicago Cubs
There are a few good options for “high cost” pitchers and although I almost went with Chris Archer of the Tampa Bay Rays as he has been lights out so far in 2015, I’ve decided to go with Jake Arrieta due mostly to the fact that he is playing the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday. Arrieta is currently 3-1 on the season with a 2.03 ERA and 0.94 WHIP while striking out 25 batters in 26.2 IP. Arrieta has an array of pitchers in his arsenal (Fastball, Sinker, Slider, Curve, Changeup) and generally can use his sharp slider to ring up right-handed batters. Arrieta was 1-1 against Milwaukee with a 2.03 in 2014 and is holding the current Brewers line up to a .213 average. The Cubs have had some success against Milwaukee’s Mike Fiers, so Arrieta has a good chance to pick up the win and the extra fantasy points in this one.
- Value Pick – Hector Santiago – Los Angeles Angels
Hector Santiago has had a good start to 2015 posting a 2-1 record with a 2.28 ERA and 1.23 WHIP while striking out 22 batters in 23.2 IP. Santiago can be a little wild at times, but I think he has good value on Saturday as he is facing a Giants team that ranks 28th in MLB with 66 runs and 16th in MLB with a total of 161 strikeouts. Santiago doesn’t have much experience against the current San Francisco roster but between his ability to be able to punch out batters and for the fact he is playing at a pitchers park (AT&T Park) makes him a good value pick on Saturday.
- High Cost – Derek Norris – San Diego Padres
The San Diego Padres are probably a bit disappointed with their 10-11 record as of Friday, however, they can’t be disappointed with their offensive production from their catcher Derek Norris. Norris is hitting .313 on the season with a homerun and 11 RBI’s and has posted a .300 average in the past week. The Padres have a favorable matchup against Colorado’s Jorge De La Rosa (0-1, 11.57 ERA, 2.29 WHIP) and Norris has recorded hits in both at-bats against De La Rosa in his career. Norris has been crushing left-handed pitching on the season as he has posted a .611 (11-18) average with 5 doubles and 4 RBI’s.
- Value Pick – Tucker Barnhart – Cincinnati Reds
I almost put Barnhart in my lineup on Wednesday but stayed away as he has never displayed much power at any level in MLB. Well, Barnhart must have heard my doubts as he has hit homeruns in both starts since being called up and has posted a .333 average in those two games. This small power surge from Barnhart isn’t sustainable, however he probably will continue to get the starts with Devin Mesoraco being out due to an injury. Barnhart is only a career .200 hitter so it’s a reach to take him, however, he was hitting .313 down at Triple AAA in 2015 prior to being called up and I’m going to roll with the hot hand for my value pick today.
- High Cost – Anthony Rizzo – Chicago Cubs
I’m sticking with Anthony Rizzo for the second straight day as similar to Wily Peralta, Rizzo has owned Milwaukee’s Mike Fiers posting a career .714 average (5-7) with a homerun and 2 RBI’s. Rizzo seems to fair well against the Brewers and posted a .288 average with 5 homeruns and 11 RBI’s in 52 AB’s in 2014. Rizzo is hitting .324 as of Friday in 2015 including a .353 average over the past week. As I mentioned yesterday, Rizzo is always a great option as not only can he hit for power, but he can also steal a base at the right opportunity as he already has 6 SB’s in 2015.
- Value Pick – Albert Pujols/Joe Mauer – Los Angeles Angels/Minnesota Twins
Albert Pujols has had a slow start to his season but has recorded at least one hit in his last 4 games and has had great success against the Giants Tim Hudson as he has posted a career .438 (14-32) average with 3 homeruns and 7 RBI’s against the veteran righty. Pujols tweaked his hamstring earlier this week and is currently listed day-to-day, but said as of Thursday that he was feeling better and hopes to be in the lineup by the weekend. If Pujols can’t go, Joe Mauer is once again a good value pick for Saturday as he has a career .394 (53-58) average of Chicago’s John Danks. Mauer is hitting .367 over the past week and has hit .366 against left-handed pitching in 2015.
- High Cost – Jose Altuve – Houston Astros
Jose Altuve has been on an absolute tear as he has been hitting .500 (17-34) over his past 7 games and has collected at least 2-hits in an amazing 8 straight games. With his recent hot streak, Altuve has raised his season average from .288 to .367 and now has 2 homeruns and 16 RBI’s in 2015. Altuve has had some success against Seattle’s Taijuan Walker as he has posted a career .385 average (5-12) with 2 doubles against the righty. Altuve is certainly worth the high price tag during this amazing streak of hitting.
