Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 9/29/2015
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
September 29th, 2015
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
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Pitcher – Tyson Ross – San Diego Padres
Tyson Ross has been outstanding this year as the right-handed pitcher is currently posting a 3.17 ERA and 1.30 WHIP on the season with 205 strikeouts in 190.0 IP. Ross has been dominant as of late as over his last two starts he has given up just 3 ER’s over 12 IP while striking out 20 batters. Ross has a solid matchup on Tuesday as he will be going up against the Milwaukee Brewers in which he has posted a 3.00 ERA in his only start against them on the season. As a team, Milwaukee is hitting .260 against RHP’s on the season and are ranked 12th in MLB in total strikeouts. Ross comes into tonight’s matchup with a career best 9.7 K/9 ratio and has a strikeout percentage of 25.72%. Ross has been solid since the All-Star break as over his 13 starts he has posted a 2.94 ERA while holding opposing hitters to a .225 average. Ross has really been able to pile up the strikeouts in his last couple of starts and as I don’t see any reason why he can’t reach double digit K’s tonight, I think he is a solid option for a pitcher not named Kershaw or Bumgarner on Tuesday.
Catcher – Travis D’Arnaud – New York Mets
Travis D’Arnaud is having a decent season when he has been able to stay healthy as the Mets catcher is currently hitting .271 with 12 HR’s and 41 RBI’s on the season. D’Arnaud has struggled a bit as of late hitting just .188 (3-16) over the past week however, is still posting a respectable .278 average with 3 HR’s and 11 RBI’s in the month of September. D’Arnaud has one of the better matchups on Tuesday as he will going up against the right-handed David Buchanan of the Philadelphia Phillies who comes into this matchup with a 7.96 ERA and 1.94 WHIP on the season. Buchanan has pitched better as of late but is still allowing RHB’s to post a .366 average and .958 OPS against him this season. D’Arnaud has been great on the road this season as he is hitting .291 with 6 HR’s and 24 RBI’s away from Citi Field. D’Arnaud has been great against the Phillies this season hitting .412 against them on the season and as he is hitting .462 (6-13) with 2 HR’s and 6 RBI’s at Citizens Bank Park this season, I think he is showing good value at a cost of just $3000.
First Base – Lucas Duda – New York Mets
Lucas Duda has a monster weekend series against the Cincinnati Reds as the slugging first baseman when hit .455 (5-11) with 3 BB, 3 HR’s and 12 RBI’s in the three game series. Duda has had a decent season as although he is hitting just .246 on the season, he does have 25 HR’s and 70 RBI’s. Duda has a great matchup against David Buchanan of the Philadelphia Phillies who I’ve mentioned has struggled this season posting a 7.96 ERA in his 13 starts. Buchanan has allowed 10 HR’s in just 63.1 IP this season. Buchanan has struggled against LHB’s as he is allowing LHB’s to post a .355 average, .605 slugging percentage, and a 1.045 OPS. Duda has 18 of his 25 HR’s against RHP’s on the season. Duda is hitting .324 with 4 HR’s and 9 RBI’s against the Phillies so far on the season. Duda has been a very streaky hitter this season but seems to be crushing the ball as of late, I think he is solid option in a game that the Mets are looking to win so they gain home-field advantage in the playoffs.
Second Base – Jason Kipnis – Cleveland Indians
Jason Kipnis didn’t have a huge game for our team last night but was at least was able to get us some points with a triple and run scored and as he is facing another RHP, I’m going back with the scrappy second baseman from Cleveland who is hitting .302 with 9 HR’s, 51 RBI’s and 11 SB’s on the season. Kipnis has been solid as of late as he has posted a .286 average with two doubles, a triple, and a HR over the past week. Kipnis will be going up against the right-handed Kyle Gibson of the Minnesota Twins who comes into the contest posting a 3.96 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Gibson was hit hard in his recent outing against the Indians as he gave up 6 runs on 7 hits (2 HR’s) over just 2.2 IP. Gibson is allowing opposing hitters to post a .255 average and .705 OPS against him on the season. Kipnis has been great against RHP’s all season as he has posted a .331 average and .901 OPS. Kipnis is hitting .347 with a .978 OPS at Progressive Field this season and for a price tag of under $3000, is once against the best value play at second base tonight.
