Daily Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet For Week 1
Daily Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Week one DFS Tips for games on 9/11/16
September 11, 2016
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Here is my NFL lineup for week 1.
It’s the dawning of a new NFL season and we kick off week 1 with our first DFS lineup on the year.
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Now let me start by saying I won’t be putting in the Thursday night game, with the exception being Thanksgiving, because if there isn’t anything I think is worth playing on Thursday, I don’t want to post the same thing twice so I’m going to only be covering the Sunday/Monday games. So with that said, here we go.
Quarterback: Derek Carr, OAK
Analysis: The theme today is going to be potential mainly because all we have to go on for week 1 is last year’s stats and assume there is going to be a carry over until we are proven otherwise, which is why I’m taking Derek Carr. The Saints may have a high-scoring offense, but their offense has to score a lot to make up for their defense which gave up almost 30 points per game last season, good for dead last in the league. Not to mention that the Saints gave up the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks last season. This could be an underrated pick for game of the week, and a high-scoring affair, but I didn’t take the Raiders or Saints defense, so I figure I can only benefit from taking guys like Derek Carr on Sunday.
Running Back #1: Lamar Miller, HOU
Analysis: This season’s Chicago Bears are not the same vaunted defense of years past. I mean last year they gave up the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs and Miller, who has assumed the starting role in Houston’s backfield will be looking to take advantage of that. Miller has averaged 54 yards per game in 4 meetings with teams from the NFC North and has 3 touchdowns in the process. I’m not expecting much of anything from the Bears this season, and their opening game could get real ugly real quick.
Running Back #2: Latavius Murray, OAK
Analysis: A trend you will notice with my lineup, is that it has quite a few Oakland Raiders on it, mainly because I’m going to fade the Saints defense until they could prove that they’re able to play some form of defense. Where I stand right now, I’m confident I could take myself and 10 of my friends and we could move the ball on the Saints. Latavius Murray has yet to see action against the NFC South, however his first game could be a big one, especially since the Saints gave up the third-most points to opposing running backs last season.
Wide Receiver #1: Amari Cooper, OAK
Analysis: Another Raider, same prediction. Cooper is going to be one of, if not David Carr’s most thrown to receiver this year. The Saints defense is flat out brutal, giving up the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. If Carr and Cooper hook up for a couple scores on Sunday, this could be a pair that pays major dividends.
Wide Receiver #2: Terrance Williams, DAL
Analysis: Williams was my last pick for this lineup, and I would be lying if I said this pick didn’t make me nauseous. With Dak Prescott starting for the Cowboys this weekend, it’s more than likely that Dallas will look more towards the run to be safe. However one saving grace for those taking Williams is that he fared well against the Giants last season, hauling in 15 passes for 130 yards. Fingers crossed that Williams is able to get open and Prescott can get it to him.
Wide Receiver #3: Terrelle Pryor, CLE
Analysis: This is a flyer if I’ve ever taken one. Pryor is on a bad Cleveland team even with RGIII taking snaps. The only reason to think that Pryor could hold some value here is that when Cleveland takes on the Eagles on Sunday, the Browns will face the defense that gave up the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers last year. If you take Pryor, good luck, I know I’ll probably need it.
Tight End: Rob Gronkowski, NE
Analysis: I thought I might’ve got Gronk a little bit cheaper considering that Brady is out, but maybe that’s why he’s a bit higher, I’m not sure. All I know is that it’s going to be tough for the Patriots against a pretty good Cardinals defense. My thought process here is that Jimmy Garoppolo is going to get pressured often, so he will be looking to guys like Gronk and my flex pick to get him out of trouble. Gronkowski has had success against the Cardinals, with 6 receptiongs for 75 yards and a touchdown back in 2012, granted it was Tom Brady throwing to him. I think Gronk still holds some value Sunday Night.
Flex: Julian Edelman, NE
Analysis: The same things I said for Rob Gronkowski, can be applied to Julian Edelman as my flex. Garoppolo is going to need safety blankets for the times he gets rushed and guys like Edelman can haul in the quick slants and bullet passes to try to bail him out of jail. Edelman’s only game against Arizona in 2012 resulted in 5 catches for 50 yards. Take Edelman in the flex spot and hope that Garoppolo hits him.
Defense/Special Teams: Minnesota Vikings
Analysis: There were 6 other defenses with higher price tags than the Vikings, but I like the value here with Minnesota. Sure Teddy Bridgewater is out for the year, but that doesn’t affect what’s going on with the defense. The Vikings take on the Tennessee Titans and although the Titans have had a year with Marcus Mariota under center, there hasn’t been enough improvement to scare me away from taking the Vikings. Not to mention Tennessee gave up the most fantasy points to opposing D/ST last season.
Salary remaining (Out of a $50,000 budget): $0