Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 5/17
High Cost & Value Picks for all your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
May 17th, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 5/17/15
Please remember to check the line-ups prior to the game and the weather reports to ensure you have a full roster of active players.
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Please note, the statistics were taken prior to the games played on 5/16.
- High Cost – Chris Archer – Tampa Bay Rays
Chris Archer has had a great start to the 2015 season and although he has only posted a 3-4 record, he comes into Sunday’s matchup with a 2.59 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with 58 strikeouts in 48.2 IP. Archer began the season on a tear, and although he has come back to earth a bit in his recent starts, he looked good in his last outing against the Yankees going 7.0 innings giving up just 2 runs while striking out 8. Archer has held the current Twins roster to a .200 (10-50) average and has yet to give up an earned run in his two starts on the road this season. Minnesota ranks 8th in MLB in total strikeouts and I think Archer will be able to get through 7 innings getting 8-10 strikeouts in this matchup.
- Value Pick – Chris Heston – San Francisco Giants
Chris Heston has been a nice surprise for the Giants this season as he has posted a 3-3 record with a 2.91 ERA and 1.17 WHIP while striking out 39 batters in 46.1 IP on the season. Heston started seven games on the season and has had 5 quality starts in which hasn’t given up more than 1 run. Heston had his best outing of the season in his recent matchup against the Houston Astros as the rookie picked up his first complete game giving up just 2 hits, 1 run while striking out 10. Heston will be going against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday and as the Reds rank in the bottom half of the most MLB offensive categories, along with the fact they’ve never seen Heston before, makes Heston a quality value pick on Sunday.
- High Cost – Stephen Vogt – Oakland Athletics
Vogt has gotten a couple days off as the Athletics have seen a lot of left-handed starters, however as they will be facing a struggling right-hander in Jeff Samardzija, Vogt is a good option on Sunday. On the season, Vogt is hitting .337 with 9 homeruns and 30 RBI’s and has hit .455 with 2 homeruns and 5 RBI’s over the past week. Vogt has never faced Jeff Samardzija of the Chicago White Sox, however has crushed right-handed pitching on the season to the tune of a .353 average. Samardzija has given up 14 ER and 4 homeruns over his past three starts and I’m hoping that Vogt will be able to continue this trend on Sunday.
- Value Pick – Derek Norris – San Diego Padres
Derek Norris is having a great first season with the Padres as he is hitting .302 with 3 homeruns and 23 RBI’s on the season. Norris price tag has gone down over the past few weeks however, it seems that the right-handed hitting catcher is heating up a bit as he is 3 for 7 in his last two games with a triple, homerun and 5 RBI’s. Norris will be going against Stephen Strasburg of the Washington Nationals and although Norris is hitting only .260 against righties on the season, Strasburg has really struggled this season and I can Norris connecting on one of his fastballs. If Norris price tag stays in the mid-$2000 range, he has some good value on Sunday.
- High Cost – Prince Fielder – Texas Rangers
Prince Fielder’s price tag certainly isn’t as high as many other first baseman on Sunday, however he is going to be my play at first base as Fielder is hitting .345 with 5 homeruns and 22 RBI’s on the season and has hit .370 with 3 homeruns and 8 RBI’s over the past week. Fielder will be going up against Carlos Carrasco of the Cleveland Indians and in his career he has posted a .600 (3-5) average with a double, homerun and 4 RBI’s. Fielder has crushed right-handed pitching on the season hitting .385 and has fared well at home hitting .403 on the season.
- Value Pick – James Loney – Tampa Bay Rays
James Loney is only hitting .238 on the season with 2 homeruns and 7 RBI’s however he has some good value on Sunday as he has a favorable matchup against Kyle Gibson of the Minnesota Twins. Loney has posted a career .571 average and .714 slugging % against Kyle Gibson and has hit .357 (20-56) with 4 doubles and 8 RBI’s against the Twins over the past three seasons. Loney will be at Target Field which has been a good ball park for hitters on the season and is hitting .313 in day games in 2015.
- High Cost – Jose Altuve – Houston Astros
I’m going with Jose Altuve on Sunday as although the second basemen is hitting only .273 over with past week, he has a great season hitting at a .338 mark with 5 homeruns and 24 RBI’s. Altuve has a good matchup against Mark Buehrle of the Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday as he has posted a career .364 average against the left-hander. Altuve is hitting an incredible .462 against left-handed pitching on the season and is 4 for 7 with a BB, double, homerun and 3 RBI’s as of Saturday’s game against the Blue Jays in their current series.
- Value Pick – Omar Infante - Kansas City Royals
Omar Infante is showing good value on Saturday as the veteran second baseman has been hitting .321 with 2 doubles, 2 triples, and 4 RBI’s over the past week and has a favorable matchup against Chris Capuano of the New York Yankees this Sunday. In his career, Infante has hit .389 with a double, triple, 2 homeruns and 3 RBI’s in his career against Capuano. Infante is hitting .500 in his last two games and for his low price, he has good value on Sunday if he can continue his hot streak against Capuano and the Yankees.
