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Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick 9/2/13

St. Louis Cardinals (79-57) at Cincinnati Reds (76-61)

MLB Baseball: Monday, September 2, 2013 at 1:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Adam Wainwright (R) (15-8) (2.960) vs. Mat Latos (R) (13-5) (3.034)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -124 / St. Louis Cardinals +114 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Midwest, FS-Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals meet on Monday in Cincinnati for game on of their monster series in the NL Central.

The Cincinnati Reds have had chances to make a move in the NL Central, but they haven’t played well enough to take advantage of the opportunity. The Reds are 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are 3.5 games behind the Cardinals and the Pirates, who are tied for the lead in the division. Joey Votto is hitting .316 to lead the Reds, Shin-Soo Choo is at .284 and Brandon Phillips is at .270. For game one against the Cardinals, the Reds send Mat Latos to the mound, who has a 13-5 record and a 3.03 ERA, while he is 1-2 in his last three starts, with a 3.00 ERA. Latos didn’t go a lot of innings early in the season and he still seems to be pretty fresh.

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick 9/2/13

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals won on Sunday and that put them into a tie for first place in the NL Central with the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cardinals are 6-4 in their last 10 games and 38-32 on the road this season. Yadier Molina leads St. Louis, hitting .329, while Allen Craig is hitting .319, Matt Carpenter is hitting .312, and Carlos Beltran is hitting .310 for a Murderer’s Row type of batting order. Adam Wainwright gets the nod on the mound for game one and he is 15-8 on the season, with a 2.96 ERA and he is 2-1 in his last three starts with 5.50 ERA.

Cincinnati is 13-5 in their last 18 games against a right-handed starter, 5-1 in their last six home games against a team with a winning record, and 21-5 in Latos’ last 26 starts as a home favorite. St. Louis is 4-10 in their last 14 games as an underdog, 9-4 in their last 13 games against a right-handed starter, and 23-11 in Wainwright’s last 34 starts. St. Louis is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings of these two.

The total is set at 7 and in a small park like Great American, that is a low number so I look for this one to go over and that is my free pick. My stronger play is on the winning side and I will post that winning pick in the Premium Area. 

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Over 7

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