Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 5/19
High Cost & Value Picks for all your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
May 19th, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 5/19/15
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- High Cost – Sonny Gray – Oakland Athletics
Sonny Gray is going to cost you the most money on Tuesday night but he should be worth every penny as Gray has been lights out on the season and has a good match-up against the strikeout prone Houston Astros. On the season, Gray is 4-1 with a 1.61 ERA and 0.93 WHIP while striking out 53 batters in 56.0 IP. Gray is holding the current Astros roster to a .238 (15-63) average in which just 2 of those 15 hits have been more than a single. Houston ranks 2nd in MLB in total strikeouts and outside of their recent Blue Jays series, has struggled a bit from the plate. In the last three games, Gray has been absolutely dominated giving up just 2 runs in 19.2 IP while striking out 28 batters.
- Value Pick – Trevor Bauer – Cleveland Indians
Trevor Bauer is a good value pick today as although the young gun can struggle with his control at times, he does have the arsenal to pile up some K’s and he has a favorable matchup against the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday. Bauer is 2-1 on the season with a respectable 3.67 ERA and 1.30 WHIP with 44 strikeouts in 41.2 IP. Bauer has posted two quality starts against the White Sox in which he has posted a 1-0 record while giving up 2 runs and striking out 15 over 13.0 IP. Bauer has hit double-digit strikeouts in 2 of his 7 outings and is coming off his recent start against the Cardinals in which he gave up just 1 run over 7.1 IP while striking out 10. Bauer has been great away from his home ball park as he has yet to give up a run in 2 stars on the road this season.
- High Cost – Carlos Ruiz – Philadelphia Phillies
Ruiz isn’t one of the highest cost catchers on Tuesday but he still will set you back about $3000 which in my eyes puts Ruiz in the high cost bracket tonight. Ruiz is hitting just .258 on the season and has yet to connect on a homerun on the season, however, veteran catcher is hitting .375 over the past week and .300 in May. Ruiz will be going against Chad Bettis of the Colorado Rockies on Tuesday in which he is a perfect 3 for 3 in his career against. Ruiz is hitting .278 and slugging .556 at Coors Field over the past three seasons which includes 2 doubles, a homerun and 4 RBI’s.
- Value Pick – Yadier Molina – St. Louis Cardinals
For my value pick, I’m going to stick with another catcher who has been hot as of late and also has yet to hit a homerun this season in Yadier Molina. Molina is hitting .302 on the season with no homeruns and 15 RBI’s but has been raking it as of late hitting .429 over the past week including three hits last night. Molina will be up against Jonathon Niese of the New York Yankees tonight in which in his career, has posted a .375 (6-16) average with a double, homerun, and 2 RBI’s. Over the past three seasons, Molina has hit .320 and slugged .525 against left hand pitching and hit .348 against the Mets in that time period. For a low to mid $2000 price, I’m going to stick with Molina tonight.
- High Cost – Adrian Gonzalez – Los Angeles Dodgers
Adrian Gonzalez is hitting just .235 over the past week, but is still having a great season as on the season Gonzalez is hitting .356 with 9 homeruns and 32 RBI’s. Gonzalez has a great matchup against Tim Hudson of the San Francisco Giants on Tuesday night as he has posted a career .370 average with 2 homeruns and 5 RBI’s off the veteran right-hander. Hudson has really struggled on the season and has given 8 homeruns over his last 32.0 IP. Gonzalez has hit .358 with 8 of his 9 homeruns against right-handed pitching and is hitting .416 during night games in 2015.
- Value Pick – Pedro Alvarez – Pittsburgh Pirates
Pedro Alvarez is only hitting .219 on the season, but for his value and his power against a below-average right-handed pitcher on Tuesday, makes him a great value pick on the night. Although Alvarez is hitting at a low average he has hit 6 homeruns and gathered 16 RBI’s on the season and has done well against Ricky Nolasco of the Minnesota Twins as he has posted a career .333 average with a triple, homerun and RBI. In limited experience against the Twins, Alvarez has hit .444 against Minnesota over the past 3 seasons. Alvarez is coming off a strong series against the Cubs in which he hit .400 (4-10) in the series with a homerun and for the mid to high $2000 price, has good value tonight.
- High Cost – Jimmy Paredes – Baltimore Orioles
Jimmy Paredes continues his great 2015 season with Orioles as the switch-hitter is hitting .343 on the season with 5 homeruns and 18 RBI’s. Paredes hasn’t faced Taijuan Walker of the Seattle Mariners in his career, however Paredes is hitting .337 against right-handed pitching while all five his homeruns have come as a left-handed batter in 2015. Walker is certainly a talented, young pitcher for the Mariners has really struggled on the season as he comes into this matchup with a 7.22 ERA and 1.72 WHIP and has given up 5 homeruns over his last 14.0 IP. Paredes is hitting .357 at home on the season and expect he could have a good night off Walker.
- Value Pick – Jace Peterson - Atlanta Braves
I’m probably going to with Paredes tonight as my 2B but if I need to save a little bit of money, I’d probably look to continue to ride the hot hand of Jace Peterson. Peterson is hitting .284 with a homerun and 15 RBI’s and his hitting .300 over his past week with 2 doubles, a homerun and 6 RBI’s. Peterson has a good match-up against Erasmo Ramirez of the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday as although Peterson hasn’t faced Ramirez in his career, Ramirez has really struggled on the season posting a 6.66 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Peterson is hitting .292 against right-handed pitching on the season and .362 at Turner Field and I feel for the price, he is good option a 2B tonight.