- High Cost – Starlin Castro – Chicago Cubs
I’ve been sticking with Semien and Tulowitzki a lot this week, however, for Sunday I’m going with Starlin Castro as he has owned A.J. Burnett in his career. Castro is hitting .278 with 3 homeruns and 20 RBI’s on the season however, in his career he has posted a .469 (15-32) average with three doubles and 4 RBI’s against Burnett. Castro has fared well against the Pirates so far in 2015 as he is hitting .412 with a homerun and 6 RBI’s against Pittsburgh. Castro has collected at least a hit in 3 of his last 4 games which included a solid 2-4 performance with 2 BB and 2 runs against Pittsburgh on Friday.
- Value Pick – Alex Ramirez – Chicago White Sox
Alexei Ramirez got off to a slow start in 2015 but is starting to pick up as of late and is a good value pick as he has a decent pitching matchup this Sunday. Ramirez is only hitting .241 on the season with 2 homeruns and 15 RBI’s however his hit .370 (10-27) with 2 homeruns and 7 RBI’s over the past week. Ramirez is squaring off against Scott Kazmir of the Oakland Athletics on Sunday in which Ramirez has posted a career .316 (6-19) average with 2 doubles, a triple, a homerun and 4 RBI’s. Ramirez is riding a 9 game hitting streak going into his game on Saturday and I’m hoping that his recent success continues over the weekend.
- High Cost – Nolan Arenado – Colorado Rockies
Nolan Arenado is having another solid season with the Rockies as he has posted a .291 average with 6 homeruns and17 RBI’s on the season. Arenado hasn’t hit for much power since his 2 homerun game on May 3rd against the Padres, however he has a good matchup against Mike Bolsinger in which he is 2 for 3 off of lifetime. Arenado is hitting .300 against left-hand pitching on the season as Bolsinger is allowing the current Rockies lineup to hit .450 (9-20) against him, I think Arenado could be in for a big day.
- Value Pick – David Freese – Los Angeles Angels
I’m going with David Freese on Sunday as my value pick largely due to his success against Bud Norris of the Baltimore Orioles. Norris had his scheduled start pushed back to Sunday as he is currently battling an illness, so it will be important if you go with Freese that Norris is pitching on Sunday. In his career against Norris Freese has hit .478 (11-23) with two doubles and 2 RBI’s. Freese is hitting only .219 on the season but does have 5 homeruns and 19 RBI’s and hit .333 at Camden Yards in 2014.
- High Cost – Bryce Harper – Washington Nationals
I’m going back to Bryce Harper as he was back to his smashing ways on Friday night going 3-4 with 2 R, a homerun and 2 RBI’s against the Padres. Harper has absolutely destroyed the baseball this year as on the season he is hitting .317 with 13 homeruns and 33 RBI’s and in the past week, has hit .458 with 3 homeruns and 8 RBI’s. Harper will be facing off against Ian Kennedy of the San Diego Padres in which has limited experience against going 1 for 3 lifetime against the right-hander. Harper is hitting .330 and slugging .755 against right-handed pitching on the season and has been worth shoveling over the big money in the daily fantasy leagues.
- High Cost – Giancarlo Stanton – Miami Marlins
Giancarlo Stanton is starting to find his power stroke as Stanton has killed the Atlanta Braves over the week as mid-way through his game on Saturday he is 3-6 with 3 homeruns in his last 1.5 games. Stanton is hitting .257 with 11 homeruns and 36 RBI’s on the season and his hitting .281 at home one the season. Stanton will be squaring off against Shelby Miller on Sunday in which he has posted a career .333 average with 2 homeruns and 3 RBI’s. Miami’s current roster has hit .309 (21-68) against Shelby Miller and with the way Stanton is crushing the ball out of Marlins Park right now, he is safe to get into your lineups on Sunday.
- High Value – Curtis Granderson – New York Mets
I don’t know what it is about Curtis Granderson this week, but the career .235 hitter seems to have good matchups this week and although he hasn’t come through completely, I’m going with him once more. Granderson is hitting .235 on the season with 3 homeruns and 10 RBI’s and will be facing Wily Peralta of the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday in which he has posted a career .800 (4-5) average with 2 doubles and a homerun. Granderson is hitting .263 against right-handed pitchers on the season and .265 in day games in 2015 and as Granderson still has some pop in his bat, he once again has decent value on Saturday.
- Value Pick – Carlos Beltran – New York Yankees
Carlos Beltran is hitting .222 on the season with 2 homerun and 15 RBI’s however, the right fielder is hitting .348 with 2 homeruns and 4 RBI’s over the past week. Beltran will be going against Edinson Volquez in which he has posted a career .353 average with 7 RBI’s against the right-hander. Volquez is hitting .253 against right-handed pitching on the season and has hit .290 against the Royals over the past three seasons. Beltran price tag is real low currently and has great value if he can continue his hot hitting on Sunday.