Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 5/14
High Cost & Value Picks for all your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
May 14th, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 5/14/15
Please remember to check the line-ups prior to the game and the weather reports to ensure you have a full roster of active players.
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- High Cost – Johnny Cueto – Cincinnati Reds
There are not many “aces” on the mound this Thursday but if you’re going to spend some cash at the position today, Cueto is one of your best options. Cueto is 3-3 on the season and has posted a 2.98 ERA with a 0.88 WHIP while striking out 47 batters in 51.1 IP. Over the past three seasons, Cueto has posted a 2.51 ERA in his two starts against the Giants and in 2015 he has pitched well at home posting a 1.23 ERA. Cueto has a strong 8.2 K/9 Ratio and as the Giants rank 29th in MLB in total runs scored, I thin Cueto has a great shot for the win today.
- Value Pick – Andrew Hutchison – Toronto Blue Jays
I want to say right away that this pick is certainly a gamble, but it does have the potential to pay off in a big way if Hutchison can get through 6 or 7 innings. Hutchison might be posting a 6.69 ERA with a 1.60 WHIP, however, he does have some good enough stuff to pile up some strikeouts and as the Astros ranked 2nd in MLB in most strikeouts, I can see Hutchison who had a career 8.4 K/9, having a decent day. Hutchison is coming off his best start of the season against the Boston Red Sox going 5.0 innings giving up just 1 run while piling up 6 strikeouts on 106 pitches. If Hutchison can find a way to be a bit more efficient and avoid the big inning that has plagued in 2015, he could put up a good point total tonight. Take a look at Hutchison but tread very lightly…
- High Cost – Yasmani Grandal – Los Angeles Dodgers
I’m going with Yasmani Grandal of the Dodgers today as he on top of the great and unexpected season that he is having, he will be facing an inexperienced right-hander in Colorado’s Chad Bettis. Grandal is hitting .298 with 4 homeruns and 15 RBI’s and has been raking it over the past week posting a .467 average with 2 homeruns and 11 RBI’s. Grandal made his presence known is his recent game on May 7th in which he went a perfect 4 for 4 with 2 homeruns and 8 RBI’s. Colorado’s Chad Bettis has started only 8 games in MLB and in his career has posted a 6.88 ERA and 1.83 WHIP so I do expect the Dodgers to have a good day at plate on Thursday.
- Value Pick – Nick Hundley – Colorado Rockies
I’m staying in Los Angeles for my value catcher for the day as I’m going to take Nick Hundley of the Colorado Rockies. Hundley has had a great season for the Rockies hitting .25 with 2 homeruns and 9 RBI’s and is 1 for 2 lifetime against the Brett Anderson of the Dodgers. Hundley had his 13 game hitting streak snapped last night and has hit .341 against the Dodgers over his past 2 seasons.
- High Cost – Joey Votto – Cincinnati Reds
Joey Votto hit a little bit of a rough stretch this past week, but did go 2 for 4 in last night’s game against the Braves and is hitting .306 with 7 homeruns and 21 RBI’s on the season. Votto has a good matchup as he is going against Tim Lincecum of the San Francisco Giants in which he has posted a career .317 average with a homerun and 5 RBI’s. Votto is hitting .313 with all 7 of his homeruns off right handed pitching in 2015 and is hitting .311 at Great American Ball Park over the past three years.
- Value Pick – Prince Fielder – Baltimore Orioles
Prince Fielder has quietly put together a great start to his 2015 season as he is currently hitting .346 with 4 homeruns and 19 RBI’s. Fielder collected another 3 hits in last night’s contest against the Kansas City Royals and is now hitting .333 with 2 homeruns and 6 RBI’s over the past week. Fielder has a great matchup against Jeremy Guthrie of the Kansas City Royals as he has posted a career .478 average with 3 doubles, a homerun, and 2 RBI’s. Fielder has been crushing it at home as he has posted a .410 average and has hit .328 (44-134) against the Royals over the past three years.
- High Cost – Howie Kendrick – Los Angeles Dodgers
I’m going back to Los Angeles and their favorable pitching matchup against Chad Bettis of the Colorado Rockies and going with Howie Kendrick as my high-cost second baseman on Thursday. Kendrick is hitting .306 on the season with 4 homeruns and 17 RBI’s and has hit .455 (10-22) with 2 doubles, a homerun and 2 RBI’s over the past week. Kendrick is hitting .292 against right-handed pitching on the season and has hit .386 and has a .671 slugging % at home this season. Kendrick enters this game with a 5 game hitting streak and as he has been batting in the 3rd or 4th spot for the majority of the season, could have a good chance to knock in some RBI’s on Thursday.
- Value Pick – Addison Russell - Chicago Cubs
I’m going to Chicago and taking the talented rookie second baseman Addison Russell as my value pick today. Russell is hitting .267 on the season with 2 homeruns and 9 RBI’s and although his average isn’t that high, he has collected at least one base hit in 17 of the 20 games he has played in this year. Russell has a tough matchup against Jonathon Niese of the New York Mets who has pitched really well this year, however, Russell has hit .308 against left-handers on the season. Russell certainly has the ability to hit for value and although he hitting at the bottom of the Cubs lineup, the potential that Russell has for the price is good value.
