Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 7/3/15 (Late Games)
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
July 3rd, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – 7/2/15 (Late Games)
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
USA TODAY Sports
Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight!
Pitcher – Chris Archer – Tampa Bay Rays
Chris Archer had a tough outing against the Red Sox last Sunday however is still having an outstanding season as the right hander has posted a 2.31 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and has struck out 133 batters in 109 IP. Archer will be facing the New York Yankees on Friday and looked good against them earlier this season as he went 7 innings, while giving up just 2 ERs and striking out 8 in a no-decision. Archer is allowing the current Yankees roster to hit .283 against him, however, most of that damage has come from Jacoby Ellsbury (12 for 18 in career) who will not be available for this matchup as he is still recovering from injury. Archer is holding opposing hitters to just a .199 average on the season and has a strikeout percentage of 31.22% which ranks third among MLB pitchers. The Yankees can certainly hurt you with the homerun ball, however, when their not hitting homeruns, they’ve had struggled manufacturing runs. I think that Archer will bounce back with a strong performance against the Yankees on Friday and I see him getting us between 15-17 points.
Catcher – Salvador Perez – Kansas City Royals
Generally, when I’ve spend decent money on a pitcher I’ve gone with Perez as my catcher and Friday will be no different as Perez has a good matchup Tommy Milone of the Minnesota Twins. Although Perez is hitting just .266 on the season (career .282 hitter), he has displayed plenty of power as he has 13 homeruns as of Thursday night. In his career against the left-handed Milone, Perez has posted a .353 (6-17) average and .824 OPS. Milone has pitched well so far in 2015 posting a 3.19 ERA, however, when he has run into trouble it’s generally been against RHB as the allowing RHB’s to have a .284 average and .801 OPS. Perez has done well at Kauffman Stadium on the season as he currently is hitting .304 at home. As of Thursday, Perez is hitting .333 (12-36) against the Twins so far in 2015 and for the small price of $2400, I’ll take my chances with Perez for the second straight day.
First Base – Wilin Rosario – Colorado Rockies
For a while, the Colorado Rockies had trouble finding Wilin Rosario playing time this season and even sent him down to the minor for a small stretch but since Rosario has rejoined the Rockies has have done well and currently has a .303 average with 5 homeruns and 17 RBI’s on the season. Rosario has a great matchup against the right-handed Chase Anderson of the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday night as in his career he has posted a .750 (6-8) average with a double, homerun and 3 RBI’s. Rosario has been generally known as a great hitter against LHP however, the first baseman has done well against RHP as he has posted a .297 average with 4 homeruns and 14 RBI’s against righties on the season. Rosario has absolutely dominated the Diamondbacks so far in 2015 as he has posted a .636 (7-11) with a homerun and for a price tag under $3000, he shows great value on Friday.
Second Base – DJ LeMahieu – Colorado Rockies
DJ LeMahieu has struggled a bit as of late and got the day off on Wednesday however, the second baseman is still having a good season with the Rockies as he has posted a .296 average with 4 homeruns, 33 RBI’s and 10 SB. LeMahieu doesn’t have a great average (.182) against the right-handed Chase Anderson of the Arizona Diamondbacks however, he has registered a homerun against Anderson in his career. Anderson has really struggled over his last two games as he has given up 6 homeruns in his last 11.2 IP and LeMahieu has actually been a lot better against RHP on the season as he is hitting .305 and has all four of his homeruns against righties on the season. LeMahieu price tag has dropped recently due to his recent struggles and I’ll take advantage of this on Friday.
Shortstop – Alexei Ramirez – Chicago White Sox
As I went to get a couple of big name hitters in my lineup, I need to continue to save money and to due this I’m going to go with Alexei Ramirez of the Chicago White Sox. Ramirez is having a season to forget so far in 2015 as he is only hitting .217 with 2 homeruns, 26 RBI’s and 8 SB however, he has a favorable matchup against the right-handed Chris Tillman of the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday. In his career against Tillman, Ramirez has posted a .444 (4-9) average and 1.323 OPS. Tillman actually had a decent outing in his recent contest against Cleveland but has really struggled throughout the year as he has posted a 5.67 ERA and has allowed RHB to have a .296 average and .570 slugging percentage against him. Ramirez is by all means a stretch play on Thursday but I don’t think Tillman is going to have back to back solid outings and with his success against him in the past, I think Ramirez can surprise us here with a nice game.
Third Base – Todd Frazier – Cincinnati Reds
Todd Frazier is having a monster season for the Reds in 2015 as the slugging third baseman currently is hitting .283 with 25 homeruns, 54 RBI’s, and 8 SB. Frazier will be up against the right-handed Mike Fiers of the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday in which he has posted a career .333 (5-15) average with 2 homeruns and 5 RBI’s. Frazier has been at Great American Ball Park so far this season as he is hitting .333 with 15 homeruns at home this season. Fiers struggled in his only outing against the Reds earlier this season as he was only able to go 4.0 innings, while giving up 4 runs (2 homeruns) and 6 hits. Frazier is hitting .284 average and 16 homeruns against RHP on the season. Frazier is an expensive option at 3B but as he has consistently hitting homeruns throughout the season and can even get us a SB, he is a safe option at the hot corner on Friday.
Outfield – Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers
Ryan Braun has generally not come through for me on the night’s I’ve gone with this season however, the slugging outfielder is having a solid season as he is hitting .272 with 15 homeruns, 53 RBI’s, and 9 SB. Braun has been hot as of late as he is hitting .462 (12-26) over the past week and has a solid matchup against the right-handed Michael Lorenzen. In his career against Lorenzen, Braun has posted a career .666 (2-3) average with a homerun. Braun has fared better against RHP on the season as he is hitting .276 (compared to .263 vs. LHP) and has 13 of his 15 homeruns against righties. Lorenzen really struggled in his only outing against the Brewers this year as he was only able to last 5 innings while up 3 runs on 8 hits (3 solo homeruns). Lorenzen has pitched well as of late but doesn’t have the greatest arsenal and I think Braun and the Brewers will be able to handle the rookie right-hander on Friday.
Outfield – Alex Gordon – Kansas City Royals
Alex Gordon isn’t have a great season to date and as of Friday’s game, has posted a .267 average with 9 homeruns and 32 RBI’s. Gordon has done well against the left-handed Tommy Milone of the Minnesota Twins as in his career he has posted a .364 (4 for 11) with 2 doubles and a homerun. Milone has been tough against LHB all season but Gordon has always done decent facing lefties as the career .268 hitter has actually hit .271 against LHP over the past three season with 19 homeruns and 82 RBI’s. Gordon has done well against the Twins in 2015 as he has posted a .308 average with 2 homeruns and 5 RBI’s and as I don’t have much money left to spend, I think that Gordon has decent value on Friday night.
Outfield – Kelly Johnson – Atlanta Braves
As I only have $2200 left to spend on my last OF position I need to find some value and I think Kelly Johnson is a great value pick on Friday as he has had great success against Kevin Correia of the Philadelphia Phillies. Johnson has battled injuries this season and is currently hitting .259 with 6 homeruns and 22 RBI’s on the season, however, I expect him to get the start on Friday as he has a .333 average (10-30) with 5 homeruns and 10 RBI’s against the right-handed Correia in his career. Correia has really struggled against LHP on the season as he is allowing them to have a .333 average and 1.041 OPS against him. Johnson has hit all 6 of his homeruns against RHP on the season and is hitting .300 during night games in 2015. As I mentioned above, I don’t have many options with a limited budget left, however, Johnson is a solid pick if you’re looking to save money in the outfield on Friday.