Daily Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet For Week 4
Daily Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Week 4 DFS Tips for games on 10/2/16
October 2, 2016
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Here is my NFL lineup for week 4. Already a quarter of the way through the regular season. It’s hard to believe but let’s see if we can’t take advantage of some quality matchups. Here we go.
Quarterback: Matthew Stafford, DET
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Analysis: Stafford was a pretty easy choice for me in week 4. He has already logged nearly 1,000 passing yards in his first 3 games this season, and I’m expecting a big game from him in week 4. Stafford threw for nearly 400 yards, 3 touchdowns and a pick against a Packers defense that is one of the better team defenses in the NFL. Now, Stafford gets to feast on a banged up Chicago defense that is sure to fall out of the top-10 in defending the pass once Stafford is through with them. I mean Stafford will be the first legitimate experienced starter that the Bears have faced, unlike Brock Osweiler, Carson Wentz and Dak Prescott. Expect another monster game from Stafford here.
Running Back #1: LeGarrette Blount, NEP
Analysis: I’m not sure what DraftKings is thinking giving me the best value on the board. Blount should easily be worth $6,500 considering that New England hasn’t announced who is starting at quarterback as of yet. Even so, Blount has a touchdown in each of his first 3 games this season, not to mention back-to-back 20-point performances. Whoever takes snaps under center for the Pats in week 4 will either be banged up, or if they decide to start former college QB turned wide receiver Julian Edelman, I’m expecting the Pats to lean heavier on the run than normal, which is why I’m going to back Blount here.
Running Back #2: Christine Michael, SEA
Analysis: With Thomas Rawls out, Michael saw a massive chunk of gametime, and if it weren’t for the score being a Seattle blowout, he probably would’ve seen more. Even if Rawls returns, I’m thinking that based on his performance, Michael has earned himself a larger piece of the pie after his 106 yard, 2 touchdown performance from week 3. Now the test comes against a stout Todd Bowles defense that ranks in the top-10 against the run. However if Russell Wilson misses this game, I have little faith in Trevone Boykin as a serviceable backup, which leads me to hope that the Seahawks go run heavy against the Jets in week 4.
Wide Receiver #1: Brandin Cooks, NO
Analysis: This is a risky pick considering how much Cooks’ productivity has fallen off from week 1 to last week where Cooks only caught 2 passes for 13 yards against the Falcons in a game where the Saints had 491 yards of total offense. However I think New Orleans will want to avoid going 0-4 and they will need all hands on deck against a surprising San Diego club. There’s always a possibility that Cooks can have a letdown like this with Drew Brees’ willingness to spread the wealth amongst his receivers but I’m expecting a bounce back game in week 4 as Cooks has been a pretty reliable option more often than not.
Wide Receiver #2: Mike Evans, TB
Analysis: I know you’re probably thinking I’m a fool for taking Evans against arguably the best defense in the league. A top-5 defense that has shut down the likes of A.J. Green, Cam Newton and Andrew Luck in the first 3 weeks of this season. However 2016 is bound to be the best year for Evans of his young career in terms of usage and volume, as was evident by his 10 receptions for 132 yards and a touchdown in week 3 against the Rams. Now obviously the Rams and Broncos are miles apart in terms of defense, however if Evans can haul in a few of the targets and get some space, he is fully capable of making big plays.
Wide Receiver #3: Steve Smith Sr., BAL
Analysis: I’m surprised that I’m getting this good of a price on Smith considering that the Ravens are taking on the Oakland Raiders, the worst team at defending the pass through the first 3 weeks of the season. Smith has had at least 60 yards receiving in the last two weeks against the Jaguars and Browns, who are both miles ahead of Oakland in that category so I feel comfortable taking a flyer on Smith on Sunday.
Tight End: Zach Miller, CHI
Analysis: Miller’s 8 reception, 78 yard and 2 touchdown performance in week 3 was no fluke. I will concede that I have zero faith in the Bears this season, but I actually like Brian Hoyer more than I do Jay Cutler. Especially after seeing how comfortable Hoyer looked especially in primetime. Miller was a prime option at tight end in most leagues last season and I think he will be worth a look again this week as a good safety blanket for Hoyer, against a Detroit team that is giving up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.
Flex: Melvin Gordon, SD
Analysis: I’m going to be all over Melvin Gordon this season. Gordon did come back to reality after a couple of standout performances to start the season with only 35 yards on 16 carries, however he did catch 4 passes out of the backfield for 43 yards. With Danny Woodhead lost for the season, it looks like Gordon is going to be one of the few every down backs in the NFL this season as he was the only running back to carry the ball in week 3. I especially like him this week against a New Orleans team that barely plays a lick of defense and is last in the league defending against the run through the first 3 weeks.
Defense/Special Teams: Seattle Seahawks
Analysis: If Russell Wilson ends up sitting week 4 out, the Seahawks are going to need to back Trevone Boykin and keep the Jets away from the end zone, but that shouldn’t be too hard. I mean Jets QB Ryan Fitzpatrick just threw 6 interceptions against a Chiefs defense that is not nearly as good as this Seattle squad. Now by no means do I think Seattle will be able to pull down 6 or 7 interceptions in a game. But 3 or 4 is definitely possible against a Jets offense that is allowing the most points to opposing defenses this season.
Salary remaining (Out of a $50,000 budget): $500