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Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals Free Pick 8/27/13

Kansas City Royals (66-64) at Minnesota Twins (57-72)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, August 27, 2013 at 8:10 pm (Target Field)

James Shields (R) (8-8) (3.220) vs. Kevin Correia (R) (8-10) (4.520)

The Line: Minnesota Twins +128 / Kansas City Royals -138 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Kansas City, FS-North

The Minnesota Twins and the Kansas City Royals face off on Tuesday at Target Field for game one of their AL Central series.

The Minnesota Twins are having another tough year as they just haven’t been able to consistently compete. The Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 games, 30-35 at home this season, and they are 19.5 games back in the AL Central race. As a team the Twins are hitting .241 with Joe Mauer hitting .324, Justin Morneau hitting .263, and Ryan Doumit hitting .245. The Twins’ pitching staff has an ERA of 4.29 with the starters at 5.11 and the bullpen at 3.00. For game one against the Royals the Twins start Kevin Correia who has lost four of his last five decisions. For the season Correia has allowed 179 hits and 74 earned runs while striking out 81 over 147.1 innings for a 8-10 record and a 4.52 ERA.

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals Free Pick 8/27/13

John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals have been one of the streakier teams in baseball winning and losing in bunches. The Royals are 3-7 in their last 10 games, 31-31 on the road this season, and they are 11 games back in AL Central standings. As a team the Royals are hiting .259 with Eric Hosmer hitting .297, Billy Butler hitting .295, and Salvador Perez hitting .271. As a team the Royals pitching staff has an ERA of 3.58 with the starters at 4.02 and the bullpen at 2.62. For game one against Twins the Royals start James Shields who has won four of his last five decisions. For the season Shields has allowed 174 hits and 65 earned runs while striking out 145 over 181.2 innings of work for an 8-8 record and a 3.22 ERA.

Minnesota is 3-7 in their last 10 games, 5-1 in game one of a series, and 1-5 in Correia’s last six starts. The Royals are 10-4 in their last 14 road games, 3-7 in their last 10 games, and 12-4 in Shields’ last 16 starts. Kansas City is 6-1 in the last seven meetings of these two.

I expect there to be scoring here and my free pick is on the over. My stronger play is on the winning side and I will post that winning pick in the Premium Area.

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Over 7.5

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