- High Cost – Troy Tulowitzki – Colorado Rockies
One of these nights, Troy Tulowitzki is going to break out and although he is facing Aaron Harang who has pitched well this season, I’m rolling with Tulowitzki tonight at Coors Field. Tulowitzki is hitting just .283 on the season with 2 homeruns and 11 RBI’s and although he has only hit .261 off Harang in his career, when he has hit him, he has him hard as Tulowitzki has 2 doubles, a triple, a homerun, and 10 RBI’s in 23 career AB’s against Harang. Tulowitzki is career .298 hitter and has hit .354 at Coors Field over the past three seasons. It’s not as much a question if Tulowitzki gets going, it’s more, when he gets going and I hope he is on my team when he does.
- Value Pick – J.J. Hardy – Baltimore Orioles
I’m going with J.J. Hardy as my value pick for many of the same reasons why I went with Jimmy Paredes as my “high cost” second baseman. Hardy is still getting in the swing of things for his 2015 season as he missed all of April and the beginning of May due to injury and currently over his first two weeks of the season is hitting just .176 with 2 homeruns and 2 RBI’s. Hardy is only a career .260 hitter but has shown consistently over his career he has some pop in his bat that can get us a homerun on any given night. Taijuan Walker has a 10.90 ERA on the road this season and going into the friendly hitting Camden Yards isn’t probably the answer. I’m hoping that Walker continues his struggles on Tuesday and that Hardy can get us a homerun.
- High Cost – Adrian Beltre – Texas Rangers
I was initially leaning towards Donaldson as he is also facing a left-hander tonight , however as Donaldson is just a career 1-12 against Hector Santiago, I’ve decided to go with Adrian Beltre as he is a bit cheaper and also facing a lefty in the Red Sox’s Wade Miley on Tuesday. Beltre has struggled from the plate in 2015 hitting just .258 with 5 homeruns and 15 RBI’s, however he is hitting .295 and slugging .591 against left-handed pitching in 2015. Beltre is 0-3 lifetime against Miley but has hit .313 against lefties and .297 with 4 homeruns and 8 RBI’s at Fenway Park over the past three seasons.
- Value Pick – Maikel Franco – Philadelphia Phillies
Take a look at Maikel Franco today as a solid pick in the mid-$2000 range as the recently promoted third baseman for the Phillies is a solid value pick on Tuesday with his power and for the fact he is playing at Coors Field. Franco got a call up late last season and didn’t look that great at the MLB level however was hitting .350 in 145 plate appearances down in triple-AAA in 2015. Franco certainly has some power in his bat and is hitting .333 in his last three games with a triple, homerun and 2 RBI’s. Franco will face off against Chad Bettis tonight who doesn’t have an overwhelming arsenal and if I need to save some money at the position, I’ll probably roll the dice with Franco tonight.
- High Cost – Michael Brantley – Cleveland Indians
Michael Brantley is hitting .336 with 4 homeruns and 22 RBI’s and although he is facing a left-hander tonight in Jose Quintana of the Chicago White Sox, he has consistently fared well against Quintana in his career. Brantley is hitting .320 (8-25) with 5 R, 5 Doubles, a homerun and 6 RBI’s over the past week and in his career against Quintana has posted a .500 (10-20) average with 3 doubles, a homerun and 5 RBI’s. Brantley is hitting .364 and slugging .636 against left-handed pitching on the season and hit .324 against White Sox pitching in 2014.
- High Cost – Charlie Blackmon – Colorado Rockies
The leadoff man for the Rockies has really struggled as of late hitting just .192 over the past week, however Blackmon still has decent numbers on the season as he is hitting .279 with 5 homeruns and 15 RBI’s. Blackmon is generally great at Coors field as in 2014 he hit .331 with 13 homeruns and 48 RBI’s and is a great fantasy player as he along with his power, he can also do some damage on the base paths with his legs. Blackmon will be facing Aaron Harang tonight who although is having a good season, has a 4.63 ERA at Coors field over his past three seasons. Harang is overdue for a difficult start and as 65% (104/160) of his outs have come by fly-balls, Harang could have a difficult night at Coors Field.
- High Value – Gerardo Parra – Milwaukee Brewers
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield is certainly crowded at the moment with the return of Carlos Gomez in center field, and although Parra at first seemed that he was going to be the odd man out, he has been on an absolute tear as of late and has forced the Brewers to play against right-handed pitching. Parra is hitting .308 on the season with 2 homeruns and 14 RBI’s and has hit .500 (5-10) over the past week with a double, homerun, and 3 RBI’s. Parra should be in the lineup tonight against Anibal Sanchez of the Detroit Tigers as in his career, Parra has posted a .571 (8-14) average with 2 doubles and 2 RBI’s off the right-hander. For a price-tag that is below $3000, Parra is a great value pick on Tuesday.
- Value Pick – Ryan Raburn – Cleveland Indians
Ryan Raburn is generally always one of the most affordable outfielders on the market and when he goes against left-handers, is generally as solid value pick. The slugging outfielder/DH is hitting .316 on the season with a homerun and 12 RBI’s and although he is only 3-16 against the left-handed Jose Quintana in his career, Raburn is hitting .375 (18-48) against left-hand pitching on the season. Over the past three seasons, Raburn has hit .310 (22-71) with 3 homeruns and 21 RBI’s at U/S/ Cellular Field and is a good value play on Tuesday.