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Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick 8/23/13

Colorado Rockies (59-70) at Miami Marlins (48-78)

MLB Baseball: Friday, August 23, 2013 at 7:10 pm (Marlins Park)

Jhoulys Chacin (R) (11-7) (3.245) vs. Tom Koehler (R) (3-8) (4.846)

The Line: Miami Marlins +115 / Colorado Rockies -125 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ROOT-Rocky Mountain, FS-Florida

The Miami Marlins and the Colorado Rockies face-off on Friday in Miami for game one of their series between non-contenders.

The Miami Marlins have shown some flashes of talent and that their plan to rebuild is working, but for the most part this season has been a learning experience. The Marlins are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 28-37 at home this season, and they are 29 games back in the NL east. As a team, the Marlins are hitting .232 with Placido Polanco hitting .253, Giancarlo Stanton hitting .251, and Adeiny Hechavarria hitting .234. The Marlins pitching staff has an ERA of 3.74, with the starters at 3.77 and the bullpen at 3.69. For game one against the Rockies, the Marlins start Tom Koehler, who has lost three of his last four decisions. For the season, Koehler has allowed 104 hits and 53 earned runs, while striking out 72 over 102.1 innings for a 3-8 record and a 4.66 ERA.

Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick 8/23/13

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The difference this season for the Colorado Rockies came down to their inability to win on the road. The Rockies are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 23-43 on the road this season, and they are 17 games back in the NL West. As a team, the Rockies are hitting .265 with Michael Cuddyer hitting .326, Troy Tulowitzki hitting .314, and Wilin Rosario hitting .283. The Rockies pitching staff has an ERA of 4.22, with the starters at 4.42 and the bullpen at 3.89. For game one against the Marlins, the Rockies start Jhoulys Chacin, who has lost two of his last three starts. For the season, Chacin has allowed 148 hits and 56 earned runs, while striking out 95 over 155.1 innings for an 11-7 record and a 3.24 ERA.

Miami is 5-13 in their last 18 games as an underdog, 2-9 in their last 11 home games, and 5-11 in Koehler’s last 16 starts as an underdog. Colorado is 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite, 1-8 in their last nine road games against a left-handed starter, and 9-4 in Chacin’s last 13 starts. Colorado is 2-6 in their last eight games in Miami.

We probably see some hitting in this one and for my free pick I will go with the over. My stronger play is on the winning side and I will post that winner in the Premium Area.

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Over 7.5

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