Shortstop – Carlos Correa – Houston Astros
Houston are playing basically must-win games right now and as their offensive does have the firepower to have big nights, I’m going to be stacking the Astros starting with Carlos Correa against the left-hander Vidal Nuno of the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday. Correa comes into the matchup with a .281 average with 21 HR’s, 61 RBI’s and 12 SB’s on the season as has been a big contributor in his rookie season for the Astros playoff push. Correa has been hot as of late as he is hitting .320 with 2 HR’s and 5 RBI’s over the past week. Nuno comes into tonight’s game posting a respectable 3.69 ERA and 1.27 WHIP however, has been roughed up a bit in his last two starts as he has given up 9 ER’s on 14 hits and 4 BB’s in just 7.2 IP. Correa has been solid against LHP on the season as he has posted a .288 average and .938 against lefties. Correa is currently riding a 7 game hitting streak and as he is 2 for 4 with a HR against Nuno in his career, I think he is a strong option at the SS position tonight.
Third Base – Jed Lowrie – Houston Astros
Jed Lowrie has struggled in limited action this season as the veteran shortstop out of Stanford is currently hitting just .227 on the season with 9 HR’s and 30 RBI’s. Lowrie has been struggling at the plate as of late as he is only 2 for his last 22 but he was able to record a hit in last night’s contest which hopefully will break him out of his recent slump. Lowrie is a switch hitter but should be hitting from the right-side of the plate tonight against the lefty Vidal Nuno and he has fared much better as a RHB as he has posted a .286 average and .968 OPS in 56 AB’s on the season. Nuno has struggled a bit against RHB’s as he has allowed them to post a .274 average and .827 OPS. In his career against Nuno, Lowrie has posted a .429 average (3-7) with a double and a HR. Lowrie has been great against Seattle this season as he is hitting .500 (11-22) with 4 doubles and a HR and as I’m looking to save some money at 3B tonight, Lowrie is a good option at a price tag of just $2500.
Outfield – George Springer – Houston Astros
Springer is finally healthy on the season and after coming through for us last night a 2 for 3 performance with a double and HR, I’m ready to back Springer against tonight against Vidal Nuno of the Seattle Mariners. On the season, Springer is currently hitting .264 with 15 HR’s, 38 RBI’s, and 15 SB. Springer has been picking it up as of late as he is hitting .269 over the past week with a double, triple and HR. Nuno has struggled against the Astros this season as in four appearances (1 start), the left-hander is posting a 6.75 ERA against Houston. Nuno has had some issues with the HR ball as he has allowed 13 HR’s in just 78.0 IP this season. Springer was able to connect on a HR in his only appearance in his career against Nuno. Springer is currently posting a .271 average and .878 OPS against lefties this season. Springer has a great combination of power and speed and as he has 4 multi-hit performances in his past 7 games, is worth the investment of $3200 for the second straight night.
Outfield – Kyle Schwarber – Chicago Cubs
Kyle Schwarber exploded on the scene in Chicago after being called up in mid-July and although Schwarber has struggled a bit with average as he is hitting just .241 on the season, as he shown his great power as he has 16 HR’s and 43 RBI’s in just 64 games this season. Schwarber is hitting just .179 in the month of September but does have 4 HR’s for the month. Schwarber has a great matchup against the right-handed Josh Smith of the Cincinnati Reds who comes into the contest with a 7.23 ERA and 1.90 WHIP over 5 starts this season. Smith has really struggled against LHB’s as he is allowing LHB’s to post a .359 average, .692 slugging percentage, and 1.192 OPS on the season. Schwarber has been far better facing RHP this season as he has posted a .272 average, .574 slugging percentage and .961 OPS against righties. Schwarber has a .435 (10-23) average with 3 HR’s against Cincinnati this season and as he is hitting .438 (7-16) with 2 HR’s at Great American Ball Park this season, he is a solid play to get in your lineups tonight.
Outfield – J.D. Martinez – Detroit Tigers
J.D. Martinez has been in a bit of a power drought in the month of September however, Martinez is still having a career year in 2015 as he has posted a .281 average with 37 HR’s and 99 RBI’s. Martinez has been solid over the past week as he is hitting .286 with 2 doubles over the past week. Martinez will have a tough matchup tonight against the left-handed Cole Hamels of the Texas Rangers who comes into the game with a 3.56 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Hamels has been solid as of late but at times can struggle with giving up HR’s as he has allowed 19 HR’s on the season (17 HR’s vs. RHB). In his career, Martinez is hitting .333 (2-6) with a double and RBI against Hamels. Martinez has been good on the road this season as he has posted a .280 average and .858 OPS. Martinez is a great tournament play tonight as he always has the potential to have a multi-HR game and as his price tag is just at $3300, he is a good option to go with tonight.