Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 8/17/15
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
August 17th, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – 8/17/15
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
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Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
Pitcher – Cole Hamels – Texas Rangers
Cole Hamels has struggled in his two starts since the Texas Rangers acquired him at the trading deadline, however, I really like his matchup against the Seattle Mariners on Monday and think he is a decent play as he will probably be overlooked by many teams today in favor of Gerrit Cole. On the season, Hamels is posting a 3.86 ERA and 1.20 WHIP while striking out 150 batters in 142.1 IP. Hamels has been posting around a 9.0 K/9 Ratio on the season and has a strikeout percentage of 25.34% which ranks 13th in MLB among qualified starters. Seattle is coming off a great offensive series against the Boston Red Sox and although they have a decent .258 average against LHP’s on the season, they also have the 5th most strikeouts against lefties in 2015. Seattle in the middle of a 6 game road trip and although they were able to tee off on the Red Sox pitching (not a hard thing to do….), I think they’ll have trouble against Hamel who will be looking to show Texas and it’s fans why it was worth picking him up at the deadline.
Catcher – Stephen Vogt – Oakland Athletics
Stephen Vogt comes into today’s matchup with a .260 average with 16 homeruns and 62 RBI’s and has a good matchup against the right-handed Chris Tillman of the Baltimore Orioles. After getting off to a great start to the season, Vogt really struggled in July hitting just .163, however, he seems to have found his bat once against as Vogt is hitting .313 with 2 doubles and a homerun over the past week. Vogt will be up against Chris Tillman who comes into this game with a 4.66 ERA and 1.37 WHIP on the season. Tillman is allowing opposing hitters to have a .266 average and .751 OPS and was rocked in his last start against Seattle as he lasted just 2.1 innings, giving up 5 runs on 8 hits (2 homeruns). Vogt is 0-5 against Tillman in his career however, is hitting .272 with 15 of his 16 homeruns vs. RHP on the season. Vogt is hitting .333 at Camden Yards this season with a homerun and I’m hoping that this type of production continues in his last game in Baltimore tonight.
First Base – Albert Pujols – Los Angeles Angels
Albert Pujols has struggled a bit since the All-Star break, however, the slugging first baseman is still having a great year as he is hitting .253 with 31 homeruns and 67 RBI’s. Pujols will be up against the left-handed Carlos Rodon of the Chicago White Sox on Monday and although Rodon shut down Pujols and the Angels in their recent matchup just about a week ago, I don’t think it’s any reason to hesitate to take advantage of this matchup tonight. Rodon comes into this matchup with a 4.61 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the season and although he has shown flashes of his impressive arsenal, he has also been hit hard on multiple occasions this season. Rodon has struggled against RHB’s as he is allowing RHB’s to post a .297 average and .861 OPS against him on the season. Over the past three seasons, Pujols has a .800 OPS against LHP’s and as he is hitting better at home this season (.279 average, .864 OPS), I’m going to roll with the 14 year veteran tonight.
Second Base – Dee Gordon – Miami Marlins
Dee Gordon is at it against as the speedy second baseman is hitting .409 (9-22) over the past week and is now hitting .330 with 2 homeruns, 32 RBI’s and 36 SB’s on the season. Gordon has been a hitting machine all year for the Marlins as he has had only one month (July) in which he hit less than .300. Gordon will be up against the right-handed Matt Garza of the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday in which Gordon has yet to face in his career. Garza comes into this matchup with a 4.82 ERA and 1.44 WHIP and although he has pitched better as of late, is still allowing LHB’s to post a .286 average and .814 OPS against him on the season. Gordon has a .317 average and 27 SB’s against RHP on the season and I think he’ll be able to show off his speed tonight if he is able to continue to get on base.
