Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick 8/23/13
Milwaukee Brewers (55-72) at Cincinnati Reds (73-55)
MLB Baseball: Friday, August 23, 2013 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
Yovani Gallardo (R) (9-9) (4.678) vs. Homer Bailey (R) (8-10) (3.677)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -183 / Milwaukee Brewers +173 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FS-Wisconsin, FS-Ohio
The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers face off on Friday in Cincinnati for game one of their NL Central series.
The Cincinnati Reds are part of the three team group at the top of the NL Central standings but they very much have their sights set on winning the division. The Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 40-21 at home this season, and they are two games back in the National League Central but have a substantial lead for the number two Wildcard spot in the NL. As a team the Reds are hitting .248 with Joey Votto hitting .317, Shin-Soo Choo hitting .283, Jay Bruce hitting .268, and Brandon Phillips hitting .264. As a team the Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 3.37 with the starters at 3.31 and the bullpen at 3.49. For game one against the Brewers Cincinnati starts Homer Bailey who has won his last three decisions. For the season Bailey has allowed 150 hits and 67 earned runs while striking out 161 over 164 innings for a 8-10 record and a 3.68 ERA.
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The Milwaukee Brewers are having a season to forget as their star player, Ryan Braun, was suspended and the team has struggled badly on the field. The Brewers are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 25-37 on the road this season, and they are 19.5 games back in the NL Central. As a team the Brewers are hitting .254 with Scooter Gennett hitting .312, Jean Segura hitting .306, Jonathan Lucroy hitting .289, and Carlos Gomez hitting .288. The Brewers pitching staff has an ERA of 3.94 with the starters at 4.55 and the bullpen at 2.93. For game one at Cincinnati the Brewers start Yovani Gallardo who is coming off a win in his last start. For the season Gallardo has allowed 142 hits and 70 earned runs while striking out 104 over 134.2 innings for a 9-9 record and a 4.68 ERA.
Cincinnati is 12-4 in their last 16 games, 7-1 in their last eight games against a right handed starter, and 4-0 in Bailey’s last four starts. Milwaukee is 13-28 against the NL Central, 8-21 in their last 29 road games against a team with a winning record, and 1-5 in Gallardo’s last six road starts against a team with a winning record. Milwaukee is 8-25 in their last 33 games in Cincinnati.
The Reds have been hot and Gallardo has had no luck but bad luck in Cincinnati so my pick here goes to the Reds as Bailey seems to be the best he has been all year.