Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 8/4/15
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
August 4th, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – 8/4/15
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
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Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
Pitcher – Chris Sale – Chicago White Sox
I’m going with Chris Sale tonight as I expect the White Sox ace to bounce back with a quality start after getting surprisingly lit up by the Red Sox last Thursday. Even with the poor outing, Sale is posting solid numbers on the season as coming into his game against the Rays he is posting a 3.20 ERA and 1.05 WHIP while striking out 177 batters in 137.2 IP. Sale has been an absolute machine when it comes to strikeouts as he is currently posting a career best 11.6 K/9 ratio and has a strikeout percentage of 31.95% which ranks 2nd (behind Clayton Kershaw) in MLB. Sale has a difficult matchup going against Chris Archer of the Rays, however, as Tampa Bay is hitting just .241 on the season (ranked 26th in MLB) and has the 4th highest strikeout total in MLB it doesn’t scare me from going against Sale on Tuesday. Sale took a tough 2-1 defeat by the hands of the Rays in mid-June however he did go 6.2 IP giving up just 2 runs while striking out 12 and I think he’ll be able to up a similar line tonight.
Catcher – Jason Castro – Houston Astros
Initially I wanted to go with Yasmani Grandal and his matchup against Jerome Williams of Philadelphia, however, I needed to save a little bit of salary so I’m sticking with the hot bat of Jason Castro for the second straight night. Castro is only hitting .225 on the season but does have 10 homeruns and 29 RBI’s. Castro came through last night as he ended up going 2 for 4 with a double and grand-slam to get us 10.5 FanDuel points. Castro has been on an absolute tear as of late as he is on a 7 game hitting streak while hitting .375 with 3 homeruns and 10 RBI’s during that span. Castro has a solid matchup against the right-handed Yovani Gallardo of the Texas Rangers as in his career he has posted a .389 (7-18) average and a 1.143 OPS. Gallardo has been solid on the season but has struggled as of late as over his last three starts he has given up 5 ER’s in each of those starts. Castro has averaged 6.25 FanDuel points over his past 5 games and I hope this type of production continues tonight.
First Base – Adrian Gonzalez – Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers LHB’s will be a popular stack play tonight and my first Dodger in my lineup will be Adrian Gonzalez as you can get him at a very reasonable price tag of just $3300. Gonzalez is hitting .393 on the season with 21 homeruns and 61 RBI’s and although he is hitting just .176 over the past week, he has hit .353 with 3 homeruns and 6 RBI’s since the All-Star Break. Gonzalez has a great matchup against the right-handed Jerome Williams of the Philadelphia Phillies who comes into this matchup with a 6.36 ERA and 1.69 WHIP. Gonzalez has yet to face Williams in his career, however, should be very excited to do so as so far in 2015, Williams has allowed 17 homeruns in just 80.2 IP. Williams is allowing opposing hitters to post a .333 average against him on the season and has given up at least 4 runs in 6 of his last 8 starts. Gonzalez is hitting .289 and has 19 of his 21 homeruns against RHP on the season and as Gonzalez is hitting a solid .307 away from home and .310 during night games, he is an obvious choice for your first baseman tonight.
Second Base – Anthony Rendon – Washington Nationals
Anthony Rendon’s season has been hampered by injuries and the third year player out of Rice is currently hitting just .277 with 1 homerun and 7 RBI’s on the season. I’m going with Rendon tonight as I feel he is just starting to completely shake off the rust from the time he has missed due to injuries and that he is currently undervalued a bit on FanDuel. In 2014, Rendon hit.287 with 21 homeruns and 83 RBI’s and had a great 6.5 WAR. Rendon will be going up against the left-handed Patrick Corbin of the Arizona Diamondbacks who although has pitched well on the season, has given up 5 homeruns in just 28.0 IP. Over his career, Rendon has posted a .305 average and .827 OPS against LHP. Rendon looked solid on Sunday going 3 for 4 with a double and homerun and I expect more games like this starting tonight against Diamondbacks.
