Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/29/14
New York Mets (14-11) at Philadelphia Phillies (13-12)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, April 29, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)
Jonathon Niese (L) (1-2) (2.454) vs. Cole Hamels (L) (0-1) (3.000)
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -143 / New York Mets +133 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: TCN-PHI, SNY
The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies will play a two-game series that begins Tuesday.
The Mets took two of three from the Miami Marlins and have won six of their last eight games overall. The difference for the Mets turnaround has been a pitching staff that has allowed three or less runs in seven of their last eight games. Of course, it also helps that Curtis Granderson has gotten on base in six straight games and Daniel Murphy has 11 hits in his last nine games. Jonathan Niese gets the nod on Tuesday for the Mets, and he’s 1-2 with a 2.45 ERA and has 19 strikeouts in 25.2 innings. Niese is 6-6 with a 3.13 ERA in 15 career starts against the Phillies.
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The Phillies have been hot as well, winning six of their last eight games and improving to one game above .500. The key for the Phillies has been their offense, as they’ve scored four or more runs in five of their last eight games. Ryan Howard has 11 hits in his last nine games and Marlon Byrd has six RBI in his last eight games. With this run support, the Phillies will throw Cole Hamels out for his second start, as he allowed six hits and two runs in six innings in his first start, picking up the loss. Hamels is 7-13 with a 4.44 ERA in 26 career starts against the Mets.
The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 6-2 in Niese's last 8 road starts. The Phillies are 7-3 in Hamels' last 10 starts and 3-11 in Hamels' last 14 starts with 5 days of rest. The Mets are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.
I like the value we're getting with the Mets here. Hamels didn't look increidle in his first start of the season and the Mets pitching staff has been lights out fr much of the year so far. Either team can win this game, which is why I'll take my chances with the Mets and the plus money.