Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick 9/8/13
Washington Nationals (72-69) at Miami Marlins (53-87)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, September 8, 2013 at 1:10 pm (Marlins Park)
Stephen Strasburg (R) (6-9) (2.854) vs. Jacob Turner (R) (3-5) (3.125)
The Line: Miami Marlins +164 / Washington Nationals -171 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
The Washington Nationals face off against the Marlins on Sunday to decide their three game series with Miami.
The Miami Marlins got pounded on Saturday, falling to Washington 9-2. The Marlins sent Eovalid to the mound, and he got shelled, allowing nine hits and five runs in just three innings of work. The Marlins bullpen was of course busy on the day as four different relievers saw action, the most of which was Dyson, who put in three innings of work. The Marlins will be sending Jacob Turner to the hill on Sunday against the Nationals. Turner has two career starts against Washington, and even though he is 0-1 with a high ERA of 5.73, Turner does have a solid WHIP against the Nats at 1.00 while allowing a batting average of just .233. In Turner’s last start against the Nationals, the Marlins starter lasted six innings, while allowing two runs off four hits.
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The Nationals got an important win on Saturday as the Nats try and keep pace with the Reds and the Pirates for the wild card in the NL. The Nationals had Roark on the mound Saturday, and he was solid. Roark put in six full innings of work, while allowing just four hits and not letting any across. Washington will be sending out their stud Stephen Strasburg on Sunday against the Marlins, hoping for a similar performance. Strasburg is just 6-9 on the year, but the Nationals ace has got little in the way of run support as Strasburg has an impressive ERA on the season of 2.85. Strasburg has been hit some, but still has faired well against the Marlins in his last few outings. All in all, Strasburg has 12 career starts against the Marlins, and in that time he has gone 5-3 with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.18. In Strasburg’s last outing against the Marlins, the Nationals ace put in just two innings of work, walking one and striking out two. Also of note, Bryce Harper is listed as questionable on Sunday with an undisclosed injury.
As a favorite of -150 to -175 this season the Nationals are 2-2, while the Marlins are 5-7 on the year as a home underdog of +150 to +175.
I have to take the Marlins here. The Nats need this win more, but the Marlins are playing better as of late and won’t lay down for anyone. The Marlins are also hitting the ball well (Saturday not included) as Miami is averaging 5.1 runs per game through their last seven, against just 3.6 for the Nats. Harper or not I’ll back the Marlins here, but if it is released that he won’t play, the price will favor the Nats more, so I may get on this one early.