Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 7/17/15
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
July 17th, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – 7/17/15
We’re back after the All-Star Break and ready make a strong run in the 2nd half of the season!
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Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
Pitcher – Jose Fernandez – Miami Marlins
Jose Fernandez has looked good in both his starts returning from Tommy John Surgery and although there are a few other decent pitching matchups on Friday, Fernandez is still the guy to go with today as his matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies is too good to pass up. Fernandez has posted a nice 2.08 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with 15 strikeouts in 13.0 IP so far in 2015 and has always been dominant throughout his career on the mound as he has a career 2.24 era and 0.97 WHIP. Fernandez has a career 10.3 K/9 ratio and will be facing a Phillies team that has just a .242 batting average (ranked 23rd in MLB) against RHP. Fernandez is holding the current Philadelphia lineup to a .174 (8-46) average and has a career 2.86 ERA against the Phillies in his career.
Catcher – Derek Norris – San Diego Padres
After getting off to a blistering start in San Diego, Derek Norris really struggled in June & July and is currently hitting .233 with 11 homeruns and 45 RBI’s on the season. Norris is a solid option on Friday as he has a favorable matchup against the left-handed Jorge De La Rosa in which he has posted a career .800 (4-5) average with 2 doubles. Norris has been better against LHP on the season as he is currently hitting .254 against lefties and has a .292 average and .860 OPS against LHP over his past three seasons. De La Rosa has pitched better as of late but was absolutely rocked by the Padres earlier in the season as he was only able to go two innings while giving up 9 runs (7 ER) on 9 hits and a walk. As Norris certainly has the power to be able to get us a couple of extra-base hits he shows good value at a low price tag of just $2300.
First Base – Joey Votto – Cincinnati Reds
I really like Votto’s matchup tonight against the right-handed Trevor Bauer and as his price tag is significantly cheaper than many of the 1B options out there, he will be on my roster tonight. Votto finished the first half with a .277 average with 15 homeruns and 42 RBI’s and although his average is down from his career .308 average, he is still one of the better hitters in the game. Votto has limited experience against Bauer in his career and has posted a .333 (1-3) average with a double. Bauer has had a nice year with the Indians and although I’m a fan of Bauer and have gone with him on multiple occasions, his one glaring weakness is his issues with his control. Votto is one of the most patient hitters in the game and I think he will be able to work good hitters counts against the sometimes wild Bauer and I’m banking that when he does, he’ll be able to cash in with a couple of big hits.
Second Base – Jose Altuve – Houston Astros
Jose Altuve is showing us once again that he is one of the best second baseman in the league as he is currently hitting .293 with 8 homeruns and 38 RBI’s. Altuve has been great at Minute Maid Park on the season as he currently has a .303 average and .810 OPS. Altuve has a great matchup against the left-handed Martin Perez of the Texas Rangers as in his career he has a .400 (4-10) average with two doubles. Altuve has a .327 average and .845 OPS against LHP on the season and has a .350 average against LHP over his past three seasons. Altuve also has 25 SB’s on the season so if he does get on base, he has also proven he can get us some additional points with his legs.
Shortstop – Xander Bogaerts – Boston Red Sox
It wasn’t too long ago when Xander Bogaerts was considered a “can’t-miss” prospect for the Red Sox and although his first couple seasons haven’t been exactly what the Red Sox imagined, the young shortstop has recently started to look like the player Boston hoped he would turn out to be. Bogaerts is hitting .304 on the season with 3 homeruns and 43 RBI’s and is having a monster July as he is hitting .395 (17-43) with 10 RBI’s. Bogaerts will be up against the left-handed C.J. Wilson of the Los Angeles Angels tonight and although he is 0-6 lifetime against the LHP, he is hitting .333 (25-75) against LHP on the season. Wilson struggled against the Red Sox earlier this season giving up 4 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks in a loss and as the Boston offensive has seem to come around as of late, I can see Bogaerts getting some good opportunities to do some damage with his bat on Friday night.
Third Base – Evan Longoria – Tampa Bay Rays
Evan Longoria has a somewhat slow first-half of the season posting a .276 average with 9 homeruns and 41 RBI’s, but make no mistake, Longoria is by far the biggest bat to fear in the Rays lineup and I expect the slugging third baseman to have a strong second-half of the season. Longoria has struggled against the Blue Jays Drew Hutchison in his career, but that doesn’t scare me away from this matchup as Hutchison is just not a great pitcher and is currently posting a 5.33 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. Longoria has crushed the Blue Jays so far this season as he currently has a .438 (14-32) average against them. Hutchison is allowing RHB to have a .335 average and .893 OPS against him this season and I think tonight will be the night Longoria has success against him.
Outfield – Brandon Moss – Cleveland Indians
Brandon Moss is only hitting .220 on the season which is shocking as he is just a career .244 hitter, however, the slugging right-fielder does have 14 homeruns and 46 RBI’s on the season and is a solid play tonight against a hittable Mike Leake of the Cincinnati Reds. Moss will be hoping to start the second half of the season out strong as he limped into the All-Star Break in midst of a 0-15 slump. Moss has a good matchup against the right-hander Leake as in his career he has posted a .667 (2-3) average with a double and homerun. Moss has 10 homeruns against RHP on the season and Leake has struggled a bit against LHB as he is allowing them to have a .269 average and .763 OPS against him. Leake has posted a 5.92 ERA in 9 starts at home this season and I think the Cleveland LHB’s could have a nice day against him.
Outfield – Billy Hamilton – Cincinnati Reds
When you go with Billy Hamilton, you are always hoping he have a similar game as he did on June 29th against Minnesota, when he went 2 for 4 with 3 runs scored and 4 SB. Although a performance to that magnitude is unlikely to happen again, I like Hamilton’s chances to have a couple of SB’s tonight as I think he’ll be able to draw a walk or two against Trevor Bauer of the Cleveland Indians. Hamilton has yet to face Bauer in his career, but as I mentioned in Votto’s write-up, Bauer does have a tendency to be a bit wild and give up walks. Hamilton is only hitting .220 on the season and .213 against RHP however, is hitting .261 at home and has an incredible 44 SB’s on the season. Hamilton is always a risk as you’ll need him to get on base to get us points, however, I think he will be able to get on at least twice tonight and cause some damage with his legs.
Outfield – Kyle Schwarber – Chicago Cubs
Kyle Schwarber is getting his second call up to the majors this Friday and if he hits anything like he did in his previous call-up, you better enjoy his price tag being listed at $2600 while you can. Schwarber is a blue-chip prospect for the Cubs who can just flat out hit. In his 6 games at the MLB level earlier this year, Schwarber posted an impressive .364 average with a homerun and 6 RBI’s and in his 17 games in Triple AAA, he is hitting .333 (slugging .633) with 3 homeruns in 67 AB’s. Schwarber is one of fantasy’s best prospects as his offensive is MLB ready and similar to jumping all over Correa when he was called up for the Astros, I’m going to do the same Schwarber.