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Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres 8/15/22 MLB Picks, Predictions, Odds

San Diego Padres (65-52) vs. Miami Marlins (50-65)
August 15, 2022 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +110 / San Diego Padres -147; Over/Under: -6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins meet Monday in MLB action at loanDepot park. The San Diego Padres look for a win after winning 4 of their last 5 games. The Miami Marlins need a win after losing 8 of their last 10 games.

The San Diego Padres have scored 19 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Padres have lost 6 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Manny Machado leads the Padres with 122 hits and 70 RBI, while Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have combined for 205 hits and 106 RBI. Joe Musgrove gets the ball, and he is 8-5 with a 2.91 ERA and 124 strikeouts this season. Musgrove is 3-0 with a 2.19 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.

The Miami Marlins have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 15 straight games. The Marlins have lost 13 of their last 16 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jesus Aguilar leads the Marlins with 93 hits and 47 RBI, while Garrett Cooper and Miguel Rojas have combined for 169 hits and 71 RBI. Sandy Alcantara gets the ball, and he is 10-5 with a 2.01 ERA and 145 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 1-1 with a 1.54 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Padres.

The Padres are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series and 1-5 in their last 6 road games. The Marlins are 5-17 in their last 22 home games and 1-7 in their last 8 Monday games. The over is 5-2-2 in Padres last 9 road games. The under is 13-3-2 in Marlins last 18 overall. The Padres are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Joe Musgrove has been great this season with his 2.91 ERA and 1.02 WHIP, while Sandy Alcantara is probably going to win the NL CY Young with his 2.01 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. The Marlins have not scored more than 3 runs since July 29. There’s a reason the total is so low, and even then I’m leaning toward the under in this spot. Give me the under 6.5 runs.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Under 6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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