Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet For 9/27/16
Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: September 27, 2016 DFS Tips for games on 9/27/16
September 27, 2016
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Here is my daily Fantasy Baseball lineup for September 27th, 2016.
Our last Tuesday of the regular season brings us a full slate of 15 games throughout the evening, anything can happen in this last week so let’s take a shot with this lineup. Here's my lineup for today.
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Pitcher #1: Julio Teheran, ATL
Analysis: Normally I’d try to stay away from a pitcher on a team who isn’t even playing spoiler, but the price on Teheran is too good to pass up. Teheran is slated to start for the Braves on Tuesday against the Phillies, a matchup which I think favors Atlanta considering how they have been swinging the bat over the last week. Teheran is 7-4 with a 2.31 ERA in 13 career starts and against the current Phillies lineup, Teheran has held them to a combined .219 average over 169 at-bats with 32 strikeouts. Teheran has been way better than his record shows, as he has allowed 4 or more earned runs in only 6 of his 28 starts this year. Not to mention Teheran threw 6 innings of shutout ball against these same Phillies on September 4th, so I have confidence picking him here.
Pitcher #2: Aaron Sanchez, TOR
Analysis: This is some great value for Sanchez, considering he is 3-0 in 4 starts against the O’s this season, and along with J.A. Happ, Sanchez has proved to be one of Toronto’s stoppers this year whenever they’re on a slide or need to keep momentum going. When Toronto takes on Baltimore in the series opener on Tuesday, I can back Sanchez with confidence. Not to mention that Adam Jones and Mark Trumbo, two key pieces of the Baltimore lineup are a combined 4-for-30 against Sanchez.
Catcher: Gary Sanchez, NYY
Analysis: The Yankees poor showing against the Blue Jays over the weekend could result in New York being eliminated from the place with a loss and a Baltimore victory on Monday, but that won’t stop the Yanks from seeing what they have for the future, as we have already seen with Gary Sanchez. He has 19 home runs and 38 RBI since being called up and even though he has cooled off big time, I’m willing to back Sanchez on Tuesday, as it has paid off whenever I do. The Price on Sanchez may be a bit higher than I would like, if the Yanks get swept and the O’s win, it won’t matter anymore, and New York will simply be playing for pride.
1st Base: Carlos Santana, CLE
Analysis: With a win against the Tigers on Monday, Cleveland could clinch the division title, making Tuesday’s game more important for Detroit than it would Cleveland who would be fighting for position at that point. However that doesn’t change that Santana and the Indians take on Detroit starting pitcher Justin Verlander in a matchup with playoff implications on both sides, and if Santana gets to step into the batter’s box, I like his chances on Tuesday. Against Verlander in his career, Santana is 13-for-63 with 9 extra base hits including 7 home runs and 11 RBI. Calling a .206 average “hot” isn’t the norm, but it applies when more than half of your hits have left the yard.
2nd Base: Brian Dozier, MIN
Analysis: Ok hold the phone. You mean to tell me that I get a guy with 42 home runs, who is chasing the century RBI mark, against the least reliable pitcher in the Royals rotation, for under $5,000? Sign me up and quickly. Dozier has been the lone bright spot in a miserable Twins season, that has Minnesota sitting as the first, and probably only team with 100 losses this season. However when Dozier’s bat is on, he can give any team a chance to win on any given night. Now the Twins and Royals face off with the Royals playoff hopes hanging in the balance as KC sends Ian Kennedy to the mound on Tuesday. In his career against Kennedy, Dozier is 4-for-13 with 2 home runs and 3 RBI. I think Dozier finally hits the 100 RBI mark on Tuesday.
3rd Base: Chase Headley, NYY
Analysis: Alright, I get it. David Price has been on fire for Boston and the Yankees fate may be decided on Tuesday. But you’re going to give me Headley for $2,400?! I’ll take the value based on Headley’s history against Price alone. In his career against Price, Headley has 11 hits in 30 at-bats with 3 extra base hits and 3 RBI. There may be a reason Headley’s price is so low, but I’ll take my chances.
Shortstop: Asdrubal Cabrera, NYM
Analysis: Game two of the emotional series between the Marlins and Mets takes place on Tuesday, as Miami sends Tom Koehler to oppose New York. I’m backing Cabrera here for two reasons. 1. Cabrera has gone 5-for-10 with 2 home runs and 3 RBI in his career against Koehler. But reason #2 is how Cabrera has been crushing the ball as of late. From his walk-off home run against the Phillies on Thursday night in extra innings to open the series, to his grand slam to close out the series on Sunday. Cabrera is on fire, with 3 homers in his last 5 games, and a .337 batting average with six home runs and 15 RBI in 82 at-bats in the month of September. Look for the bat to keep firing as the Mets battle for the wild-card spots.
Outfielder #1: Jacoby Ellsbury, NYY
Analysis: Again! I get Price has killed it as of late, but to give a guy with as much success against Price as Ellsbury has had, this low of a price tag is something I’m all over. In his career against Price, Ellsbury is 25-for-73 with 9 extra base hits including a home run and 6 RBI. If the Yankees still have some motivation on Tuesday, I like Ellsbury to contribute here.
Outfielder #2: Yoenis Cespedes, NYM
Analysis: Again, the Mets and Marlins have a heavy series to play this week, with the recent passing of Jose Fernandez. However the show must go on, heavy heart or not. Cespedes is another New York Met who has had success against Miami starting pitcher Tom Koehler. In his career against Koehler, Cespedes has 6 hits in 17 at-bats with 2 RBI. A flurry of thoughts behind this pick come into play. The Mets need this win in a big way, Cespedes will want to play out the string for his fallen friend and my lack of faith in Koehler, all add up to going with Cespedes here.
Outfielder #3: Mike Trout, LAA
Analysis: Again, I’d normally stay away from games where neither side has anything to play for. But when you find a couple value picks and have some money to play with, splurge a little and take a player who has a chance to do well on any given night, which is why I chose Trout. The Angels play the A’s and starter Daniel Mengden on Tuesday, and to put it quite simply, Mengden hasn’t looked like a major leaguer at all this season. Now Mengden has yet to face the Angels, and when a team has yet to face a pitcher there’s potential for the pitcher to have success most nights. However not when you’re a pitcher with a 2-8 record and an ERA north of 5 who has allowed 2 runs or less in only 2 of your 10 appearances this season. Not to mention going against a team that has one of the best players in baseball on the other side, in my last pick, Mike Trout.
Salary Remaining (out of $50,000 budget): $200