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2014 Kentucky Derby Picks, Odds, Entries, Post Positions, and Previews

The Kentucky Derby Field for the 2014 Kentucky Derby

Kentucky Derby 2014: May 3, 2014 (Churchill Downs)

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TV: NBC

It’s that time of year as we head for the first Saturday in May and the 2014 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs.

As seemingly always, the 2014 Derby has it all: a superhorse, a lot of question marks, some missing names, and most importantly a packed field of horses. Here is a look at this year’s field:

2014 Kentucky Derby Picks, Odds, Entries, Post Positions, and Previews

USA TODAY Sports

1)     Vicar’s in Trouble (20-1)-Trainer: Mike Maker Jockey: Rosie Napravnik

A front-runner and winner of the Louisiana Derby, it really is just a matter of what it is going to take to make the lead form the dreaded one hole and what he will have left to hold off a solid field.

2)     Harry’s Holiday (50-1)- Trainer: Mike Maker; Jockey: Corey Lanerie

The winner of the Spiral at Turfway Park couldn’t follow it up on the synthetic at Keenland in the Blue Grass which just had a much more realistic pace. This is too much distance for this horse.

3)     Uncle Sigh (30-1)- Trainer: Gary Contessa Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Got off to a miserable start in the Wood and his race was pretty much over before it started but I am not ready to throw Uncle Sigh out. Indian Charlie has produced some strong runners and Cradlesong is fro the Pine Bluff line and there is a ton of success there as well.

4)    Danza (8-1)- Trainer: Todd Pletcher; Jockey: Joe Bravo

Danza got a great trip in the Arkansas Derby but not likely he will find a wide open rail here. This is easily one of the most visually impressive horses in the field.

5)    California Chrome (5-2)- Trainer: Art Sherman; Jockey: Victor Espinoza

California Chrome is the favorite and deservedly so as his last two wins, The Santa Anita Derby and San Felipe were about as impressive as any horse has had coming into the Kentucky Derby.

6)    Samraat (15-1)- Trainer: Rick Violette Jr.; Jockey: Jose Ortiz

Samraat looks to become the second new York bred to win the Derby with Funny Cide being the only one when he won it in 2003. This horse will have trouble getting the distance.

7)    We Miss Artie (50-1)- Trainer: Todd Pletcher; Jockey: Javier Castellano

I was a big fan of Artie Schiller but this horse simply does not like the track and that is bad news considering he likes synthetic to dirt to begin with.

8)    General a Rod (15-1) Trainer: Mike Maker; Jockey: Joel Rosario

I believe we have a live one here. General a Rod has never finished worse than third and all three horses that have run the Kentucky Derby after as long of a layoff as General a Rod (Orb, Big Brown, and Barbaro) have all won at Churchill on the first Saturday in May.

9)    Vinceramos (30-1)- Trainer: Todd Pletcher; Jockey: Joe Rocco Jr.

I would say more of a contender to finish last than first as Vinceramos doesn’t have what it takes to run with these horses. Lost by 28 in the Blue Grass, even if we throw that out, he is still too slow.

10) Wildcat Red (15-1) Trainer: Jose Garoffalo; Jockey: Luis Saez

We may get some great value on this horse and I am a firm believer that horses who consistently battle develop a toughness and it helps in the big races. Came up a neck short in the Florida Derby but the unknown trainer creates a lot of value.

SCRATCHED-Hoppertunity-SCRATCHED

11)  Dance With Fate (20-1) Trainer: Peter Eurton; Jockey: Corey Nakatani

Appears to be bred for turf and we saw that in his win at Keenland on the synthetic surface in the Blue Grass. Unfortunately Blue Grass winners don’t fare well in the Derby.

12) Chitu (20-1)- Trainer: Bob Baffert; Jockey: Martin Garcia

With Pablo del Monte now in that doesn’t help Chitu as it will just be another horse involved in the pace on the front end. Chitu is lightly raced and a a little surprised he’s going here.

13) Medal Count (20-1) - Trainer: Dale Romans; Jockey: Robby Albarado

The wiseguys are saying not to leave him out of your exotics but I am not sure I have room for him as his performances on dirt have not been good. While some feelhe should be forgiven for his PP’s on dirt, he was second in the Bluegrass which doesn’t turn out Derby winners.

14) Tapiture (15-1) - Trainer: Steve Asmussen; Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr.

Tapiture was one of the early favorites to win it all when the Kentucky Derby talk started way back but he hasn’t really lived up to it or his price tag but it will al be forgiven if he shows up here. Concerned Rosario gave up the mount to go elsewhere when he had his choice.

15) Intense Holiday (12-1) - Trainer: Todd Pletcher; Jockey: John Velazquez

With the speed up front he has a chance to make his move and if he gets the ride that Velasquez he should be in position that will give him no excuses. This should come down to if he is good enough or not.

16) Commanding Curve (50-1) Trainer: Dallas Stewart; Jockey: Shaun Bridgmohan

I don’t see anything that makes me believe this horse can step it up here and compete. The lowest earnings of any horse in the race.

17) Candy Boy (20-1) Trainer; John Sadler; Jockey: Gary Stevens

Third place in the Santa Anita Derby where California Chrome put on a show but with three-time Derby winner Gary Steven on board, you just never know.

18) Ride On Curlin (15-1) Trainer: William Gowan; Jockey: Calvin Borel

I lost a few bucks on Ride On Curlin in the Arkansas Derby but with Calvin Borel on board we know never to count him out. Might be glad we have him in our box.

19) Wicked Strong (6-1) Trainer: Jimmy Jerkens; Jockey: Rajiv Maragh

The second choice in the betting and rightfully so as he got it done in the Wood. The post shouldn’t be an issue as he will be coming down the stretch but will he make it. Will need something to open up.

20) Pable Del Monte (50-1) Trainer: Wesley Ward; Jockey: Jeffrey Sanchez

Pablo Del Monte ran well in the Blue Grass setting up the pace but he is going to need to wire this field and while it is possible, I don’t see it happening and I don’t think he can hold on for a piece.

Horses with a chance: Danza, Vicar’s in Trouble, California Chrome, General a Rod, Wildlcat Red, Tapiture, Wicked Strong

 I am going to play several boxes including the above horses but hoping to hit on one where I toss the favorite. I am going to rely on Wildcat Red and General a Rod to bring it home for me as I feel those are the strong plays. 

 

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Wildcat Red and General a Rod

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