Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 8/6/15 (Late Games)
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
August 6th, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – 8/6/15 (Late Games)
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
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Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
Pitcher – Chris Heston – San Francisco Giants
Not a lot of attractive options at the pitching position on Thursday night, but I’m going to go with the Giants Chris Heston mainly due to the fact that he is up against the strikeout prone Chicago Cubs. Heston is having a nice rookie year with the Giants as he comes into this matchup with a 3.24 ERA and 1.18 WHIP while striking out 101 batters in 130.2 IP. Heston currently is posting a reasonable 7.0 K/9 ratio and has a strikeout percentage of 19.09%. Heston has a great matchup against the Chicago Cubs who lead all of MLB in total strikeouts and most strikeouts vs. RHP. The Cubs also rank dead last in MLB with a .236 average against RHP. Heston doesn’t have overwhelming stuff but is holding opposing hitters to a .243 average on the season. Heston did throw a no-hitter against the Mets with 11 K’s earlier in the season and although I obviously don’t expect those type of results tonight, I do feel he can get us 7 innings with 6-10 K’s and a win.
Catcher – Stephen Vogt – Oakland Athletics
I’m going with Stephen Vogt behind the plate today as although the catcher has been absolutely awful in July and August, he has a decent matchup against the right-handed Scott Feldman of the Houston Astros and I think his price tag of just $2300 gives him great value on Thursday night. Vogt hit over .300 in both April and May, but with his recent slump, he is currently posting a .260 average with 14 homeruns and 59 RBI’s. Vogt still has solid stats against RHP as he is posting a .274 average and .847 OPS. In his career against Feldman, Vogt is hitting just .200 (3-15) however, as Feldman’s arsenal is anything but intimating, this doesn’t scare me away from Vogt tonight. Feldman enters this matchup with a 4.58 ERA and 1.33 WHIP and is allowing LHB’s to have a .288 average and .716 OPS. Vogt might not be the offensive machine he was early in the season, but he does have pop in his bat and I think he’ll be able to rediscover his swing tonight in Oakland.
First Base – Mike Napoli – Boston Red Sox
I’m going with Mike Napoli of the Boston Red Sox as over the past few games I’ve watched, he is starting to look much more comfortable at the plate and he has a great matchup against CC Sabathia of the New York Yankees on Thursday. Napoli is hitting just .209 on the season but does have 13 homeruns and 40 RBI’s. Napoli will be up against the left-handed CC Sabathia who enters this contest with a 5.54 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Sabathia has been crushed by RHB’s on the season as he is allowing RHB’s to post a .331 average and .925 OPS against him. Sabathia has been hurt by the homerun ball as against RHB’s he is given up 21 homeruns in 372 AB’s which comes out to a homerun per 17.1 AB’s. Napoli has struggled all season but he is hitting better against LHP as he has a .237 average compared to a .199 vs. RHP. Napoli generally tends to heat up in the 2nd half of seasons and as he has hit .338 with 6 homeruns at Yankees Stadium over his past three seasons, I think he is a solid pick tonight.
Second Base – Brian Dozier – Minnesota Twins
Brian Dozier is only hitting .248 on the season, however, the slugging second baseman certainly knows how to hit the ball out of the ball park as he currently has 23 homeruns and 57 RBI’s on the season. Dozier has been in a mini-slump as of late as he is hitting only .138 over the past week, but I’m going with him today as I like his matchup against the left-handed Mark Buehrle of the Toronto Blue Jays. In his career against Buehrle, Dozier has a .429 (3-7) average and 1.143 OPS. Dozier has been solid against LHP on the season as he has posted a .268 average and .872 OPS. Buehrle has been solid this season but he is allowing opposing batters to have a .266 average against him and as Dozier will be at a good hitter’s park in the Rodgers Centre, he is a solid option at 2nd base tonight.
