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Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 8/28/2015

MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues

August 28th, 2015

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Daily Fantasy Baseball – 8/28/15

Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.

Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 8/28/2015

USA TODAY Sports

Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!

Pitcher – Aaron Nola – Philadelphia Phillies

There are a lot of great pitchers on the mound tonight but I’m going to go with the Phillies rookie, Aaron Nola as he I think he is showing the best value tonight going against the San Diego Padres. Nola comes into tonight’s matchup after pitching a gem against the Marlins in which he went 8 innings giving up no runs on just three hits while striking out 6. Nola currently is posting a 3.59 ERA and 1.15 WHIP while striking out 34 batters in 42.2 IP. Nola currently is posting a 7.2 K/9 ratio and has a strikeout rate of 19.4%. San Diego comes into tonight’s matchup with the 4th highest team strikeout total in the MLB and is hitting just .245 (ranked 25th) as a team vs. RHP. Nola is holding opposing hitters to a .233 average and .371 slugging percentage in his 7 starts this year. Nola pitched decent against the Padres earlier this season but I like the potential that Nola brings to the mound tonight which will allow us to load up some decent hitters.

Catcher – Russell Martin – Toronto Blue Jays

Russell Martin will be happy when the month of August is over as the veteran catcher has really struggled hitting just .111 (6-54) for the month. Even with a batting average that I feel I might even have a chance to reach if I was in the majors, I’m going with Russell tonight as I try to get as many of the RHB’s of the Toronto Blue Jays that I can afford as they are going up against their ex-teammate, the left-hander Matt Boyd of the Detroit Tigers. Boyd comes into this matchup with a 7.04 ERA and 1.63 ERA on the season and has allowed 8 HR’s in just 30.2 IP this season. Boyd is allowing opposing hitters to post a .333 average, .605 slugging %, and .974 OPS against him. Although Martin is now hitting just .240 on the season, he does have 15 HR’s and 52 RBI’s. Martin has been a bit better at the Rodgers Centre this season posting a .798 OPS and as he has hit .291 (23-79) against LHP, I’m confident with putting Martin in my lineup tonight.

First Base – Ryan Howard – Philadelphia Phillies

Ryan Howard is quietly having a nice season with the Phillies as although the slugging first baseman is hitting just .242 on the season, he does have 21 HR’s and 72 RBI’s. Howard has been hot as of late as he is hitting .400 over the past week with 2 HR’s and 7 RBI’s and is hitting a respectable .286 in the month of August. Ryan Howard will be going up against the right-handed Ian Kennedy of the San Diego Padres in which although he hasn’t had much success against Kennedy in his career, I don’t mind this matchup as Kennedy has a tendency to give up the HR ball. Kennedy has pitched well as of late and has lowered his season totals to a 4.01 ERA and 1.26 WHIP however, has allowed a staggering 26 HR’s in 128 IP on the season. Howard is hitting far better against RHP this season posting a .271 average with 18 of his 21 HR’s and I’m hoping that he continues to stay hot tonight against Kennedy and the Padres.

Second Base – Anthony Rendon – Washington Nationals

Anthony Rendon has battled injuries throughout the year but is starting to look like the player we saw last year as over the past week the second baseman is hitting .364 with 2 HR’s and 6 RBI’s. On the season Rendon is hitting .262 with 3 HR’s and 13 RBIs in 46 games played but I really like him tonight against the left-handed Adam Conley of the Miami Marlins. Conley comes into tonight’s game with a 4.88 ERA and 1.45 WHIP and hasn’t been overly impressive in the 4 games he has started this season. Conley is allowing opposing hitters to post a .288 average and .812 OPS against him on the season. Conley has been awful on the road this season posting a 8.22 ERA allowing opposing hitters to post a .364 average against him. Rendon is hitting .333 (12-36) against LHP on the season and as he has a 1.163 OPS over the past week, he is good option for a cost of just $3500.

