Fantasy Baseball Draft 2016: Position Player Draft Busts
Taking a Look at the Overvalued Players in the 2016 Fantasy Baseball Draft
March 28, 2016
Over the past couple of weeks, we’ve been checking out the 2016 fantasy baseball draft from lots of different angles. Today it’s time to move on to draft busts among the position players, and at best these guys should have red flags by their names. Let’s take a closer look at the stats and see why you should be cautious while you’re on the clock.
Robinson Cano, 2B, Seattle Mariners: Cano is a pretty popular bust pick, despite his .331 BA and 15 homers in the final half of the season. The problem here is that Cano is aging rapidly, and doesn’t have much of a body of work in Seattle to bring about much optimism.
Second base is a pretty fertile ground for talent this year, so make sure you’re not reaching on Cano because of his name alone. You can expect another dip in power this year.
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Lorenzo Cain, OF, Kansas City Royals: Cain had a breakout campaign in 2015, slapping 16 homers with 28 steals and 101 runs with a sweet .307 batting average.
All of that goodness has him carrying a high price tag this draft season; in most leagues, he’s going in Round 4 or thereabouts. That sounds a little high to us, based on his career numbers, and it seems a little risky jumping right in with him again.
Adrian Beltre, 3B, Texas Rangers: Remember when Beltre was a can’t-miss fantasy prospect? Well, those days are gone. He provided decent overall numbers in 2015, logging a .287 average with 83 RBI and 18 homers, but he probably will take another step back in 2016.
Beltre will be playing at age 37 this year, and Father Time isn’t usually kind to power hitters. He may hit 15 homers, but we’d be shocked if he reached 20.
Eric Hosmer, 1B, Kansas City Royals: Let’s head back over to KC and check out Hosmer, who feels like more of an overvalued player than he does an outright bust. Owners are picking him up as early as the third round, which seems pretty crazy if you consider his career averages of 17 homers and 82 RBI.
If you can get Hosmer a little cheaper, say Rounds 5-6, go for it, just don’t reach.
Jonathan Lucroy, C/1B, Milwaukee Brewers: Lucroy is a pretty popular bust candidate this year, and we’d tend to agree. His average draft position varies pretty greatly, but usually lands inside the top 100. Based on his projections, he should be going a full two rounds after that.
Lucroy will have a decent BA--around .275 or so--but will have trouble hitting double-digit homers or eclipsing 60 RBI. He’s not an awful pickup by any means, but don’t pull the trigger too quickly here.
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