Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet For 9/1/16
Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: September 1, 2016 DFS Tips for games on 9/1/16
September 1, 2016
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Here is my daily Fantasy Baseball lineup for September 1st, 2016.
Thursday is usually one of the slower days of the week, however we kick off the home stretch with an unusually slow day, with only 4 games on the schedule. Here's my lineup for today.
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Pitcher #1: Jacob DeGrom, NYM
Analysis: It’s slim pickings today, and I think I took the two best options in the pool of 8 pitchers. We will start in New York as the Mets try to make one last push for the playoffs against the Miami Marlins on Wednesday. DeGrom owns a 4-2 record with a 3.40 ERA in 9 starts vs. Miami, but if we dig deeper there’s reason to believe this could be the best performance on the mound Thursday. Against the current Marlins lineup in his career, DeGrom has allowed 37 hits in 131 at-bats, for a .282 batting average against but it’s the 37 strikeouts that raise an eyebrow. That’s right one strikeout for every hit the Marlins have against DeGrom. Add in the fact that DeGrom hasn’t allowed a home run to that lineup in his career, and that makes for a pretty good performance on Thursday.
Pitcher #2: Jose Quintana, CWS
Analysis: To be completely honest, I’m not sure why Quintana is the most expensive pitcher on the board Thursday, but compared to the other options remaining, I’ll have to bite the bullet. Quintana is the most reliable option on the board, and he faces the Twins on Thursday who are without a doubt the worst team in the American League. Quintana owns a lifetime 6-5 record with a 3.76 ERA in 17 career starts vs. Minnesota, so he should be able to keep their bats quiet and it doesn’t hurt that Quintana hasn’t allowed more than 3 earner runs in any of his starts since the all-star break.
Catcher: Travis D’Arnaud, NYM
Analysis: One of my DFS rules that I haven’t mentioned to this point goes back to the old cliché of not pooping where you eat. Don’t pick position players who are opposing your starting pitchers, obviously because where you score points with one, you lose points with the other. For example, my initial reaction was to take J.T. Realmuto or Kurt Suzuki behind the plate until I realized both were opposite my starting pitchers, which is why I went with D’Arnaud. No statistics to back this, just the theory that Jose Urena is one of Miami’s lower end starting pitchers, and D’Arnaud is a bat on a team that needs this win more so I’m buying a lottery ticket with D’Arnaud and hoping it pans out.
1st Base: Anthony Rizzo, CHIC
Analysis: Atlanta’s Freddie Freeman was the most expensive option for Thursday, so I jumped on Rizzo for a better option at a cheaper price. Rizzo hasn’t had much experience against Giants starting pitcher Jeff Samardzija, however Rizzo has gone 1-for-2 against Samardziha with that 1 hit being a home run. I’m still fading Samardzija even though he recorded a shutout in his last start, it was against Atlanta who has been bad for most of this season. Rizzo could have another big night as the cubs look to clinch the division by the end of this week.
2nd Base: Ben Zobrist, CHIC
Analysis: Zobrist has been one of the underrated pieces of the Cubs offense this season, but like all major leaguers, he has had his share of hot and cold streaks. Zobrist’s last 3 outings have all resulted in 0-fers, but before that he was on a six game hit streak where Zobrist had multiple hits in 3 of those 6. I’m hoping that we see the start of a new streak here as the Cubs are looking to get the division locked up as soon as possible.
3rd Base: Todd Frazier, CWS
Analysis: I was pleased with the value I was able to find with Frazier on Thursday. As I mentioned before, the White Sox are taking on the Twins and starter Ervin Santana on Thursday. In his career against Santana, Frazier is only 2-for-10, however both of those hits have gone for extra bases including a solo homer for Frazier. The Twins have mailed it in the rest of the way and while Santana may not roll over, I like the White Sox enough to get to him early and often as Frazier comes up big here.
Shortstop: Dansby Swanson, ATL
Analysis: My only pick of the afternoon game and it happens to also be my value pick for Thursday. Like I said earlier, Atlanta has been done since the beginning of the season basically so they are using this time to play spoiler and see what they have for the future. What they have is a great player in Dansby Swanson. Swanson is coming off of his first multi-RBI game in his young career, putting 3 up on the Padres on Tuesday, and a double to bring his average up to .300. Atlanta takes on San Diego and starter Jarred Cosart to close out the series on Thursday, and it could be another big game for Swanson as the Padres are simply not good and Cosart is even worse.
Outfielder #1: Curtis Granderson, NYM
Analysis: I was originally going to take Christian Yelich in this spot but that would go against my starting pitcher DeGrom, so instead I went from someone who could hurt his numbers, to someone who could help them in Granderson. Again, I’m strictly basing my pick on the prediction that Miami and starter Jose Urena will struggle against New York on Thursday, and Granderson will be able to replicate some success like Tuesday when he recorded 2 homers in 2 at-bats against these same Marlins.
Outfielder #2: Hunter Pence, SF
Analysis: Believe it or not, Pence was the last player I selected in today’s lineup. By no means do I have the Giants destroying the red-hot Cubs on Thursday, but I think this game has the potential for some fireworks with Chicago putting Mike Montgomery on the mound who has been mediocre with the Cubs. Pence went 3-for-3 against the Diamondbacks on Tuesday and while the Cubs are in a completely different class, I think there’s some potential for the Giants here, Pence being one of them, to have a good night and if San Fran were to steal one to get their heads back into it, this is the game.
Outfielder #3: Avisail Garcia, CWS
Analysis: Might as well finish with one more value pick. I’ve said it all throughout this article, that the Twins are the worst team in the AL. Even with their best pitcher going in Ervin Santana, the Twins are in over their heads in every matchup apparently as they get rocked night after night. One of the White Sox who may be able to add to the Twins woes is Avisail Garcia who has been surprisingly consistent for Chicago with hits in 10 of his last 11 games. Not to mention in his career against Santana, Garcia is 5-for-13 with 2 extra base hits including a solo homer. Garcia could be in for a big night if he keeps seeing what Santana is giving him.
Salary Remaining (out of $50,000 budget): $100