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Breeders' Cup Marathon Selections and Analysis

Friday, November 1, 2013 1:45pm (4:45pm ET)

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TV: NBCSN

The Breeders’ Cup Marathon is the first of the BC races at Santa Anita of the weekend.  It is scheduled as race 6 on Friday with a local post time of 1:45pm (4:45pm ET).  It will be run at a mile and three-quarters over the main track for a purse of $500,000.

Santa Anita Race 6:  #10 Worldly - #8 Blueskiesnrainbows - #2 Cease

Breeders' Cup Marathon Selections and Analysis

In a race like this where most of the entrants have never run this far before and will likely never run this far again, willingness to complete the trip will not only play a big role, but it is incredibly tough to predict.  If this were not the Breeders’ Cup – and the first BC race of the weekend at that – a lot of us would probably just stay away.  But it is… so let’s try to figure it out.  The #10 Worldly enters this one quite possibly in career form.  Since the trainer change in the spring, he hasn’t won, but he has finished behind some quality horses that made those ungraded stakes races very respectable.  Another important factor is that he has been reportedly moving very nicely over the local surface in preparation.  Value could be there based on his 3-for-27 lifetime win record and that is something you should certainly be searching for in this race.  The #8 Blueskiesnrainbows almost has to be the pacesetter from what I can see.  He does his best running with the field behind him so any chance he’ll have will be on the front end and he has the speed to make that happen.  In his longest effort to date at a mile and a half (G3 Cougar) he made the lead and stayed on nicely against legitimate competition, finishing third.  While he’s likely to tire in the late stages, he certainly won’t be the only.  The #2 Cease is a bit of a hunch play and I may end up ignoring him if there turns out to be no value.  He was recently claimed by an extremely sharp outfit that isn’t the type to run without the intention of competing.  It is interesting to note though, that his last start (a winning one) came at exactly half this distance. 

 

Full Field:

1

Old Time Hockey

Lezcano/Proctor

8-1

2

Cease

Cohen/Jacobson

8-1

3

Commander

Gryder/Taylor

6-1

4

Ever Rider

Stevens/Munoz

7-2

5

Suns Out Guns Out

Leparoux/Romans

10-1

6

Indian Jones

Castillo/Airstone

5-1

7

London Bridge

Smith/Hughes

8-1

8

Blueskiesnrainbows

Pedroza/Hollendorfer

6-1

9

Pool Play

Da Silva/Casse

8-1

10

Worldly

Flores/Walsh

6-1

 

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