Shortstop – Xander Bogaerts – Boston Red Sox
Xander Bogaerts has been one of the few shining spots for the Red Sox this season as the shortstop is currently hitting .312 with 3 homeruns and 51 RBI’s on the season. Bogaerts has a great July in which he hit .371 and has started August off well as he has posted a .313 average so far in the month. I really like Bogaerts matchup against the left-handed CC Sabathia on Thursday as Bogaerts has been phenomenal against LHPs on the season posting a .396 average and .945 OPS. As I mentioned in Napoli’s write-up, Sabathia has really labored against RHB’s on the season allowing them to hit .331 against him. Bogaerts has only hit .222 (2-9) with a double and 3 BB’s in his career against Sabathia, however, as Bogaerts continues to get better, I can see him having a big off Sabathia and the Yankees tonight.
Third Base – Miguel Sano – Minnesota Twins
Miguel Sano has since his average drop about after his hot start to his MLB career, however the slugging DH is still hitting .278 with 5 homeruns and 17 RBI’s in his first 27 games in the majors. There is no denying that Sano has tremendous power, however, like with most young power hitters (Joey Gallo, Kris Bryant, etc.) Sano tends to strikeout often shown by his 38 SO’s in just 90 AB’s. I’m going with Sano tonight as I like his matchup against the left-handed Mark Buehrle of the Toronto Blue Jays. Sano has yet to face Buehrle in his young career, but as Buehrle doesn’t have stuff that will generally overpower you, I think Sano will be able to get a few healthy cuts against the veteran left-hander tonight. Sano hasn’t fared that well against LHP in his limited experience but does have a solid .288 average and .929 OPS during night games. Sano was 2 for 4 with a homerun and 3 RBI’s in last night’s game and I hope that he has similar success tonight against Buehrle.
Outfield – Jose Bautista – Toronto Blue Jays
I’m going to stay in Toronto and go with the slugging right-fielder, Jose Bautista of the Toronto Blue Jays as my first outfielder of the night. On the season, Bautista is hitting just .235 however, does have 24 homeruns and 75 RBI’s. Bautista has been picking it up a bit as of late as he hitting .300 and already has 3 homeruns and 7 RBI’s in the month of August. Bautista will be up against the right-handed Kyle Gibson of the Minnesota Twins on Thursday in which in his career he is 1 for 4 with 2 BB against. Gibson has had a solid year as he comes into this matchup with a 3.37 ERA and 1.25 WHIP however has struggled a bit as of late as he given up at least 5 ER’s in two of his last three starts. Although Gibson is a RHP, he has actually fared much worse against RHB’s on the season as he is allowing RHB’s to post a .273 average and .735 OPS. Bautista hit a grand slam in last night’s contest and as he has collect at least one hit in 5 of his last 6 games, Bautista is a save pick for your outfield tonight.
Outfield – Hanley Ramirez – Boston Red Sox
I’m going to get my third RHB in the lineup against CC Sabathia and the Yankees and go with Hanley Ramirez tonight. Ramirez is hitting .260 with 19 homeruns and 51 RBI’s on the season and although he has struggled as of late I still like his matchup against Sabathia tonight. Ramirez is 0-4 lifetime against Sabathia but does have a .781 OPS (6 homeruns in 96 AB’s) against LHP on the season. Prior to this series, Ramirez has had great success at Yankee Stadium as he has a .750 (6-8) average with a homerun and 4 RBI’s in his prior three years. Sabathia pitched all right in his one outing against the Red Sox this year, but certainly labored through the outing as he did give up 7 hits and 2 BB in just 6 innings pitched. It’s been awhile since Ramirez has hit a homerun and just call it a gut feeling, I think he and the Red Sox will have a good offensive night at Yankee Stadium to close out their series.
Outfield – Hunter Pence – San Francisco Giants
With my last pick up the day I’m going to go with Hunter Pence of the San Francisco Giants as the right-fielder is currently hitting .285 with 7 homeruns and 36 RBI’s in his 41 games played this season. Pence has spent significant time on the DL twice this season, but has been solid since his recent return and has good matchup against the right-handed Jason Hammel of the Chicago Cubs tonight. In career against Hammel, Pence has posted a career .294 average and .845 OPS. Pence has been much better against RHP on the season as he has posted a .296 average and .865 OPS. Hammel is pitching well so far on the season as he comes into this matchup with a 3.13 ERA and 1.04 WHIP however has struggled as of late as he over his last three starts, he is not even averaging 5.0 IP. Hammel is a solid pitcher, but I don’t feel that he is unhittable, and I think Pence can continue his career success of him tonight.