Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 7/29/15
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
July, 29th 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – 7/29/15 (Late Games)
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
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Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
Pitcher – Tyson Ross – San Diego Padres
Tyson Ross has been a subject of trade rumors throughout the pass week but as he has yet to be moved, he will take the mound tonight against the New York Mets. Ross has been great as of late and comes into this matchup with a 3.45 ERA and 1.39 WHIP while striking out 132 batters in 122.2 IP. Ross is currently posting a career high 9.7 K/9 ratio and has a strikeout percentage of 25.24% which ranked 14th among MLB starters. Ross has a solid matchup against the weak hitting New York Mets who ranked 29th in MLB in average (.236) and ranked 11th in total strikeouts (776) against RHP on the season. Outside of a start shorten by a rain delay on 7/7/15 against the Pirates, Ross has gone at least 6 innings and given up 3 or less ER’s in his past 6 starts while averaging 7 K’s per game in that span. Kershaw is on the mound tonight but I think Ross is by far the better value with the matchup against the Mets and the price tag of just $8500.
Catcher – Brian McCann – New York Yankees
The Yankees bats exploded last night en route to a 21 run performance, and I’m hoping the bats stay hot for the second straight night as I like the Yankees LHB’s vs. the right-handed against Colby Lewis of the Texas Rangers and going to take Brian McCann as my catcher tonight. McCann is currently hitting .250 on the season and has belted 15 homeruns on the season while driving in 58 RBI’s. McCann has hit 11 of his 15 homeruns vs. RHP on the season and has fared better during night games hitting at a .262 mark. Colby Lewis enters tonight game with a 4.494 ERA (career 4.80 ERA) and 1.19 WHIP and is allowing LHB’s to have a .265 average and .747 OPS against him on the season. Lewis was able to pick up a win against the Yankees earlier this season, however, didn’t pitch well as he lasted 6.2 innings while giving up 5 ER’s on 8 hits. McCann is hitting .250 in his career against Lewis but does have a double and homerun and I’m hoping he’ll continue to add on to his HR total tonight.
First Base – Chris Davis – Baltimore Orioles
I continue to seem be one day off as soon as I made my picks last night for today and took Chris Davis, he went off for two homeruns. I’m sticking with Davis as his matchup against the right-handed Mike Foltynewicz of the Atlanta Braves is too good to pass up. On the season, Davis is hitting just .243, however he does have 24 homeruns and 65 RBI’s. Davis has been on a tear over the past week as he is hitting .308 (8-26) with 2 doubles and 5 homeruns. Davis has actually a worse average against RHP’s on the season as he is only hitting .227 vs. RHP, however he is averaging a homerun in every 13.2 AB’s against RHP. Davis hasn’t faced Foltynewicz in his career to date, however as Foltynewicz is allowing LHB’s to have a .351 (39-111) average, .598 slugging %, and .964 OPS on the season, it’s safe to put Chris Davis in your lineups tonight.
Second Base – Kolten Wong – St. Louis Cardinals
Kolten Wong was able to come through with a grand slam two days ago and I’m going with the Cardinals second baseman once again as he has a reasonable price tag of $3300 and a solid matchup against Anthony DeSclafani of the Cincinnati Reds. On the season, Wong is hitting .275 with 11 homeruns and 42 RBI’s. Wong has struggled a bit in July hitting just .230, however, has picked it up as of late as he is hitting .310 over the past week. Wong is 0 for 1 lifetime in his limited experience against DeSclafani, however, is hitting .290 with 10 of his 11 HR’s against RHP on the season. DeSclafani currently has a respectable 3.98 ERA and 1.37 WHIP but has struggled more as of late and has posted a 5.69 ERA in 9 starts at home this season. Wong is hitting .333 (8-24) against Cincinnati on the season, and I expect him to continue that success tonight.