Shortstop – Troy Tulowitzki – Toronto Blue Jays

Troy Tulowitzki begin his Blue Jays career with a bang, but has actually struggled a bit as of late as he is hitting just .206 over the past week and .205 in the month of August. Due to this, Tulowitzki’s price tag has gone down to a reasonable level and as he has a nice matchup against Matt Boyd of the Detroit Tigers on Friday, I’m going to go Tulowitzki tonight. On the season Tulowitzki is hitting .282 with 15 HR’s and 63 RBI’s and over his career has generally hit LHP very hard as in the past three seasons he has posted a .313 average and 1.002 OPS vs. lefties. Boyd comes into this matchup allowing RHB’s to post a .299 average and .827 OPS on the season and in his 7 games played this season has a 7.04 ERA. Tulowitzki is hitting .355 against LHP’s this season and as he has some extra value batting at the top of a stacked Blue Jays lineup, I think he has some great value tonight.

Third Base – Todd Frazier – Cincinnati Reds

As I’ve mentioned plenty of times over the past week, as long as Todd Frazier’s price tag remains below the $3000 line, he will be tough to overlook on a value basis alone. Frazier has struggled with his power since winning the HR Derby and although he started off August slow, he has picked it up as of late as he is hitting .357 with 5 doubles over the past week. On the season, Frazier has put up good number as he is hitting .263 (career .259 hitter) with 29 HR’s and 75 RBI’s. Frazier will have a tough matchup going up against the right-handed Taylor Jungmann of the Milwaukee Brewers who comes into tonight’s game with a 2.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 14 starts this season. Jungmann is coming off his worst start of the season giving up 5 runs on 7 hits and 3 BB in just 4.0 IP against Washington last Saturday. Frazier is posting a 1.012 OPS at Miller Park this season and I’m hoping tonight’s the night he finds his HR swing again.

Outfield – Nelson Cruz – Seattle Mariners

Nelson Cruz has been back to HR hitting ways in the month of August as the slugging right-fielder is currently hitting .348 with 12 HR’s for the month and is now hitting .320 with 39 HR’s and 82 RBI’s on the season. Cruz has also been hot as of late as he is hitting .21 with 3 HR’s and 7 RBI’s over the past week and as he has a nice matchup against the left-handed John Danks of the Chicago White Sox, I’ve made room to ensure that he is in my lineup tonight. Danks comes into tonight’s game with a 4.90 ERA and 1.42 WHIP and was recently rocked by the Mariners for 7 ER’s in just 5.0 IP last Sunday. In his career against Danks, Cruz has posted a .304 (7-23) average and .870 OPS. Cruz has been a monster against LHP on the season posting a .370 average, .719 slugging percentage, and 1.160 OPS. Cruz has been better on the road this season posting a 1.080 OPS with 26 of his 39 of his homeruns and as US Cellular Field is a good place for right-handed power hitters, Cruz is a great play tonight.

Outfield – Jose Bautista – Toronto Blue Jays

Jose Bautista has been on a tear lately hitting .364 over the past week with a double, triple, 2 HR’s and 5 RBI’s. On the season, Bautista is hitting .243 with 30 HR’s and 87 RBI’s and has been seeing the ball real well as of late as he has an incredible 6 walks in his past two games. Bautista has a great matchup up against the left-handed Matt Boyd of the Detroit Tigers who have mentioned in the Martin and Tulowitzki write-ups, has had a tough 2015 in his limited starts. Boyd is more of a fly ball pitcher which could spell bad news going against this powerful lineup at the Rodgers Centre on Friday as he is already averaging allowing a HR in about every 4 innings he’s pitched. Bautista has a .944 OPS at home this season and as he is averaging 7.3 FanDuel points in his last 5 games, is a safe pick to have in your lineups tonight.

Outfield – Austin Jackson – Seattle Mariners

Having gone with both Nelson Cruz and Jose Bautista in my outfield, I need to find a decent value pick for my last OF slot and I’m hoping Austin Jackson can be that guy. Austin Jackson is hitting .265 on the season with 7 HR’s and 36 RBI’s but has been hot as of late hitting .400 (10-25) over the past week and has a great matchup against the left-handed John Danks of the Chicago White Sox. Jackson is very familiar with Danks as they faced off against each other often when Jackson was a member of the Detroit Tigers. In his career against Danks, Jackson has posted a .442 average (23-52) and 1.164 OPS. Danks has struggled against RHB’s this season as he is allowing RHB’s to post a .306 average and .857 OPS against him. Jackson is currently riding a 6 game hitting streak (4 multi-hit games) and I’m hoping that he can continue his success against Danks tonight.

 

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