Valspar Championship: PGA Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 3/10/16
Valspar Championship: Thursday, March 10 2016 at 1:00 pm (Innisbrook Resort)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: GOLF, NBC
We move to the West Coast of Florida this week for the Valspar Championship. This is one of the newer courses on the PGA season with its debut being the 2000 Tampa Bay Classic. Players are preparing for the upcoming Masters, so you can expect guys to turn things up a few notches.
Let’s take a look at some of the guys you should consider throwing on your card this week.
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Jordan Spieth - Jordan Spiethis by far the favorite this week with odds of +490, as the rest of the golfers are in the 1,000s in terms of plus money. This is still a chance to make five times your money with a golfer who is the defending champ on this course and had a top-10 finish in 2013. Spieth also showed signs of turning things around last week with a top-20 finish at the WGC-Cadillac Championship. Overall, Spieth is fifth in total strokes gained and first in birdie average. You can’t go wrong with the best golfer in the world and these odds.
Justin Thomas - Justin Thomas continues to show promise at the young age of 22, and he’s been able to hang around the top 30 and every once in awhile give you a top-10 performance. Thomas finished 10th last year at the Valspar Championship and has three top-three finishes overall this season. Thomas is also eighth in birdie average and seventh in the all-around ranking. It’s only a matter of time before Thomas gets his second PGA victory under his young belt. I’ll take a stab with odds of +3300.
K.J. Choi - K.J. Choi has had some time to rest up after his last event being a fifth place finish at the Northern Trust. Choi has been kind of hit or miss recently, but he does have two top-five finishes in his last four events. Choi is also 23rd in driving accuracy percentage and fourth in sand save percentage. Oh, there’s also the fact that Choi is one of only two golfers to win the Valspar Championship twice, as his wins came in 2002 and 2006. The rest factor and his history on this course make Choi a solid pick this week with odds of +4500 if you’re looking for a potential big pay day.
Harris English - Harris English had a top-10 finish last week at the WGC-Cadillac and a third place finish at the Phoenix Open a month ago. It’s clear English is playing some of his most consistent golf over the last month and is eager to climb up the standings as he’s currently ranked 70th in world rankings. As for this course, English has two top-10 finishes in his last three appearances at the Valspar Championship. You could make an argument that English plays his best golf in the state of Florida. I like the odds of +3500.
Kevin Na - Kevin Na is starting to fall apart after missing the cut in two of his last three events and finishing 35th last week at the WGC-Cadillac. That’s why we’re able to get Na with odds of +4400. Now, for the positives, Na was runner-up at the Valspar Championship in 2014 and did have a top-10 finish last year. It also wasn’t that long ago when Na was racking up top-10 and top-five finishes like they were nothing. Even with the recent struggles, Na is still 14th in birdie average, 26th in total strokes gained and eighth in FedExCup season points. Oddsmakers may be low on Na, but this is where we jump in as the value is too great to pass up.