Daily Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet For Week 5
Daily Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Week 5 DFS Tips for games on 10/9/16
October 9, 2016
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Here is my NFL lineup for week 5. Another shorter week as we have 12 games on Sunday, with teams like Seattle, Jacksonville, New Orleans and Kansas City on a bye week, there’s still lots of good matchups to be had. Let’s put out a strong lineup and make some cash.
Quarterback: Tom Brady, NE
Analysis: Brady was always going to be my pick at QB for week 5, it was just a matter of filling in the rest of my lineup. Let’s face it. Brady is ticked off and is going to play with a massive chip on his shoulder this season. Not to mention his first game back is against a hapless Browns team that is still searching for their first win and is going to be a punching bag for Brady and this patriots offense that was shut out in week 4, but now New England has their guy back and this could get ugly.
Running Back #1: LeVeon Bell, PIT
Analysis: My pick of Bell is solely based on speculation. One game is way too small of a sample size to analyze, however if we want to analyze it, it was 144 yards on 18 carries against what was supposed to be a premier defense in the AFC West. Now the Chiefs are in the bottom 6 in the NFL against the run. The Jets on the other hand are in 3rd and I’m thinking Bell makes a massive dent in that mark when Pittsburgh faces the Jets on Sunday. I’m not reading too much into the Jets against the run because all of their first 4 games have been against teams that rely way more on the pass than they do on the ground, and Pittsburgh will be the most balanced offense they have faced with one of the premier running backs in the league in the backfield.
Running Back #2: Ezekiel Elliott, DAL
Analysis: Anyone who has read any of my MLB DFS stuff knows my theory on front-loading your lineup. If you’re going to go big price tags on 2-3 positions, you’d better find value elsewhere which I think I have this week. Elliott has been money the last two weeks, posting 46.7 points and 278 yards on 53 carries. It’s clear that Dallas is finally comfortable enough with Elliott handling the ball that they’re willing to use the run a lot more going forward. Cincinnati is in the top 10 against the pass so they’re going to want to make Dak Prescott uncomfortable in the pocket, meaning Dallas will have to use Elliott a lot to keep the Bengals on their heels and to set up play action. I’m keeping my fingers crossed that Elliott finally has it figured out and has another monster game here.
Wide Receiver #1: Sterling Shepard, NYG
Analysis: I’m starting to think all of this on-field and off-field drama with Odell Beckham Jr. is finally getting to the Giants. They’re either going to dump the ball down Beckham’s throat against the Packers on Sunday night, or they’re going to cut him out completely and spread the wealth. I’m hoping for the latter with Shepard. Shepard has proven himself to be quite the serviceable receiver for the G-men, even though week 4 was his first game without recording double-digit fantasy points. I’m hoping Shepard regresses to his first 3 weeks self and we get another big game from Shepard against a Packers defense that is top-10 against the pass but has looked suspect at certain points this season.
Wide Receiver #2: Sammie Coates, PIT
Analysis: Remember that value I was talking about earlier? Here it is, and in a big way. Coates has quickly earned the trust of Ben Roethlisberger, and is a big play waiting to happen every time he steps on the field. Coates recorded a career high in targets and receptions in week 4, and with LeVeon Bell returning alongside Markus Wheaton in the slot, Coates has found himself freed up for some snaps at wideout where he could do some major damage. Remember that Jets defense I was talking about earlier against defending the run? Well that same defense is in the bottom 6 against the pass, and against a QB-wide receiver tandem like Roethlisberger and Coates, that spells nothing but trouble for the Jets and nothing but money for my lineup with Coates in it.
Wide Receiver #3: Michael Crabtree, OAK
Analysis: I’ve been on the Oakland hype train since week 1, and that’s not changing even in my DFS lineups. Crabtree has looked awesome for the majority of this season, registering double-digit fantasy points in each of his first 4 games, including a 33.8 point, 3 touchdown performance in week 4. Now Oakland takes their high-powered offense into a division game against the San Diego Chargers who are 5th worst against the pass? Yes please. Crabtree is going to be a matchup nightmare, and will reek havoc all day.
Tight End: Martellus Bennett, NE
Analysis: Bennett was another value pick mainly because I wanted Gronk, but if I took Gronk, I would’ve had an incomplete lineup, so I stayed in New England. Bennett is a risky pick as he has alternated 100-yard games with games where he failed to register 15 yards receiving. Gronk may have just had chemistry issues with Garoppolo and Brissett which could explain the slow start and the heavy reliance on Bennett, but I’m taking a shot that the Pats still use Bennett in some capacity against a Browns team that is allowing the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.
Flex: Terrance West, BAL
Analysis: West had his first major workload of the season in week 4, and it paid off big time as West carried the rock 21 times for 113 yards and a touchdown, en route to 20.3 fantasy points. Now, since the Ravens released Justin Forsett, West doesn’t have to look over his shoulder the rest of the way, allowing him to focus on his job. Against a Washington defense that is 4th worst against the run and allowing the 3rd most points to opposing running backs this season, I like my chances from a big game from West and under $5k makes this some great value.
Defense/Special Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers
Analysis: Quite simply, the Jets offense is brutal. They’ve had some success on the ground, but through the air, Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown 10 New York interceptions through the first 4 games and without one of their top receivers in Eric Decker, Fitzy may be forced to throw the ball into spots he doesn’t want to, and I can only picture that interception total growing when week 5 is all said and done.
Salary remaining (Out of a $50,000 budget): $200