Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/27/14
Oakland Athletics (15-8) at Houston Astros (7-17)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, April 27, 2014 at 2:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)
Tom Milone (L) (0-1) (4.235) vs. Collin McHugh (R) (1-0) (0.000)
The Line: Houston Astros +135 / Oakland Athletics -145 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSN-CA, CSN-HOU
The Oakland Athletics and Houston Astros will wrap up a four-game series on Sunday. The Athletics lead the series 2-1.
While the Athletics have beaten up on the Astros this season, they’ve still lost four of their last six games, by far their worst stretch of the season. The Athletics still have six players who have at least 10 RBI, and their pitching staff has held teams to three or less runs in six of their last nine games. Josh Donaldson has a hit in eight straight games and Coco Crisp has an RBI in five straight games. Getting the start Sunday will be Tommy Milone, who is 0-1 with a 4.24 ERA and has allowed 11 runs in 17 innings. Milone is 1-0 with a 4.62 ERA in four career starts against the Astros.
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Although the Astros won on Saturday, they’ve still lost seven of their last 10 games and often look like they don’t deserve to be called an MLB team. The Astros have been held to two or less runs in 11 of their first 25 games this season and have four batters with 21 or more strikeouts. The Astros pitching staff hasn’t been much better, either, allowing five or more runs in four straight games. Collin McHugh will make his second appearance of the season, and he’s 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, as he struck out 12 and gave up just three hits in a win over the Seattle Mariners. This will be the first time McHugh has pitched against the Athletics in his career.
The Athletics are 6-2 in Milone's last 8 starts as a favorite and 4-1 in Milone's last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Astros are 11-40 in their last 51 home games and 1-7 in their last 8 during game 4 of a series.
I may be taking a risk here, but McHugh is a young, promising pitcher who looked really sharp in his first start of the season. The Astros don't have much else to offer, but McHugh is worth a shot in the dark with the value we're getting on the line. Just tread carefully.