Shortstop – Jean Segura – Milwaukee Brewers
I’m going to be stacking a few of the Brewers hitters today as I think they have one of the best matchups against the weak throwing Justin Nicolino of the Miami Marlins and because of this, I’m going to save money at the SS position and go with Jean Segura. Segura comes into this matchup with a .256 average with 4 homeruns, 34 RBI’s and 18 SB’s on the season. Segura has yet to face the left-handed Justin Nicolino in his career, however has done well against LHP on the season as he has posted a .300 average and .708 OPS against lefties in 2015. Nicolino comes into this matchup with a 4.86 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. In his recent outing against the Red Sox, Nicolino lasted 5.2 innings while giving up 4 runs on 9 hits. Nicolino has very hittable stuff as he is allowing hitters to post a .306 average and .810 OPS against him on the season. Segura isn’t the safest play but as he has had some success against LHP on the season he is a good value pick for the $2200 price on Monday.
Third Base – Miguel Sano – Minnesota Twins
Miguel Sano has been a blast to watch since the Twins called him up to the majors as although the power hitting Sano is striking out an in incredible pace (40% of his at-bats have ended with a strikeout), he still is posting an incredible .923 OPS on the season. In his 37 games so far in 2015, Sano is hitting a respectable .280 with 7 homeruns and 25 RBI’s and as he has crushed RHP on the season, I like his matchup against the right-handed Bryan Mitchell of the New York Yankees on Monday. Mitchell comes into this game with a 3.72 ERA and 1.34 WHIP while doing most of his work out of the bullpen this season. Mitchell has struggled a bit against RHB’s on the season allowing RHB’s to post a .319 (15-47) average and .892 OPS. Sano comes into this matchup posting a .311 average and 1.045 OPS against RHP on the season and as he is hitting .368 with 2 homeruns and 7 RBI’s over the past week, is a great option at third base tonight.
Outfield – Ryan Braun – Milwaukee brewers
Ryan Braun has been very up and down this year but as he seems to be seeing the ball well right now and has a great matchup against the left-handed Justin Nicolino of the Miami Marlins, I think Braun is a steal tonight at a cost of $3900. On the season, Braun enters tonight’s matchup with a .272 average with 21 homeruns, 70 RBI’s and 18 SB’s and has been hitting .350 over the past week with 2 homeruns and 7 RBI’s. As I mentioned in Jean Segura’s write-up, Nicolino has struggled against RHB’s on the season allowing them to post a .317 (13-41) average and .851 OPS. Braun is posting a .294 average, .388 OBP and .917 OPS against LHP on the season and as he is a .305 hitter at Miller Park over his last three seasons, is a great option tonight.
Outfield – Kris Davis – Milwaukee Brewers
Sticking with my Brewers stack tonight, I’m going to take my chances on Kris Davis tonight who enters tonight’s contest with a .238 average with 12 homeruns and 36 RBI’s. Davis is only hitting .245 so far in the month of August, but has been hitting for power as he has 5 homeruns and 14 RBI’s so far in the month. Davis has struggled against LHP on this season but has posted a .839 OPS against LHP over his past three seasons. As I’ve mentioned, Justin Nicolino doesn’t have an overpowering arsenal evident by him recording just 4 strikeouts in 16.2 IP this season. Davis did hit .364 in his recent series against the Phillies and as he has a .294 average and .989 OPS at Miller Park this season, I think he is good option to stack with Braun tonight.
Outfield – Josh Reddick – Oakland Athletics
Josh Reddick is hitting .282 with 14 homeruns and 61 RBI’s on the season and as he is facing a hittable right-hander in Baltimore’s Chris Tillman, I’m going to take my chances with the Oakland right-fielder tonight. Reddick is hitting only .262 since the All-Star break, but as he has a .307 average and .862 OPS against RHP on the season, makes him a good option at the hitter friendly Camden Yards on Monday. Tillman has actually fared better against LHB’s on the season but as he is just not a great pitcher in general, this doesn’t scare me to go with Reddick tonight. Reddick has collect at least one hit in 7 of his last 8 games and now that he finally hit his first homerun of August on Sunday and I’m hoping that he will continue to display his homerun swing at Camden Yards on Monday night.