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2014 Breeder's Cup Distaff Pick, Odds, Post Positions, and Preview

2014 Breeders Cup Distaff: Kevin's Pick and Predictions

Friday, October 31st 4:35pm PT (7:35pm ET) (Santa Anita)

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I see three runners that I am really looking at as contenders to win the 2014 Breeder’s Cup Distaff.

Close Hatches comes in to this race off a lackluster effort – her worst performance in well over a year, however she certainly didn’t burn much energy in that one and it is not difficult to imagine that the race was simply a means to an end.  It is not unlike Bill Mott to treat a G1 like the prep that it is in order to have his horse ready for the main goal.  The facts are that four-year-old filly Close Hatches is fast, tactical, and stands above her competition.  Close Hatches is strictly the horse to beat in this spot and would offer undeniable value at 5-2.  Iotapa figures to be a wise-guy pick among those trying to beat the top two.  Iotapa has never run out of the money at Santa Anita and boasts a huge score in a Grade 1 at this exact trip back in June.  The field Iotapa beat there is miles away from this field though, and while I do not think she can contend with the top choice, she deserves strong consideration for a smaller share.  Untapable is the three-year-old filly currently listed as the morning line favorite.  Whether Untapable will be favored where it matters is to be seen, but if she goes to post as such, it would be a hard play to make.  There is no doubt Untapable is the class of her division, but this is not her division.  Last time Untapable tried deeper water, she was ineffective against boys in the Haskell.  If Untapable can find it in her to run by the top choice, I will most certainly lose. 

2014 Breeder's Cup Distaff Pick, Odds, Post Positions, and Preview

USA TODAY Sports

 

1

L’Amour de Ma Vie

Guyon/Brandt

15-1

2

Tiz Midnight

Espinoza/Baffert

10-1

3

Iotapa

Talamo/Sadler

6-1

4

Belle Gallantey

J Ortiz/Rodriguez

6-1

5

Unbridled Forever

Velazquez/Stewart

20-1

6

Stanwyck

Nakatani/Shirreffs

20-1

7

Don’t Tell Sophia

Rocco/Sims

5-1

8

Valiant Emilia

Bejarano/Mandella

20-1

9

Ria Antonia

Lopez/Amoss

15-1

10

Untapable

Napravnik/Asmussen

5-2

11

Close Hatches

Rosario/Mott

2-1

 

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#11 Close Hatches - #3 Iotapa - #10 Untapable

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