Shortstop – Troy Tulowitzki – Toronto Blue Jays
I had to find a way to get Troy Tulowitzki in my lineup tonight as I’m excited to see what he is going to be able to do in a stacked Blue Jays offensive and against a very weak pitcher in Philadelphia’s Jerome Williams. On the season, Tulowitzki is hitting .300 with 12 homeruns and 53 RBI’s. In his career against Williams, Tulowitzki is hitting .333 (1-3) with 2 RBI’s. Tulowitzki is only hitting .279 against RHP on the season, but Williams doesn’t pose much of a threat as he comes into this matchup with a 6.28 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Williams is allowing opposing batters to have a .325 average against him on the season and has actually fared worse against RHB’s allowing them to post a .339 average and .963 OPS against him on the season. Tulowitzki will miss Coors Field a bit, however, Toronto is still one of the better offensive ball parks to hit in and as Williams his given up 16 homeruns and just 76.0 IP this season, I can see Tulowitzki starting of his career in Toronto with a bang on Wednesday.
Third Base – Matt Carpenter – St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Carpenter continue to struggled at the plate, however, I still think his price tag of $2700 is below is value and I’m going to go with Carpenter tonight as he will be facing a RHP in Cincinnati’s Anthony DeSclafani. Carpenter started off the season hot hitting .372 in April, however has he has hit below .200 in June and July, he is currently posting a .252 average with 10 homeruns and 47 RBI’s on the season. Carpenter has been better against RHP as he has posted a .272 average with 8 of his 10 homeruns against righties on the season. Carpenter hasn’t faced DeSclafani yet in his career however, DeSclafani has struggled at home this season (5.69) ERA and has allowing LHB’s to have a .792 OPS against him. Carpenter is too good of a hitter to stay in his current slump and is great value play which his price tag remains low.
Outfield – Jacoby Ellsbury – New York Yankees
As I mentioned in the Brian McCann write-up above, I do like the Yankees LHB’s tonight against Texas and due to this, going to go with Jacoby Ellsbury tonight. Ellsbury didn’t have a huge night in the 21-run outburst that the Yankees displayed last night but is certainly capable of big games as he recently displayed last Thursday when he went 3 for 4 with a homerun against the Orioles. On the season, Ellsbury is hitting .290 with 3 homeruns, 16 RBI’s and 14 SB. Ellsbury is hitting .313 with a .773 OPS against RHP on the season. Ellsbury hasn’t had much success against the right-handed Colby Lewis in the past (2 for 13) but does have a homerun against Lewis. Lewis has fared worse against LHB on the season and although runners have only attempted 8 SB’s against Lewis on the season, 7 of those attempts have been successful.
Outfield – Brett Gardner – New York Yankees
I’m sticking with the Yankees and going with Brett Gardner who is having another solid season hitting .297 with 11 homeruns, 46 RBI’s, and 15 SB. Gardner played a major part in the offensive explosion the Yankees displayed last night as he went 3 for 4 with 3 BB, 5 R, a HR and 3 RBI’s. Gardner is hitting .304 against RHP on the season and has been great during night games hitting at a .320 mark. Gardner has had some success against the right-handed Colby Lewis of the Texas Rangers as in his career he has posted a .333 (3-9) average with a homerun. As Gardner displayed last night, he is an offensive player that can get it done in various ways as he has can draws walks and steal bases, but also has enough pop in his bat to get you a homerun or two.
Outfield – Marlon Byrd – Cincinnati Reds
I went with Byrd a lot last week when he was at Coors Field and I’m going with him against today as he has had good success against John Lackey of the St. Louis Cardinals and has an affordable price tag of just $2300. Byrd is hitting just .242 on the season but still has shown that he has some pop in his bat as he has hit 16 homeruns and collected 34 RBI’s on the season. Lackey is having an outstanding season as he is currently posting a 2.88 ERA and 1.23 WHIP however, the right-hander has struggled against Byrd in his career, as Byrd has posted a .345 (10-29) average with 2 homeruns and 8 RBI’s against him. Lackey has actually allowed a higher average against RHB’s this season (.261) compared to LHB’s (.256). Byrd has collected 12 of his 16 homeruns this season against RHP and although he is somewhat homerun dependent, he is still worth the chance tonight for the low price tag.