- Value Pick – Jedd Gyorko – San Diego Padres
There are a few options for value picks at second base as Dan Uggla and Aaron Hill are solid options, however, I’ve gone with Jedd Gyorko solely due to the matchup against Colorado’s Jorge De La Rosa. Gyorko has started to split time with Yangervis Solarte, however, as he has a career .688 average (11-16) against De La Rosa, I imagine he will be in the starting line-up on Saturday. Gyorko is hitting a dismal .135 on the season as of Friday, however, in an early matchup against De La Rosa on 4/20/15, Gyorko was 1-1 with a double and a walk in this matchup.
- High Cost – Marcus Semien – Oakland Athletics
I’m going with Marcus Semien of the Athletics as my high-cost player on Saturday as the shortstop has had a great 2015 posting a .284 average with 3 homeruns and 12 RBI’s as of Friday. Semien will be facing Nick Martinez of the Rangers who has been lights out all season, however, I’m completely sold on Martinez as of yet, and think he is due to have a rough outing. Semien is 0-2 lifetime against Martinez, however he is hitting .320 over the past week and is hitting .313 against left-handed pitching so far in 2015.
- Value Pick – Zack Cozart – Cincinnati Reds
Cozart has cooled off from a small hot streak that saw him go 4-9 with three homeruns and 6 RBI’s in a two stay span against Milwaukee in mid-April, however, he is still hitting .280 on the season. Cozart has had success off the Braves Eric Stults posting a career .500 (3-6) average with an RBI. Over the past three seasons, Cozart has done well against Atlanta as has posted a .311 average with 3 homeruns and 2 triples in 74 plate appearances.
- High Cost – Pablo Sandoval – Boston Red Sox
Pablo Sandoval is enjoying a good first month with his new ball club as he is posting a .312 average with 2 homeruns and 11RBI’s and has batted .450 over the past week. Sandoval will be facing Nathan Eovaldi of the New York Yankees in which he has posted a career .714 (10-14) average with a homerun and 10 RBI’s. Sandoval has done great against right-handed pitching in 2015 as he has posted a .397 average.
- Value Pick – Will Middlebrooks – San Diego Padres
I’m banking on another strong performance from the San Diego offensive against Colorado’s Jorge De La Rosa and with the success that the Padres roster has had against De La Rosa (hitting .412) I want the another middle of the order bat in my fantasy line-up on Saturday at good value. Middlebrooks is hitting just .222 on the season, but does have 3 homeruns and is hitting .308 against Colorado pitching in 2015. Middle Brookes was able to go 1 for 2 in his first matchup against De La Rosa with a triple and 2 RBI’s.
- High Cost – Matt Kemp – San Diego Padres
With my first high cost outfielder, I’m going to select another San Diego Padre as this is the match-up to be all over on Saturday. Matt Kemp has posted a career .415 (17-41) average against Jorge De La Rosa with 3 homes and an incredible 15 RBI’s. Kemp is having a great season with his new team hitting .326 on the season with a homerun and 16 RBI’s. Kemp is hitting .450 and slugging .650 against left-handed pitching, and with his power, it will only be a matter of time in which some of these hits start producing homeruns. Take Kemp on Saturday.
- High Cost – Matt Holliday – St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Holliday does have a difficult matchup on Saturday against Pittsburgh Francisco Liriano, however between his past success against Liriano and how well he is hitting left-handed pitching in 2015, I still feel Holliday is worth spending some of your salary on Saturday. Holliday has posted a career .389 average against Liriano and is hitting .600 (6-10) with 7 walks and 3 RBI’s against left-handed pitching in 2015. Holliday is hitting .379 on the season as of Friday and .368 over the past week.
- Value Pick – Michael Cuddyer – New York Mets
Michael Cuddyer is only hitting .247 on the season but does have a couple homeruns and 11 RBI’s. Cuddyer certainly has homerun power, and has posted a career .429 (6-14) average with a homerun and 3 RBI’s against the Nationals Gio Gonzalez. Cuddyer is hitting much better at Citi Field as he has posted a .314 (11-35) average at home and is also hitting .316 against left-handed pitching in 2015.
- Value Pick – Eduardo Nunez – Minnesota Twins
I’m going with Eduardo Nunez as my second value pick today as he is hitting .409 (9-22) on the season and I expect him to get the start on Saturday as he has posted a .455 (5-11) average with a double, triple, and homerun against the White Sox’s John Danks. As Danks has been roughed up so far in 2015 and is currently allowing the Minnesota’s current roster to hit .333 (71-213) against him, I feel if Nunez gets that start he’ll have some good opportunities to score some runs and get some RBI’s in this one.