Shortstop – Starlin Castro – Chicago Cubs
As I’m spending a lot of my salary on Chris Sale today, I’m going to go with the affordable Starlin Castro of the Chicago Cubs in hopes that he can continue to have success against the left-handed J.A. Happ of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Castro has had a very disappointing year at the plate as he is currently hitting just .236 with 5 homeruns and 44 RBI’s. Castro is hitting just .167 over the past week and .169 since the All-Star Break but as he has had success against the Pirates and J.A. Happ, I think he has some good value on Tuesday. In his career against Happ, Castro has posted .429 (3-7) average and 1.127 OPS. So far against the Pirates in 2015, Castro is hitting .375 (15-40) with a homerun and 8 RBI’s. Happ is coming off his worst start of the season after lasting just 3.1 innings giving up 6 ER’s on 9 hits (3 homeruns) and I feel that the Cubs and Castro could do some damage against Happ in his first start for the Pirates.
Third Base – Matt Carpenter – St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Carpenter suffered a terrible June & July, but has finally started to turn it back around and look like the hitter that we’ve come to expect. Carpenter is hitting .261 on the season with 13 homeruns and 52 RBI’s and has been on fire as of late as he is hitting .348 (8-23) with 3 doubles and 3 homeruns over the past week. Carpenter will be up against the right-hander Anthony DeSclafani of the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday in which in his limited experience against is 0 for 1 with 2 BB. Carpenter is hitting much better against RHP on the season as he has a .273 average and .851 OPS against righties on the season. DeSclafani has been good as of late but has really struggle at his home ball park as in his 9 starts at home he currently has a 5.69 ERA and 1.65 WHIP. Carpenter has been solid against the Reds on the season hitting .382 and posting a 1.168 OPS and as he seems to have rediscovered his swing, I think he is a solid play at a good hitter’s ball park for just $3200.
Outfield – Andre Ethier – Los Angeles Dodgers
Andre Ethier is one of my common go-to players when he is facing a weak RHP and as he is going up against the right-handed Jerome Williams of Philadelphia tonight, Ethier will once again get the call for my team. Ethier is hitting .280 with 12 homeruns and 37 RBI’s on the season and has been solid as of late hitting .400 (4-10) over the past week with a double and two homeruns. Ethier has basically done all his damage against RHP on the season as against RHP he is posting a .288 average with all 12 of his homeruns. As I mentioned when talking about Adrian Gonzalez, Williams has really struggled on the season has he has a 6.00+ ERA and gives up a homerun in about every 4 IP. Williams is allowing LHB’s to have a .314 average against him on the season and has allowed Ethier to hit .500 (2-4) against him in his career. Ethier has crushed the Phillies in his limited action this year hitting .571 (4-7) and I expect him to continue this success on Tuesday night.
Outfield – Mitch Moreland – Texas Rangers
I’m going to hope for another offensive night for the Rangers and go with Mitch Moreland of the Texas Rangers. Moreland has been great for the Rangers this season as he currently is hitting .286 with 16 homeruns and 56 RBI’s. Moreland has been crushing RHP all season as he has posted a .306 average with 14 homeruns and 46 RBI’s against righties and he a solid matchup against the right-handed Dan Straily of the Houston Astros on Tuesday. Moreland hasn’t had much success in his career against Straily (1-11) however, as Straily currently is posting a 5.06 ERA and 1.31 in his first two starts of the season, it doesn’t scare me off from taking Moreland tonight. In 14 games (8 starts) in 2014, Straily posted a 6.75 ERA and 1.48 WHIP while giving up 10 homeruns in just 52.0 IP. Moreland is hitting .289 since the All-Star break and although he hasn’t been as good at home this season as on the road, I think Moreland and the other LHB’s of Texas could be in for a good night.
Outfield – Josh Hamilton – Texas Rangers
Staying in Texas, I’m going with another Rangers LHB in Josh Hamilton as my last outfielder tonight. Hamilton hasn’t seem to found the magic he had with Texas a few years ago as of yet and is currently hitting just .235 with 5 homeruns and 16 RBI’s. I’m going with Hamilton tonight as he has collected a hit in 6 of his last 8 games and I just love the aspect that Hamilton always has the potential to go off at any moment and get us a big multi-homer game. Similar to Moreland, I like Hamilton’s matchup against Dan Straily of the Astros. In his career, Hamilton is hitting just .231 against Straily however, does have a homerun and 6 RBI’s against the right-hander. Hamilton has been much better against RHP and at Home on the season and as the Texas bats seem to be hot at the moment, I’m hoping we can see a vintage Hamilton performance tonight in Texas.