- High Cost – Troy Tulowitzki – Colorado Rockies
Troy Tulowitzki will be facing another left-hander pitcher on Thursday, which means if you can afford him, he’s worth getting in your lineups today. Tulowitzki is hitting .303 on the season with 2 homeruns and 11 RBI’s, however has crushed lefties on the season hitting at a .440 (11-25) mark. Tulowitzki will be facing Brett Anderson of the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday in which he is 2 for 2 with a double lifetime against. Tulowitzki is hitting .303 away from Coors Field on the season and is hitting .320 in night games in 2015.
- Value Pick – Elvis Andrus – Texas Rangers
I’m going with Elvis Andrus as my value pick on Thursday as although the veteran shortstop is hitting only .228 on the season with a homerun and 8 RBI’s he does have a solid pitching matchup on Thursday. Andrus will be facing off against Jeremy Guthrie of the Kansas City Royals on Thursday in which he has posted a career .360 (9-25) average with 2 doubles, a homerun and 2 RBI’s. Andrus has fared better at home on the season hitting at a .241 mark and as Andrus can swipe a base or two if he gets on, he has good value if you’re trying to save money at the SS position today.
- High Cost – Nolan Arenado – Colorado Rockies
I’m taking another strong right-handed bat from the Colorado Rockies today for my high cost pick in Nolan Arenado. Arenado is hitting .294 on the season with 6 homeruns and 17 RBI’s and will be facing the left-handed Brett Anderson of the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday. Arenado has a limited history against Anderson (1 for 2 lifetime) but has hit .304 against lefties over his past three seasons and is hitting .308 away from Coors Field on the season. Arenado is hitting a respectable .286 over his past week and went 2 for 5 last night with a double in the Rockies 2-1 loss to the Angels.
- Value Pick – Yangervis Solarte – San Diego Padres
I’m going with Yangervis Solarte as my value pick today as even though he has mostly been playing second base on the season, he is still listed on the third base position in the daily fantasy leagues. Solarte has slowed down from his hot start in 2015 but is still hitting .280 with 2 homeruns and 20 RBI’s on the season. Solarte should get the start tonight as the Padres are facing the right-handed Doug Fister and they have been starting Solarte over Jedd Gyorko for the most part against righties. Solarte hasn’t yet to face Fister in his career however is hitting .325 against right-handed pitching and .313 at his home ball park on the season. Solarte certainly has some pop in his bat and as his price is in the low $2000 range, he has some good value tonight.
- High Cost – Bryce Harper – Washington Nationals
Harper was having another decent day at the plate yesterday before getting ejected in the 7th inning for arguing balls and strikes. Harper is hitting .308 on the season with 12 homeruns and 31 RBI’s and has been especially on a tear as of late hitting .500 with 4 homeruns and 11 RBI’s over the past week. Harper will face Tyson Ross of the San Diego Padres on Thursday in which he is a lifetime 2 for 2 with a homerun against. Harper is hitting .326 against right-handed pitching on the season and currently has a 7 game hit streak in which in that span has collected 14 hits.
- High Cost – Joc Pederson – Los Angeles Dodges
I’m going to roll with the slugging rookie outfielder as my second high-cost pick today as although Pederson is hitting just .255 on the season, he has hit 10 homeruns and collected 21 RBI’s early into 2015. As I mentioned above, I like the matchup the Dodgers have against Chad Bettis of the Colorado Rockies and as Pederson has already hit 6 homeruns at home this season, I think he has good shot to add another on to his total on Thursday. Pederson is hitting a bit better against right-handed pitching posting a .273 mark so far in 2015 and has collected a base hit in his last three games.
- High Value – Yoenis Cespedes – Detroit Tigers
I’m going back with Yoenis Cespedes in the outfield tonight as he seems to be the one player that always performs when I’ve gone with him this season and he has a good pitching matchup against Mike Pelfrey on Thursday afternoon. Cespedes is hitting just .275 on the season but does have 4 homeruns and 18 RBI’s. Cespedes has fared well against Pelfrey in his career as he has posted a .500 (4-8) average with 2 doubles and 2 RBI’s. Cespedes has actually fared a lot better against right-handed pitching on the season as he has hit .307 with a homerun and 7 RBI’s against righties. Over the past three seasons Cespedes has fared well against Minnesota as he has hit .371 (23-62) with 4 homeruns and 20 RBI’s.
- Value Pick – Jay Bruce – Cincinnati Reds
Jay Bruce has had a season to forget so far in 2015 but I’m hoping that his past success against Tim Lincecum could lead to a big day for the veteran outfielder. Bruce is hitting just .167 on the season so there is no reason to go into his 2015 statistics because they are all poor. Bruce has had success against Lincecum in his career as he has posted a .444 average with a double, homerun and 4 RBI’s against the right-hander. Bruce has shown that he still has power when he connects as he does have 5 homeruns and 14 RBI’s on the season and as he has hit .385 against the Giants over the past three seasons, he has good value on Thursday.