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Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/3/14

St. Louis Cardinals (15-14) at Chicago Cubs (9-17)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, May 3, 2014 at 1:05 pm (Wrigley Field)

Michael Wacha (R) (2-2) (2.477) vs. Jake Arrieta (R) (0-0) (0.00)

The Line: Chicago Cubs +156 / St. Louis Cardinals -166 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN-MW, CSN-CHI, FS1

The St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs will play game two of a three-game series on Saturday afternoon. The Cubs won game one, 6-5.

With the loss, the Cardinals have lost four of their last six games and fall to .500 on the season. While the Cardinals haven’t been known for their offense so far, they have scored four or more runs in four of their last five games and Matt Holliday has gotten on base at least once in 10 straight games. The Cardinals pitching is what continues to keep them in games, and Michael Wacha gets the nod on Friday. Wacha is 2-2 with a 2.48 ERA and has 44 strikeouts in 36.1 innings. Wacha is also 1-0 with a 3.65 ERA in two career starts against the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/3/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Cubs have won three of their last four games and are 10-17 on the season overall. While the Cubs lack of offense has been laughable, they have scored a combined 15 runs in their last two games. The Cubs are 7-6 when scoring four or more runs and Starlin Castro has 10 hits in his last six games. The Cubs pitching has been average and Jake Arrieta will see his first action of the season on Saturday. Arrieta was 5-4 last season with a 4.78 ERA and struck out 60 batters in 75.1 innings. Arrieta allowed two hits and no runs in seven innings, picking up the win in his only career start against the Cardinals. 

The Cardinals are 2-5 in Wacha's last 7 starts and 0-4 in Wacha;s last 4 road starts. The Cubs are 4-1 in Arrieta's last 5 starts and 13-43 in their last 56 games vs. a right-handed starter. 

Call me crazy, but I'll take a shot with the Cubs at home. The Cubs are hitting the ball well over the last few games and I'll take a chance on that fire burning at least for one more game. The value we're getting with the home team certainly beats eating the tons of chalk if we were to take the Cardinals.

Tread carefully, but the Cubs are the pick at this price. 

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Chicago Cubs +156

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