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Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves Free Pick 10/3/13 NLDS Game 1

Los Angeles Dodgers (92-70) at Atlanta Braves (96-66)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, October 3, 2013 at 8:37 pm (Turner Field)

Clayton Kershaw (L) (16-9) (1.831) vs. Kris Medlen (R) (15-11) (3.109)

The Line: Atlanta Braves +133 / Los Angeles Dodgers -143 --- Over/Under: 6 See the Latest Odds

TV: TBS

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves face off on Thursday in Atlanta for game one of their NLDS series.

The Los Angeles Dodgers got off to a slow and disappointing start to the season but as the season went on they put it together and for much of the year looked like the strongest team in baseball. The Dodgers ended the season slow but their job had long since been completed winning the NL West by 11 games. The Dodgers were 45-36 on the road this season and just 2-5 against the Braves including getting swept in May but these two haven’t met since June. As a team the Dodgers are hitting .264 with Hanley Ramirez hitting .345, Yasiel Puig hitting .319, and Adrian Gonzalez hitting .294. For game one of the series the Dodgers give the ball to their ace, Clayton Kershaw, who was 16-9 with a 1.83 ERA for the season and 2-1 with a 0.90 ERA in his last three starts.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves Free Pick 10/3/13 NLDS Game 1

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves are no strangers to the post season and after being slighted last year on one of the oddest infield fly rule’s ever called in baseball, the Braves played with purpose winning the NL East and going wire to wire. The Braves were 56-25 at home this season and they outscored their opponents by 140 runs overall. As a team the Braves are hitting .249 with Chris Johnson hitting .321, Freddie Freeman hitting .319, and Justin Upton hitting .263. For game one against the Dodgers the Braves start Kris Medlen who was 15-12 for the season with a 3.11 ERA and 2-0 with a 0.40 ERA in his last three starts.

Los Angeles is 22-5 in their last 27 game one of a series, 35-16 in their last 51 road games, 3-5 in their last seven road games against a team with a winning record, and 4-1 in Kershaw’s last five road starts. Atlanta is 4-0 in their last four home games against a left-handed starter, 1-4 in their last five divisional playoff games as an underdog, 5-2 in their last seven games against a team with a winning record, and 24-6 in Medlen’s last 30 home starts.

Just looking at these pitchers and the numbers it sets up as a pitching duel and even when we look further down the roster runs aren’t going to be easy to come by or plentiful and my free pick here is the under, despite the very low number we are looking at. I also have a play on the winning side and I will post the winning team in the Premium Area

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Under 6

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