Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet For 9/9/16
Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: September 9, 2016 DFS Tips for games on 9/9/16
September 9, 2016
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Here is my daily Fantasy Baseball lineup for September 9th, 2016.
A winning lineup yesterday raked me a cool $20 off of a $2 bet, lets see if we can’t make it two in a row. We have some awesome matchups tonight including a battle for first in the AL East when the Red Sox visit the Blue Jays. Here's my lineup for today.
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Pitcher #1: Carlos Martinez, STL
Analysis: As soon as I saw Martinez was pitching on Friday, I told myself I would pick him if he was under $11,500 and I was happy to get him at $10,300 for many reasons. The Cardinals are back in the playoff race, sitting tied for the second wild-card spot heading into Thursday, where St. Louis starts a four game weekend set against the Milwaukee Brewers, a team Martinez has had success against. Against the current Brewers lineup in his career, Martinez is holding them to a .225 batting average over 80 combined at-bats, with 37 strikeouts and no home runs allowed. Take that in for a second. 37 of Milwaukee’s 80 at-bats against Martinez have resulted in a K, almost every other at-bat. That’s flat out ridiculous. Add in that the Brewers still have the highest strikeout rate in all of baseball, and that number could climb for Martinez in a dominant performance on Friday.
Pitcher #2: Marco Estrada, TOR
Analysis: You may think I’m nuts for taking Estrada, he didn’t look good his last time out and the Blue Jays take on the Red Sox in their massive divisional series on Friday. Boston has also allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing pitchers this season. However I still like Estrada’s chances against Boston. In his career against the current Red Sox lineup, Estrada has held them to a .185 batting average over 130 combined at-bats with 24 strikeouts, including a lowly 6-for-45 combined against 3 key parts of the Boston lineup in Xander Bogaerts, Brock Holt and David Ortiz. The Jays need this game which may very well be their most important this season, and I think Estrada comes through in a major clutch performance.
Catcher: Kurt Suzuki, MIN
Analysis: The value train is coming around early today folks. Suzuki and the Twins take on playoff bound Cleveland and starting pitcher Danny Salazar on Friday. Suzuki has had past success against Salazar to the tune of a .333 batting average in 15 at-bats with 2 extra base hits including a solo home run. Add in the fact that Salazar is allowing a .341 batting average against the current Twins lineup, and this could be a prime letdown spot for Cleveland and Suzuki could be the beneficiary of some key fantasy points on Friday.
1st Base: Edwin Encarnacion, TOR
Analysis: I keep saying it, you give me Encarnacion and a low price tag and I’m all over it. I mean sure Boston’s starting pitcher Rick Porcello may be the Cy Young winner this year, but Porcello is still a sub .500 pitcher with a 5.27 ERA in his career against Toronto. Not to mention Encarnacion has had success against Porcello, hitting .382 in 34 at-bats with 8 extra base hits including 3 home runs and 10 RBI. To pass on this low of a price on an AL MVP contender would be downright insane. Take Encarnacion as the Jays use the home crowd to wake up the bats.
2nd Base: Brian Dozier, MIN
Analysis: I had a huge grin from ear to ear when I took Brian Dozier for his 3 home run game the other night so I figured why not try again? Dozier is another Minnesota Twin who has resigned to the role of spoiler, and while Cleveland may be on their way to the postseason, the Twins can still halt some of their momentum. Against Indians starter Danny Salazar in his Career, Dozier is batting .478 in 23 at-bats with 7 extra base hits including 2 home runs and 6 RBI. I’m hoping Dozier can repeat some of the magic against Kansas City on Friday.
3rd Base: Evan Longoria, TB
Analysis: Even though the Rays are also playing spoiler, I like their chances against the Yankees on Friday. The Yankees send Michael Pineda to the bump, and anyone who’s read any of my DFS stuff knows how much I don’t like Michael Pineda as he has been way too inconsistent to me to like backing him. And although Pineda has had Longoria’s number, of Longo’s 5 hits in his 27 at-bats against Pineda, 2 have gone for extra bases including a home run and a double for 4 RBI. Anyone will tell you, the team with nothing to lose plays with no pressure on their shoulders and that may come to benefit the Rays and Longoria on Friday.
Shortstop: Brandon Crawford, SF
Analysis: The only reason I’m backing any Giants player with the current form the team is in, is because Crawford has had success against Diamondbacks starter Rubby De La Rosa. In his career against De La Rosa, Crawford is 5-for-17 with 2 home runs and 3 RBI. The Diamondbacks get rocked night after night but with the way the Giants have been playing I wouldn’t be surprised if Arizona won 2 of 3 here.
Outfielder #1: Jose Bautista, TOR
Analysis: We have already established the importance of this Jays/Red Sox series. But an underlying story throughout this whole ordeal is Jose Bautista and his contract situation. Joey Bats is going to be a free agent come season’s end as he has said there will be no “hometown discount” for the Jays, but it’s hard to believe he will get big time money anywhere so he’s going to be playing his butt off to earn that paycheck the rest of this month. Bautista, in his career against Red Sox starter Rick Porcello, has hit 14 times in 34 at-bats with 3 home runs and 9 RBI while only striking out 4 times. Look for Bautista to be another Jay who’s just happy to be home as the Jays are ready for this series.
Outfielder #2: Mike Trout, LAA
Analysis: The only reason I can see Trout’s price being so high is because he is still contending for the AL MVP on a team that is 15 games under .500 and on the brink of elimination. However his numbers against Texas starter Yu Darvish gives us reason to pay the price. In his career against Darvish, Trout is 10-for-34 with 5 extra base hits including 4 home runs and 6 RBI. If Trout is worthy of this price, I’m expecting him to show it on Friday.
Outfielder #3: Giancarlo Stanton, MIA
Analysis: I’m all over this price on Stanton. Miami is still in the playoff race, and although the Dodgers are in town starting Clayton Kershaw on Friday, it’s still Kershaw’s first start in two months and his first since coming off of the DL, so there’s the possibility for some rust and you don’t want to be rusty against one of the game’s best power hitters in Stanton. Plus, Stanton has had decent numbers against Kershaw in his career, batting .278 in 18 career at-bats with 4 extra base hits including 2 home runs and 6 RBI. Either Kershaw pitches 7-8 strong innings or gets lit up early and I’m hoping Friday for the latter.
Salary Remaining (out of $50,000 budget): $0